A warming trend will begin today and continue right through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures on Wednesday were generally confined to 60 degrees and below, but should reach into the lower 70’s by this afternoon with plenty of sunshine. By later tomorrow and during the upcoming weekend, high temperatures have a good chance of reaching near the 80 degree mark with plenty of sunshine as well on a daily basis.
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There is ample empirical evidence that environmental phenomena in one part of the world can have a causal connection to another part of the world and several of these “climate anomalies” are tracked by meteorologists through teleconnection indices. Several of these teleconnection indices are currently suggesting that a cold and stormy stretch of weather is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region which may result in numerous winter storm threats beginning as early as this weekend and perhaps continuing into the month of March.
The teleconnection indices analyzed here include the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The MJO is related to a tropical disturbance that propagates around the global tropics on a regular basis. The SOI provides us with information on pressure differences across the Pacific Ocean and on the “El Nino Southern Oscillation” (ENSO) state. The AO and NAO indices provide us with information on the pressure and temperature patterns across the North Atlantic/Arctic region. All of these indices are heading into territory which suggests that a cold and stormy weather pattern is unfolding for the Mid-Atlantic region and it could last awhile.
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A frontal system will push through the region this morning with the chance of showers and it’ll turn out to be noticeably cooler than Tuesday. A warming trend will quickly erase this cooler air mass and temperatures by the late week will climb back to the 70’s and 80 degrees is on the table for the end of the weekend.
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A frontal system will approach the region today and increase the chances for showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures ahead of the front will climb to the upper 70’s, but then a cooler air mass will result in highs confined to the 60’s at mid-week. It’ll turn milder again late in the week and the threat for showers will return.
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Southerly flow of air will dominate early this week across central Florida and we’ll experience above normal temperatures as a consequence. Moisture will also increase around here given the southerly flow and the chance for showers will increase over the next couple of days. Unsettled weather will, in fact, likely continue right into the second half of the week.
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Warm air will stick around through the weekend and into the early part of next week as high pressure dominates across the Southeast US. A weak frontal system will move across Florida this weekend and it’ll contribute to a tightening pressure gradient which will result in a noticeable increase in winds. Temperatures will not drop much at all behind the weekend frontal passage and generally remain in the comfortably warm 70’s for highs right through the early part of next week.
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Warm air will stick around for the rest of the week and large high pressure will continue to result in copious amounts of sunshine for the region. A weak frontal system will move across Florida this weekend and it’ll contribute to a tightening pressure gradient which will result in a noticeable increase in winds. Temperatures will not drop much at all behind the weekend frontal passage and generally remain in the comfortably warm 70’s for highs right into the early part of next week.
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Warm air will stick around for the next several days with highs likely in the 70’s right into the early part of next week. High pressure in the upper part of the atmosphere will remain in control of our weather into next week with above-normal temperatures in much of the eastern US.
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Warmer air has returned to the region and it looks like it’ll stick around for the remainder of the work week. The pattern aloft will feature a building mid-level ridge over Florida that’ll stay in control through the rest of the week. By the weekend, a weak frontal system may slide into the area raising slightly the chance for occasional showers.
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Milder air worked its way back into the region this weekend, but the transition from the recent chill also resulted in some cloudy spells. Today, however, begins a stretch of nice weather with plenty of sunshine for much of the week to go along with comfortably warm temperatures.
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