1:00 PM (Friday) | *Big time warm up next week in the Mid-Atlantic region, but it’ll also get quite wet*
Paul Dorian
Strong ridging aloft next week (days 3-7) in the eastern US will be associated with well above normal temperatures; map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com
Overview
The month of February begins on Saturday and it’ll turn quite warm in the Mid-Atlantic region by the beginning of the work week and some records may be broken. In fact, it looks like it’ll become much warmer-than-normal in DC, Philly and NYC in the Monday-to-Wednesday time period and potentially into Thursday as well. Unfortunately, the warm up next week will come with numerous chances of rain as a slow-moving cold front becomes the focus area for multiple waves of low pressure.
Well above normal temperatures on Monday and Tuesday in much of the eastern US; map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com
Details
After a chilly weekend, temperatures will rise noticeably on Monday in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure strengthens in the Southeast US. In fact, temperatures could climb to record high levels to begin the new work week in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region with, for example, Washington D.C.’s daily high temperature record in jeopardy. The record for Washington, D.C. on Monday, February 3rd is 65 degrees set in 1927 and temperatures are quite likely to reach at least the 65 degree mark. The high temperature records in D.C. may be a bit tougher to break on Tuesday and Wednesday as they climb to 70 degrees on Tuesday, February 4th set in 1991, and 74 degrees on Wednesday, February 5th set just one year ago.
Well above normal temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday in much of the eastern US; map courtesy NOAA, tropicaltidbits.com
In Philly, the warm weather conditions during the first half of next week will, of course, eliminate any chances of snow which has been largely missing from the winter so far. In fact, the total snow accumulation recorded as of today at Philly Intl Airport (PHL) is only 0.3 inches and this is the lowest amount at this point of the winter season since 1994-1995. By the way, the total snowfall by the end of the 1994-1995 winter season was 9.8 inches. The winter season with the least amount of snow in Philly was 1972-1973 when only a trace was reported at PHL.
Snowfall in Philly so far this winter has been very sparse at levels not seen since the winter of 1994-1995; map courtesy NOAA/Philly NWS
The warm up next week will become increasingly wet as a slow-moving cold front will feature multiple waves of low pressure riding up along its frontal boundary zone from southwest-to-northeast. It is within the realm of possibility that some rain falls in the I-95 corridor on each day from Tuesday through Friday. On Friday, the cold front should finally pass through the Mid-Atlantic region from northwest-to-southeast and usher in a colder air mass by the end of the week.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Perspecta, Inc.
perspectaweather.com
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