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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Comfortable temperatures and unsettled in Mid-Atlantic next couple of days...watching TS Idalia which hits western Florida by mid-week potentially as a "major" hurricane**

Paul Dorian

The week begins with high pressure to our north and a frontal system to our south that will soon begin a movement to the north. This front stalls nearby later tonight and Tuesday and then a cool front approaches on Tuesday night. As a result, showers cannot be rule out later tonight and are likely by later tomorrow and tomorrow night and thunderstorms can mix into the picture. High pressure will try to take control of the weather later this week, but we’ll have to watch the northward advancement of Tropical Storm Idalia. TS Idalia is likely to strengthen to “major” hurricane status before hitting the west side of Florida around late Tuesday night and then push northeastward to the Carolinas. Given this track, winds could become an issue by Thursday across places like southeastern Virginia and the Delmarva Peninsula…a system to closely monitor in coming days.

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7:00 AM | **Intense heat backs off later this weekend...much more comfortable by the middle of next week**

Paul Dorian

Very strong upper-level high pressure ridging continues to be centered over the central states and the impact here is a continuing intense heat wave that has been accompanied by uncomfortably high humidity levels. This system will slowly retrograde westward in coming days likely re-positioning over the Four Corners region by the middle of next week. As such, the intense heat around here will begin to back off later this weekend and the improvement will continue early next week. In fact, high temperatures are likely to be confined to the 80’s by Monday and Tuesday and likely quite comfortable by the middle of next week.

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6:30 AM | *Occasional showers and thunderstorms to end the work week*

Paul Dorian

The weather remains unsettled in the NYC metro region as we end the work week with occasional showers and thunderstorms…some of the rain will be heavy at times. It turns warmer today compared to Thursday following the passage of a warm frontal system. The weekend should feature better overall conditions with moderate temperatures and generally rain-free conditions although a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out from time-to-time.

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6:30 AM | *Still unsettled with occasional showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two*

Paul Dorian

The weather remains unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region as we end the work week with occasional showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two…some of the rain can be heavy. It turns warmer today compared to Thursday following the passage of a warm frontal system. The weekend should feature better overall conditions with moderate temperatures and generally rain-free conditions although a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out from time-to-time.

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6:30 AM | *Still unsettled with occasional showers, maybe a strong PM thunderstorm*

Paul Dorian

The weather remains unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region as we end the work week with occasional showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two…some of the rain can be heavy. It turns warmer today compared to Thursday following the passage of a warm frontal system. The weekend should feature better overall conditions with moderate temperatures and generally rain-free conditions although a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out from time-to-time.

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7:15 AM | *It was this time of year in 79 A.D. that Mount Vesuvius erupted and Pompeii, Italy was changed forever…the important role of the weather…some new discoveries*

Paul Dorian

It was shortly after noon on August 24th in the year 79 A.D. and Mount Vesuvius sent a tall cloud of steam and ash high up into the atmosphere.  The ancient Roman town of Pompeii near modern day Naples was soon covered in complete darkness and the thickness of the falling debris increased by about 6 to 8 inches per hour.  The rocks which comprised the debris were up to 3 inches in diameter and fell with a speed of up to 100 miles/hour.  This first phase of the eruption led to casualties primarily caused by roof collapses.  After 12 hours of continuous explosive activity, the second phase of the eruption began and it was characterized by substantial flow of lava down the sloping Mount Vesuvius and this caused additional deaths and destruction.  In fact, the eruption of Mount Vesuvius spewed 1.5 million tons of lava per second into Pompeii and surrounding towns.  In a short period of time, an estimated 15 to 20 percent of Pompeii’s population died (about two thousand people), the small towns of Herculaneum, Oplonti and Stabiae were destroyed, and Pompeii was changed forever.

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7:00 AM | **Intense heat continues into the weekend across the Tennessee Valley**

Paul Dorian

Very strong upper-level high pressure ridging continues to be centered over the central states and the impact here is a continuing intense heat wave that has been accompanied by uncomfortably high humidity levels. This system will slowly retrograde westward in coming days likely re-positioning over the Four Corners region by the middle of next week. As such, the intense heat around here will begin to back off later this weekend and the improvement will continue early next week.

Read More

7:00 AM | **Unsettled weather pattern brings occasional showers and storms to the Mid-Atlantic region**

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging continues to be centered over the central states and active weather has developed in northwest flow across its outer perimeter region. As a result, there will be occasional showers here and scattered thunderstorms are likely as well…some of the rain that falls in this unsettled period can be heavy at times. Temperatures today are likely to be held in the low-to-mid 70’s for afternoon highs, but should climb back to near 80 degrees on Friday following the passage of a warm front and ahead of the next cool front.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled weather pattern brings occasional showers and storms to the Mid-Atlantic region**

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging continues to be centered over the central states and active weather has developed in northwest flow across its outer perimeter region. As a result, there will be occasional showers here and scattered thunderstorms are likely as well…some of the rain that falls in this unsettled period can be heavy at times. Temperatures today are likely to reach 80 degrees for afternoon highs and could climb into the middle 90’s on Friday following the passage of a warm front and ahead of the next cool front.

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7:00 AM | **Unsettled weather pattern brings occasional showers to the Mid-Atlantic region and possible strong thunderstorms**

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure ridging continues to be centered over the central states and active weather has developed in northwest flow across its outer perimeter region. As a result, there will be occasional showers here at just about any time and scattered thunderstorms are likely as well…some of the rain that falls in this unsettled period can be heavy at times. Temperatures today are likely to be held in the mid-to-upper 70’s for afternoon highs, but could climb back into the middle 80’s on Friday following the passage of a warm front and ahead of the next cool front.

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