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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

****Wild weather for the Mid-Atlantic region from later today into the overnight...severe storms including isolated tornadoes and flash flooding on the table****

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will impact the Mid-Atlantic region from later today into the overnight hours with two threats on the table...severe weather and flash flooding. This low-pressure system will push eastward into southern Pennsylvania later today and end up over southern New England by late tonight. An upper-level jet streak will add fuel to the fire in the Mid-Atlantic region with strong upward motion that is destabilizing the atmosphere and thunderstorm coverage is increasing across western sections. Localized flash flooding can result from the “training” of thunderstorm cells meaning multiple storms may move over the same general area producing excessive rainfall amounts.

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6:00 AM | ***Showers and thunderstorms from this afternoon into Tuesday...some of the rain will be heavy and some of the storms can be severe...localized flash flooding on the table***

Paul Dorian

The work week will start off on the wet side as low pressure heads in this direction from the Midwest. There will be occasional showers from this afternoon into Tuesday and multiple thunderstorms can be mixed into the picture. Some of the rain will be heavy and some of the storms can be severe and there is the threat of localized flooding as thunderstorms can develop in a “training” fashion meaning multiple heavy rain cells could move over the same general area. The rest of the week will feature moderately warm temperatures with no sustained high heat and humidity on the table despite it being officially the first week of the summer season.

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6:00 AM | *Decent weather through the weekend...rain likely on Monday as low pressure heads this way*

Paul Dorian

The passage of a frontal system on Thursday will pave the way for more in the way of comfortable temperatures for at least the next few days. Much of the weekend should turn out to be pretty nice though clouds will be on the increase later Sunday ahead of the next system. Low pressure will head this way from the Central Plains on Monday likely bringing some rain to the Mid-Atlantic region and possibly a thunderstorm or two.

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6:00 AM | *Very warm and humid today with a gusty wind...occasional showers and maybe a strong thunderstorm*

Paul Dorian

An incoming frontal system will keep it unsettled around here today and occasional showers and maybe a thunderstorm…any storm can be on the strong side. In addition to the threat for rain, today will feature warmer, and more humid conditions, and the winds will become quite noticeable gusting from a southwesterly direction past 30 mph or so. The passage of the frontal system later tonight will open the door for some decent June weather for the Mid-Atlantic region in the Friday and Saturday time frame and then clouds should increase on Sunday ahead of a possible rain soaking event on Monday.

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6:00 AM | *Warmer, more humid next couple of days...scattered PM showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

After a couple of very comfortable days in the Mid-Atlantic region, changes will take place here at mid-week with warmer and more humid conditions on the way. The atmosphere will also become more unstable later today as an upper-level low expands into the northeastern states bringing us scattered PM showers and thunderstorms. On Thursday, an incoming frontal system will generate more instability in the atmosphere and there can be another round of PM showers and thunderstorms...some of those late day storms on Thursday can be strong-to-severe. From this vantage point, the passage of the late week frontal system looks like it’ll set us up for a pretty decent weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | *Another comfortable day in the Mid-Atlantic region with moderate humidity levels*

Paul Dorian

The weather will remain quite comfortable for another day in the Mid-Atlantic region with high pressure still in control, but changes take place at mid-week. On Wednesday, an upper-level trough of low pressure over the center of the country will expand into the northeastern states and the weather will become warmer, more humid, and more unsettled with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. On Thursday, an incoming frontal system will add fuel to the fire and there can be another round of PM showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region...some of those late day storms on Thursday can be strong-to-severe. From this vantage point, the passage of the late week frontal system looks like it’ll set us up for a nice Friday, Saturday and Sunday in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | *A refreshing air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic region following passage of active frontal system*

Paul Dorian

A strong cold frontal system passed through the region in the overnight hours paving the way for a refreshing air mass to make its way into the Mid-Atlantic region. Humidity will be noticeably lower during the next couple of days and the nights will be on the cool side for the middle of June. An upper-level trough will extend into this part of the nation at mid-week and the weather will become more unsettled with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms on both Wednesday and Thursday, and severe weather may be on the table for late Thursday.

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6:00 AM | ***Another hot and humid day in the Mid-Atlantic region...good chance of PM showers and thunderstorms...some of the storms can be severe***

Paul Dorian

One more day of hot, humid and unsettled weather conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region with another round of PM showers and thunderstorms on the table. Some of the rain that falls later today/early tonight can be heavy at times and some of the storms can reach severe levels. A frontal system will cross the area in the overnight hours and its passage will lead to dry and more comfortable conditions on Saturday with plenty of sunshine. Another frontal system could produce more showers and thunderstorms around here to close out the weekend and the first half of next week should feature a comfortable air mass for mid-June across the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | **Uncomfortable heat and humidity next couple of days with the threat of showers and thunderstorms...some of the rain can be heavy and some of the storms can be severe**

Paul Dorian

The next couple of days will be quite unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region as the heat and humidity build to uncomfortable levels. Showers and thunderstorms are possible both today and tomorrow with the best chance during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the rain that falls through tomorrow evening can be heavy at times and some of the storms can reach severe levels. A frontal system will cross the area on Friday night and its passage will lead to dry and more comfortable conditions on Saturday with noticeably lower humidity levels.

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6:00 AM | **Multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms through Friday night...some of the rain can be heavy and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe...heat and humidity build as well**

Paul Dorian

The next few days will be quite unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region as the heat and humidity build to rather uncomfortable levels. Showers are likely today and there can be a thunderstorm or two mixed in and the threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Thursday and Friday as well. Some of the rain that falls through Friday night can be heavy at times and some of the storms can reach strong-to-severe levels. A frontal system should cross the area on Friday night and its passage will lead to more comfortable conditions this weekend (i.e., lower humidity) and dry weather for both days.

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