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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

12:55 PM | ****Significant snow threat Philly-to-Boston late Tuesday night/Wednesday; especially, to the N and W of the big cities...DC not totally in the clear****

Paul Dorian

High-latitude blocking over northern Canada/Greenland is very strong today and it will stay in place for the next several days during a stormy period for the Mid-Atlantic region.  One coastal storm will intensify along the Mid-Atlantic coastline on Wednesday and likely bring a significant snow accumulation to much of the I-95 corridor from Philly-to-Boston; especially, in the northern and western suburbs of the big cities with 6+ inches on the table. Very chilly air for this time of year will follow the mid-week mauler and then another storm may threaten the Mid-Atlantic region next Sunday/Monday.

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7:00 AM | ***Coastal storm to bring accumulating storm here on Wednesday...another storm threat for Sunday/Monday***

Paul Dorian

Strong high-latitude blocking remains in place to our north and there will be two more storms to deal with in the Mid-Atlantic region over the next week or so.  One storm will push towards the North Carolina coastline on Tuesday night and then intensify as it rides up along the coastline on Wednesday.  Precipitation is likely to begin in the NYC metro region from this next coastal storm tomorrow evening probably in the form of rain, but then as colder air gets wrapped into the system and “dynamical cooling” develops, the precipitation is likely to change to accumulating snow by early Wednesday and several inches are on the table.  Preliminary estimates for the northern and western suburbs of NYC are 4-8 inches with slightly less expected in the city.  Looking ahead, yet another storm is likely to impact the region in the Sunday/Monday time frame and this could be a real big one; however, it is way too early to say if this will feature rain or snow.  One final note and not what anyone wants to hear, given the possibility of heavy wet snow on Wednesday following some rain at the onset and the expectation for strong wind gusts (though nothing like last storm), the threat for power outages has to be thrown out there once again.

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10:40 AM | *****Extreme winds throughout the I-95 corridor and wind-whipped heavy, wet snow coming to Philly, NYC and NJ*****

Paul Dorian

A major storm is intensifying off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and it is now running into an “atmospheric brick wall” on its attempt to move to the north.  As a result, this powerful storm will be forced to loop back around and head to the south-southeast over the next several hours. Extreme winds will be a major impact from this storm in the entire I-95 corridor from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC and wind-whipped accumulating snow is coming to the Philly, NYC metro regions and throughout New Jersey for the late morning and afternoon hours (i.e., blizzard-like conditions).

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6:00 AM | ****Major storm to bring rain, wind-whipped heavy, wet accumulating snow and damaging wind gusts to the region...power outages a big concern****

Paul Dorian

A major storm will throw just about everything conceivable to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US today including rain, damaging wind gusts, and the potential for accumulating heavy (wet) wind-whipped snow. The threat for power outages is high today and tonight given the expectation of 50-60 mph wind gusts and the saturated grounds from recent rains which tend to weaken the root support system.  In addition, any heavy wet snow that does fall later today will increase the chances for power outages would as the snow would cling to tree limbs and weigh them down.  As a result of intense high-latitude blocking to our north, this rapidly intensifying ocean storm will run into an “atmospheric brick wall” near Cape Cod, MA this morning and rather than taking the usual track for a nor’easter off to the east of Maine, it will be forced to the south.  As it drops south, colder air will also plunge southward and so will the rain/snow line with the first area to go over to snow being upstate PA and southern NY.  By later in the day, it very well should be snowing in NYC, Philly and throughout much of New Jersey and in all of these areas a few inches of wind-whipped heavy, wet snow is possible (i.e., blizzard-like conditions). 

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12:00 PM | ****Major storm to bring flooding rains, heavy wet wind-whipped snow, sleet and damaging wind gusts to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US with widespread power outages a serious concern****

Paul Dorian

A major storm will throw just about everything imaginable to the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US on Friday and Friday night with the potential for flooding rains, heavy wet wind-whipped snow, sleet and damaging wind gusts. The threat for widespread power outages exists on Friday and Friday night throughout the DC, Philly and NYC metro regions with 60+ mph wind gusts quite possible. This storm will have an impact on the I-95 corridor for an extended period of time due to very strong high-latitude blocking that has set up to our north.  As a result, the storm will run into an “atmospheric brick wall” near Cape Cod, MA and rather than taking the usual track for a nor’easter off to the east of Maine, it will be forced to the south and, in turn, impact the weather around here all the way from later today into early Saturday.  

