The colder-than-normal air mass that we have been dealing with around here during the past couple of days will continue to be an influence today, but milder weather is on the way. Today’s high temperatures will likely be in the upper 40’s across northern Alabama, but then climb well up into the 50’s at mid-week and reach 60 degrees or higher late in the week along with a returning threat of showers.
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A strong cold front passed the region late this past weekend paving the way for a cold next couple of days. Highs today should be confined to 50 degrees or below and could drop to the middle 20’s in the overnight hours. The second half of the week will see a rebound in temperatures with highs back to near the 60 degree mark.
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High pressure edged into the region on Wednesday and should be close enough in proximity today to provide us with partial sunshine, cool and dry conditions. A weak disturbance will approach late tonight and it could spark a few light rain showers, but then slide to the east of here on Friday.
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The chance of showers will diminish today as an upper-level low passes by the region to our east, but it will result in a cloudy and raw day with highs held down in the lower 50’s. Skies should clear tonight and winds will die down allowing for the possibility of some late night patchy frost. The holiday on Thursday looks dry and cool in northern Alabama with highs likely not far from the 60 degree mark.
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A strong storm system will continue to impact the region on Tuesday with lingering showers likely and winds will remain an important factor as well. Also, there is enough instability around that the chance of a strong thunderstorm is on the table; especially, north of the I-20 corridor later today. The threat of rain will diminish tonight and Wednesday and the Thursday holiday is shaping up pretty nicely weather wise.
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After back-to-back-to-back La Nina (colder-than-normal water) winters, El Nino (warmer-than-normal water) has formed in the tropical Pacific Ocean and it will play an important role in the upcoming winter season across the nation as discussed in the Arcfield Weather 2023-2024 “Winter Outlook”. Two aspects of El Nino are important when it comes to its potential impact on winter weather patterns in the US and they include both its magnitude and location. Evidence continues to mount suggesting this El Nino event will not rival some of the strongest episodes in recent history such as in 2015-2016, 1997-1998 or 1982-1983. Instead, and as outlined in the “Winter Outlook”, it appears this El Nino will be one of moderate strength and will tend to weaken as we progress through the winter season. In terms of the location with respect to the greatest sea surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific, the thought was that an “eastern-based” focus would shift to more of a “central-based” and recent developments suggest this transition may already be getting underway.
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Strong upper-level low pressure will push towards the Tennessee Valley today and increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms by tonight and the threat of rain will continue on Tuesday. Some of the rain tonight can be heavy at times; especially, during possible strong thunderstorm activity. Winds will also become an important factor during this event with gusts to 50 mph on the table for tonight. Dry weather should return later tomorrow into Thursday with the holiday looking dry and cool with highs well up in the 50’s.
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It stays unsettled in the region today with the chance of afternoon showers as moist air pushes in on low-level southeasterly winds. A cold front moves through the area on Friday night and its passage will pave the way for a cool, but dry weekend in the northern part of Alabama. Widespread frost is possible late Saturday night/early Sunday morning as temperatures should drop to near the freezing mark.
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A widespread and impressively cold air mass will cross the nation next week and reach the eastern seaboard in time for Thanksgiving Day (Thursday). A strong storm system will develop out ahead of the incoming cold air mass and it will impact a large part of the nation with rain, snow and wind on the busy travel days of Tuesday and Wednesday.
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It stays unsettled in the region for the next couple of days with the chance of showers as moist air pushes in on low-level southeasterly winds. A cold front will then move through the area on Friday night and its passage will pave the way for a cool, but dry weekend in the northern part of Alabama.
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