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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

11:45 AM (Thursday) | *A very active tropical scene in the Atlantic Basin at the climatological peak of the season with numerous systems to monitor…Pacific Ocean remains unusually quiet*

Paul Dorian

If you try to pinpoint the climatological peak in the Atlantic Basin tropical season to one particular day in terms of the number of active storms, it actually comes down to today, September 10th. Well, here we are and right on queue, there are numerous waves to monitor in the Atlantic Basin from the eastern Gulf of Mexico to just off the west coast of Africa. A few of these tropical waves are relatively close to the US and will have an impact in the near-term while another few systems are potential concerns for the second half of September. Meanwhile, the Pacific Ocean remains unusually quiet in terms of tropical activity in what should also be an active time of year. In fact, the overall tropical activity in the world’s largest ocean has been way below-normal in 2020 and this has contributed to a below-normal tropical season so far for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole.

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7:00 AM | *Remains hot into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure ridging has intensified in the eastern states and is resulting in hot weather around here that will continue for another few days. There is enough moisture in the region for a continued chance of showers and thunderstorms with a focus on the afternoon and evening hours. Elsewhere, the tropics remain quite active with multiple waves to monitor in coming days now over the eastern Atlantic.

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7:00 AM | *While the Rockies experience winter-like weather, it remains pretty hot in the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern has undergone a change across the country with the Rocky Mountain States shifting from summer conditions to cold and accumulating snows from Wyoming to New Mexico. High pressure ridging has intensified in the eastern states and is resulting in hot weather around here that will continue another couple of days. More moisture may push into the area by the end of the week and this is likely to bring us a renewed threat for showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | *Above-normal temperatures will be the rule around here for much of the week*

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern is undergoing a change across the country with the Rocky Mountain States shifting from summer conditions to accumulating snows in many areas from Wyoming to New Mexico. High pressure ridging will intensify in the eastern states and it’ll result in warmer conditions around here with highs near 90 degrees over the next few days. More moisture may push into the area by Thursday and this is likely to bring us a renewed threat for showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | *A break in the heat this weekend following frontal passage*

Paul Dorian

It’ll be hot again in the Tennessee Valley as we close out the work week with highs near the 90 degree mark, but a frontal passage will usher in cooler air for the weekend. In fact, temperatures late tonight and again late tomorrow night will fall to comfortable levels in the low-to-middle 60’s. High pressure will push east of here early next week and this will produce a broad southwesterly flow of air into the region resulting in warmer and more humid conditions with highs getting back to near the 90 degree mark.

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11:45 AM | ***Strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat repeats later today into early tonight across the Mid-Atlantic region…clears the way for a stretch of nice weather from tomorrow through Monday***

Paul Dorian

A stretch of nice weather begins on Friday in the Mid-Atlantic region and continues through Monday, but there is a threat of severe weather before we get there. A strong cold front is crossing the Great Lakes region today and headed towards the Mid-Atlantic and its approach will enhance the chance for showers and thunderstorms in the 2-9 PM time period. Any storm that forms later today or early tonight can become severe with potentially damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall…perhaps even a few isolated tornadoes. The good news is that all of this activity clears out by early tomorrow setting the stage for a stretch of nice weather from tomorrow through the Labor Day holiday.

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7:00 AM | *Heat relaxes this weekend following frontal passage*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level ridge of high pressure continues to strengthen over the Southeast US and it will keep us quite warm and humid as we head towards the weekend. The threat for rain will diminish some today as the ridging intensifies overhead. It’ll also stay quite warm with high temperatures in the lower 90’s across the region and those hot conditions will continue on Friday as well. A cool front should be able to push through the region tomorrow with scattered showers and thunderstorms in the Tennessee Valley. Following the late week frontal passage, it’ll turn a bit cooler for the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Lower 90's for highs next couple of days*

Paul Dorian

The threat for rain will diminish some today as mid-to-upper level ridging builds into the Southeast US. It’ll also turn a bit warmer with high temperatures likely in the lower 90’s across the region and those hot conditions will continue on Thursday as well. A cool front should be able to push through the region on Friday and scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely form in the Tennessee Valley. Following the late week frontal passage, it’ll turn a bit cooler for the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Good chance again today for afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern continues to be quite active here in the Tennessee Valley as additional waves of energy raise the chances for afternoon and evening shower and thunderstorm activity. Any shower or thunderstorms that forms today can produce heavy rainfall as the atmosphere is quite moist across the region. The threat for rain will diminish some on Wednesday as mid-to-upper level ridging builds into the Southeast US. It’ll also turn a bit warmer with high temperatures likely in the lower 90’s across the region following the upper 80’s for this afternoon.

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7:00 AM | *An unsettled start to the week*

Paul Dorian

The weather will be quite active for the first part of the week as a couple short-waves raise the chances for shower and thunderstorm activity in the Tennessee Valley. Any shower or thunderstorms that forms in this pattern ca produce heavy rainfall as the atmosphere is very moist across the region. The threat for rain will diminish at mid-week as mid-to-upper level ridging builds into the Southeast US. It’ll also turn even warmer later this week with high temperatures likely in the 90’s across the region following the upper 80’s for the next couple of days

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