Another active weather day is coming to the region with the threat of showers mainly during the PM shower. Any heavier shower later today can generate small hail (ice pellets) due to a cold upper atmosphere. It stays somewhat unsettled on Friday with lots of clouds and a couple of showers are still possible. Quieter and milder weather returns to the region later in the weekend.
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There has been rain, heavy at times, during the past couple of days and there will be rain, heavy at times, during the next couple of days…watch out for localized flooding. There are a couple of differences, however, in overall atmospheric conditions that will have an impact today, tonight and tomorrow. First, the overall atmosphere becomes some what more unstable later today leading to an increasing wind compared to earlier in the week and an also an increased chance for a strong thunderstorm. In addition, the overall atmosphere will become colder later today and tonight and this will allow for an increased chance of hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) during any heavier shower or thunderstorm right through tomorrow. The weather remains somewhat unsettled on Friday and it takes until later in the weekend to finally settle down to quieter and milder conditions.
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A double-barreled storm system will impact a large part of the nation from today through Thursday with an initial (primary) low located over the Upper Midwest and a secondary is to form later tomorrow near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The initial system is producing severe weather today across the Ohio Valley and there are waves of heavy rain running all along the “I-80” states from Illinois-to-Pennsylvania with “flash flood watches and warnings” issued in most areas. The severe weather threat will shift to the east on Wednesday raising the chances for strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity in the southern Mid-Atlantic and eastern Carolinas.
Farther north, it is cold enough for accumulating snow today across portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin and some spots will get dumped on over the next 24 hours. The accumulating snow threat will shift a bit to the east to Michigan by later tonight and perhaps to the south on Wednesday into Iowa and Illinois. Once the secondary storm gets going near the east coast later tomorrow, the accumulating snow threat will shift from the Upper Midwest to the interior Northeast US and some spots in interior New York State and New England will get dumped on by the time Thursday evening rolls around.
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An ugly stretch of weather continues in the NYC metro region with chilly conditions and periods of rain expected right into Thursday and some of the rain will be heavy at times. In addition, a couple of thunderstorms can mix into the picture as we go through the next few days. As low pressure intensifies off the New England coastline, enough cold air may push in late Wednesday night and Thursday to see snowflakes mix in with the rain in parts of the local area. Farther north, accumulating snow is likely during the mid-week across upstate NY and interior New England keeping the ski season alive and well up there for the foreseeable future. The weather here remains on the chilly and unsettled side on Friday and then it quiets down this weekend and turns slightly milder.
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An ugly week of weather has begun in the NYC metro region with chilly conditions and occasional rain expected for today, tonight, tomorrow and Wednesday…some of it can be heavy at times and it doesn’t end there. Even colder air will push into the area on Wednesday night and Thursday, riding in on strong winds, and there can be some rain and/or snow shower activity to go along with the chill in the air. This blast of winter-like weather from later Wednesday into Thursday is likely to result in accumulating snow across upstate NY and interior New England - keeping ski season alive and well up there for awhile longer.
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Low pressure that has been hanging along the east coast during the past 24 hours or so has pushed out into the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean and NW winds will kick up here today on its backside. There should be plenty of sunny intervals today with cool conditions and NW winds gusting to 35 mph or so will make it feel even colder than the actual air temperatures. A disturbance to our west will spread plenty of clouds into the region on Saturday along with some shower activity; however, we should then sneak in a pretty decent Easter Sunday before the weather goes downhill again early next week. Specifically, Easter Sunday is likely to feature partial sunshine and mild conditions with afternoon highs in the lower 60’s. By contrast, it’ll turn cooler early next week with the threat of rain on late Sunday night, Monday, and Tuesday.
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A stalled-out frontal system along the east coast remains a conduit today for moisture to ride along from south-to-north resulting in occasional light rain or drizzle around here for much of the day. There can be a lingering shower or two this evening and then skies should partially clear in the overnight hours as drier air pushes into the Mid-Atlantic region on NW winds following the departure of low pressure to the western Atlantic. There will be some sunshine on Friday, but it’ll be cool and winds will be rather strong gusting to 30 mph or so from a northwesterly direction. A couple of disturbances can bring some shower activity to the region on Saturday and again Monday, but we may sneak in a pretty decent Easter Sunday with relatively mild conditions and some sunshine.
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It is one of the best times of the year when you hear the phrase “Play Ball” and “Opening Day” comes tomorrow in many cities including New York, Philadelphia and Baltimore. Unfortunately, the weather will not cooperate with damp and cool conditions up and down the Atlantic seaboard putting the home openers in serious jeopardy for the Mets, Phillies, and Orioles. Low pressure is to form later today along a stalled-out frontal boundary zone and the result will be occasional rain or drizzle in the DC-Baltimore-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor from later today into tomorrow afternoon. Dry conditions are expected on Friday in each of these cities and with an open day in the schedule, it may be very tempting to simply postpone the openers by one day. If, in fact, these openers are postponed as I do believe they will be then they would quite likely be done so officially as early as this evening.
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A cold frontal system will become nearly stationary today along the eastern seaboard and low pressure will form along the boundary zone. This low pressure will head north along the coast and the result here today will be an increasing chance of rain or drizzle. The chance for rain or drizzle will continue tonight and for much of the day on Thursday. The Mets home opener is scheduled for 1:10 pm on Thursday afternoon and a postponement to Friday is certainly on the table. On the heels of the low pressure system, winds will pick up on Friday and another chilly air mass will push into the Mid-Atlantic region. A couple of disturbances can bring some shower activity to the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and Monday, but we may sneak in a pretty decent Easter Sunday with relatively mild conditions.
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High pressure will lose control of the weather around here today as a frontal system approaches from the west. This front will slow down as it reaches the eastern seaboard and low pressure is likely to form along the frontal boundary zone. The result here will be the chance for showers from later tonight into late Wednesday and then perhaps some steadier rain from tomorrow night into Thursday. On the heels of the low pressure system, winds will pick up at the end of the week and another chilly air mass will push into the Mid-Atlantic region.
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