Lawns were turning brown and soil moisture was at very low levels earlier this month and during the month of May in much of the Mid-Atlantic region. There have been a couple of rain events in the past couple of weeks that have alleviated the dry conditions; especially, in areas to the north of the PA/MD border. The overall weather pattern is now evolving into one that will bring copious amounts of rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region in coming days and it may get to the point in which many will say “we’re now getting too much of a good thing”.
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An unsettled weather pattern will continue through the remainder of the week with a very moist air mass parked over the southeastern states and a daily threat of showers and thunderstorms. An upper-level trough over the Tennessee valley will keep plenty of clouds in the area limiting our temperatures which will peak some ten degrees below the normal high for this time of year. It does turn noticeably warmer this weekend and high temperatures near the 90 degree mark are likely on Sunday and Monday.
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The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has come to life in recent days with two systems located in the tropical Atlantic. The front running system has reached named tropical storm status (“Bret”) and it could very well intensify into a hurricane during the next couple of days as it heads towards the eastern Caribbean Sea. Later in the week, however, a few factors are likely to come together to cause a weakening of this initial tropical system. A second system following closely behind Bret could reach named tropical storm status as well in coming days (would become “Cindy”) as it heads on a general westward track.
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An unsettled weather pattern will continue through the remainder of the week with a very moist air mass parked over the southeastern states. A cutoff low pressure system will sink southward to a position over the Deep South during the next couple of days enhancing chances here for showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be held down some for the remainder of the week with copious amounts of clouds expected across northern Alabama.
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Weak high pressure will take over for today and Saturday and with low-level moisture levels quite high, there can be a couple of showers and thunderstorms on either day. An even better chance for rain - and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms - comes on Sunday and Monday as another strong shortwave crosses the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley.
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After an active weather day on Wednesday, the chance for rain will diminish here today with a frontal boundary zone pushed to our south. Weak high pressure will take over for Friday and Saturday and with low-level moisture levels quite high there can be a shower or thunderstorm on either day. An even better chance for rain and possible strong storms comes on Sunday and Monday as another shortwave crosses the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley.
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An active weather pattern will bring about a sharp shortwave today into the Tennessee Valley Temperatures and this can result in clusters of strong thunderstorms as the atmosphere destabilizes. In fact, some of the storms later today and this evening can reach strong-to-severe levels with damaging wind gusts and hail on the table. The chance for rain should lower on Thursday and Friday as an upper-level low and its associated shortwaves shifts well to the northeast of here.
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Temperatures typically climb to about 90 degrees for afternoon highs this time of year, but the passage of a frontal system on Monday has paved the way for back-to-back cooler-than-normal days in northern Alabama. The pattern stays unsettled around here for the next few days as an upper-level low over the Great Lakes spins to the Mid-Atlantic region at mid-week sending multiple shortwaves in our direction.
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As the upper-level low over the Northeast US slowly shifts to the east, our flow of air will become more west-to-northwest and multiple disturbances will eject out of the southwestern states and into the central US. These waves of energy can bring us rounds of showers and thunderstorms as we go through the next few days and into early next week.
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A bit drier and cooler air will push into the region for today and Friday with comfortably warm temperatures and dew points on the low side of normal for early June. It will turn warmer this weekend with afternoon highs on Sunday and Monday back up in the upper 80’s along with increasing chances for showers and storms.
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