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6:00 AM | *Slow-moving and powerful ocean storm to bring rain, potential damaging wind gusts and heavy, wet accumulating snow*

Paul Dorian

 Very strong high-latitude blocking is now forming in the upper part of the atmosphere over Greenland and northern Canada and this feature will become a key factor in the unfolding weather scenario for the Mid-Atlantic region. A major ocean storm will form by later tomorrow and it will be a slow-mover as a result of the blocking pattern to the north; consequently, it’ll impact the region for an extended period of time. This powerful storm will initially generate rainfall for us, but then as rapid intensification unfolds and colder air gets drawn in, the potential exists for damaging winds and wind-whipped accumulating snow on Friday and Friday night. Power outages are a real concern given the expected extreme wind gusts (60 mph) and potential heavy, wet snow that may fall in some areas.

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12:30 PM | ***Major ocean storm to bring us rain and it has the potential to produce damaging winds, power outages and accumulating snow***

Paul Dorian

Very strong high-latitude blocking is now forming in the upper part of the atmosphere over Greenland and northern Canada and this will become a key factor in the unfolding weather scenario for the Mid-Atlantic region. A major ocean storm will form by later Friday and it will become a slow-mover as a result of the blocking pattern to the north; consequently, it’ll impact the region for an extended period of time. This powerful storm will initially generate soaking rainfall for the DC-to-Philly-NYC corridor, but then as rapid intensification unfolds and colder air gets drawn in, the potential will exist for damaging winds and heavy, wet accumulating snow as we close out the work week.

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7:00 AM | *Major ocean storm to bring rain and wind to the area and the potential for accumulating snow*

Paul Dorian

 A strong low pressure system will head towards the Ohio Valley on Thursday, but eventually, it’ll take a back seat to the main player which will become a powerful ocean storm just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline.  As a result of developing high-latitude blocking to our north, this storm will be a slow-mover and it is likely to bring rain and increasing winds to the local area from later Thursday into early Friday.  As colder air wraps into the storm later Friday, there may be a changeover to snow and accumulations are possible later in the day and at night. 

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2:05 PM | *Late week powerful and slow-moving ocean storm to produce rain, wind and accumulating snow in some areas*

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern across North America will soon feature strong high-latitude blocking over Greenland and northern Canada and this transition period in the atmosphere will result in a slow-moving and powerful storm over the western Atlantic Ocean by the end of the week.  Strong low pressure will head towards the Ohio Valley on Thursday, but then it will become overshadowed by intensifying low pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean and it is this system which will run into a brick wall in the atmosphere as it tries to push to the north. As a result of the blocking pattern setting up in the atmosphere to our north, this strong ocean storm will be forced to the southeast - perhaps in a "looping" fashion - and this will prolong impacts from the immediate I-95 corridor to the coastline. Rain and wind will increase from later Thursday into Thursday night and, as colder air wraps into the system on Friday, there is the chance that some areas generally to the north of the PA/MD border see a mixing with or changeover to ice and/or snow before the precipitation winds down.

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7:00 AM | *Powerful ocean storm forms later this week as overall pattern changes...rain, wind and perhaps some snow*

Paul Dorian

A powerful ocean storm will form later this week as the overall weather pattern undergoes some significant changes across North America with strong high-latitude blocking setting up to our north.  As a result of the developing high-latitude blocking, this storm will be a slow-mover and it is likely to bring soaking rain and increasing winds to the local area from later Thursday into Friday.  As colder air wraps into the storm on Friday, there may be a changeover to snow before the system slowly pulls away to our southeast early this weekend. Higher elevation locations like the Catskills are quite likely to see some accumulating heavy, wet snow from this storm on Friday.

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