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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

1:30 PM | **Pattern change by later next week likely to bring more sustained cold to eastern and southern US and a better chance for snow…a look at some teleconnection indices**

Paul Dorian

The remainder of this week and the upcoming weekend are likely to be seasonably cold-to-slightly below-normal in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US, but much of the rest of the nation should be warmer-than-normal. The return to seasonal cold in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US follows what has been a very mild few days that culminated with a major rainstorm up and down the eastern seaboard. There are signs that the overall pattern will change by later next week that can result in more sustained cold for the eastern and southern states. A look at some teleconnection indices tends to support the notion of a change in the pattern that would favor more colder-than-normal air for the eastern and southern US - and potentially, an increased chance for snow as well.

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7:00 AM | ***Very windy today on backside of powerhouse storm***

Paul Dorian

Rain winds down this morning and it becomes very windy on the back side of the departing powerhouse storm system that brought us a lot of rainfall. Winds can gust up to 50 mph from a northwesterly direction which can result in some downed tree limbs and possible. power outages. Temperatures will drop from early day highs in the 50’s to the 40’s for the afternoon hours. There is a chance for scattered snow and/or rain showers tonight and on Tuesday and then high pressure takes over for a few days and temperatures will remain on the chilly side.

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7:00 AM | ***Very windy today on backside of powerhouse storm***

Paul Dorian

Rain winds down this morning and it becomes very windy on the back side of the departing powerhouse storm system that brought us a lot of rainfall. Winds can gust up to 50 mph from a northwesterly direction which can result in some downed tree limbs and possible. power outages. Temperatures will drop from early day highs in the 50’s to the 40’s for the bulk of the afternoon hours. There is a chance for scattered snow and/or rain showers tonight and on Tuesday and then high pressure takes over for a few days and temperatures will remain on the chilly side.

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7:00 AM | ***Heavy rain continues for awhile...then becoming very windy today on backside of powerhouse storm***

Paul Dorian

Rain continues for awhile this morning, heavy at times, and then winds down during the mid-day/early afternoon. It becomes very windy on the back side of the departing powerhouse storm system that brought us a lot of rainfall and winds can gust up to 45 mph from a northwesterly direction in the afternoon. This can result in some downed tree limbs and possible. scattered power outages. Temperatures will drop from early day highs in the 60’s to the 40’s by the mid and late afternoon hours. There is a chance for scattered snow and/or rain showers tonight and on Tuesday and then high pressure takes over for a few days and temperatures will remain on the chilly side.

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7:00 AM | **A powerful storm system forms this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico and then pushes northward along the eastern seaboard**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will be in control of the weather for another day with moderately cool and dry conditions expected. A powerful storm system will develop this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico and push northward along the eastern seaboard from later Sunday into Monday. As a result, the chance for showers will increase here on Saturday and that threat will last into the day on Sunday as well.

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6:30 AM | ***Powerful storm system to impact us with heavy rain and strong winds from later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by tomorrow and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from later Sunday into Monday. Some of the rain around here will become heavy at times with flash flooding a concern and winds will be strong. Along coastal sections, winds can become potentially damaging and beach erosion/coastal flooding will be on the table. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic region when the storm hits, but colder air will likely pour in from the northwest by later Monday night and Tuesday.

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6:30 AM | ***Powerful storm system to impact us with heavy rain and strong winds from later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by tomorrow and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from later Sunday into Monday. Some of the rain around here will become heavy at times with flash flooding on the table and winds will be strong. Along the coast, winds can become potentially damaging and beach erosion/coastal flooding will be on the table. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic region when the storm hits, but colder air will likely pour in from the northwest by later Monday night and Tuesday.

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6:30 AM | ***Powerful storm system to impact us with heavy rain and strong winds from later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by tomorrow and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from later Sunday into Monday. Some of the rain around here will become heavy at times and flash flooding is a concern and winds will be strong. Along the coast, winds can become potentially damaging and beach erosion/coastal flooding will be on the table. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic region when the storm hits, but colder air will likely pour in from the northwest by late Monday night and Tuesday.

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*****Powerful storm system to impact the Gulf/eastern states Sunday into Monday…torrential rain, strong and potentially damaging wind gusts…cold air on back end*****

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by the early part of the weekend and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from Sunday into Monday. The rain will be heavy all along the path of the storm and winds are very likely to reach damaging levels; especially, along coastal sections where 60+ mph gusts are possible...power outages are on the table up and down the coast. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US when the storm hits; however, cold air will pour in from the northwest on Monday night and Tuesday raising the chance for a transition to some accumulating snow on the back end; especially, in “lake-effect” locations just downstream of Lakes Erie and Huron.

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