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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

10:30 AM | *The lid is about to come off…a change from very quiet to very active is on the table with respect to tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin*

Paul Dorian

We have now passed the mid-point of the month of August and, so far, tropical activity has been considerably below-normal in the Atlantic Basin. In fact, activity across the northern hemisphere as a whole has been below-normal as measured by a metric known as the “accumulated cyclone energy” or ACE. There are signs, however, that the lid is about to come off in the Atlantic Basin where a big-time increase in activity is increasingly likely over the next few weeks and beginning as early as this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico.

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7:00 AM | *Comfortably warm weather pattern continues to the Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

Temperatures will remain at moderately warm levels today in the Mid-Atlantic region with some sunshine and also the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. Weak high pressure will take control of the weather on Thursday and it’ll turn a bit warmer as we head towards the upcoming weekend with highs in the 80’s. An upper-level trough of low pressure approaches from the west later in the weekend and that system will bring us a return of unsettled weather conditions.

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7:00 AM | *Remains pretty comfortable next couple of days*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic coastline will help to keep a low-level flow of air off the ocean over the next couple of days and this, in turn, will help to keep temperatures at manageable levels for the middle of August. High pressure will take control of the weather for the latter part of the week and then conditions become unsettled once again during the latter part of the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Comfortable temperatures to start the week*

Paul Dorian

The first half of the week will be cooler-than-normal in the Mid-Atlantic region with an upper-level trough of low pressure building aloft over the northeastern states. This system could help to spawn the formation of a low pressure over the western Atlantic which would enhance the chance of showers around here into mid-week and also keep a cool low-level flow of air well established. High pressure is likely to take back control later in the week and temperatures will remain on the comfortable side.

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7:00 AM | **A refreshing air mass for next few days with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels...Perseid meteor shower peaks late tonight**

Paul Dorian

A strong cool front passed through the region last night ushering in a refreshing air mass for today and the weekend with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels. In fact, it looks like temperatures will remain at comfortable levels through the first half of next week in the Mid-Atlantic region with highs generally in the 70’s. In terms of precipitation, a disturbance over the Great Lakes later this weekend will move in this direction and it can set off some shower activity around here late Sunday night and Monday. This system will help to generate low pressure nearby which can lead to more unsettled conditions on Tuesday and Wednesday to go along with those still comfortable temperatures.

One final note, the Perseid meteor shower peaks later tonight/early tomorrow…there will also be a full (super) moon to contend with in the southern sky.

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7:00 AM | *Frontal passage tonight ushers in a refreshing air mass for tomorrow and the upcoming weekend*

Paul Dorian

A strong cool front will sweep through the region tonight and its passage will usher in a refreshing air mass for Friday, Saturday and Sunday with comfortable temperatures and noticeably lower humidity levels. In fact, temperatures should remain at pretty comfortable levels right through the first half of next week. In terms of precipitation, there will be residual showers this morning, but the afternoon should feature clearing skies and generally rain-free weather. Late in the weekend, a disturbance over the Great Lakes will drop to the south and east and it can generate some shower activity for the Mid-Atlantic region late Sunday night and/or on Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Refreshing air mass on the way for Friday, Saturday and Sunday...additional showers and thunderstorms possible before we get there*

Paul Dorian

Yesterday featured high heat and humidity in the Mid-Atlantic region, but a transition begins today to more comfortable conditions. A weak front will settle into the area later today and tonight generating some new shower and thunderstorm activity and any shower or storm that forms can produce heavy rainfall. A strong cool front will sweep through the region tomorrow night and its passage will usher in a refreshing air mass for Friday, Saturday and Sunday with comfortable temperatures and lower humidity levels.

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1:00 PM | **High heat and humidity today in the Mid-Atlantic region with a tropical connection…refreshing air mass coming for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday with a northern Canada connection**

Paul Dorian

The Mid-Atlantic region is again suffering with high heat and humidity and temperatures are well up in the 90’s, but much relief is on the way for the end of the week and the upcoming weekend. The current air mass in the Mid-Atlantic region had its origins over the tropical Atlantic Ocean and the air mass headed our way for the late week and weekend will have its roots over northern Canada. Unfortunately, the transition from today’s high heat and humidity to the late week refreshing air mass will feature some shower and thunderstorm activity and some of that rainfall will be heavy at times with flash flooding on the table in some spots; especially, across Maryland, Virginia and the DC metro region.

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7:00 AM | **Hot and humid today...heavy thunderstorms a threat later today, tonight and Wednesday...refreshing air mass comes for Friday, Saturday, Sunday**

Paul Dorian

Today will be another hot and humid one in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure over the western Atlantic continues to pump in the high heat and humidity from our southwest. Big changes are coming, however, by later in the week. A weak front will begin the transition to more comfortable conditions bringing us the chance of showers and thunderstorms later today, tonight and tomorrow and there can be some heavy rainfall at times. A stronger cool front will sweep through the region on Thursday night paving the way for a refreshing air mass for Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

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