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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Still lots of clouds around and there can be a bit of light snow or rain*

Paul Dorian

A weak clipper system is tracking to our southwest this morning and high pressure will edge into the area later this afternoon…end result…a continuation of our recent cloudy weather pattern and there can be a bit of drizzle or flurries at times. There will be a weak cold front coming through later tomorrow night into early Friday with a few rain and/or snow showers possible before a new high pressure system takes over for the weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Still lots of clouds around and there can be a bit of drizzle or flurries*

Paul Dorian

A weak clipper system is tracking to our southwest this morning and high pressure will edge into the area later this afternoon…end result…a continuation of our recent cloudy weather pattern and there can be a bit of drizzle or flurries at times. There will be a weak cold front coming through later tomorrow night into early Friday with rain and/or snow showers likely before a new high pressure system takes over for the weekend.

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7:00 AM | *High pressure in control today...weak "clipper" system moves nearby late tonight/early tomorrow*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region into tonight with dry conditions and then a weak “clipper” could produce a couple of rain and/or snow showers later night into early Wednesday. High pressure will then resume control for later Wednesday and Thursday and a weak front can generate a couple of showers on Friday morning.

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7:00 AM | *Relatively quiet next few days across the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure pushed away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline on Monday and the cooler conditions of yesterday will give way to milder weather today. The milder trend will continue through much of the remainder of the work week and then attention will turn to the south-central states where a strong storm system is likely arrive this weekend after pounding California.

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7:00 AM | ***There is potential for a high impact storm system this weekend***

Paul Dorian

There is the chance for a high impact type of storm this weekend in Colorado with accumulating snow on the table, but it’ll remains unseasonably mild until mid-week. Temperatures could peak around 65 degrees both today and tomorrow and then will begin a downward trend late in the week. An El Nino enhanced southern branch of the jet stream will bring a powerful Pacific Ocean storm to California later in the week and this system will slide to the Rocky Mountain States by the upcoming weekend with a potential big impact in terms of accumulating snow in the higher elevations.

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7:00 AM | *High pressure in control today...weak "clipper" system moves to our south and west late tonight/early tomorrow*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region into tonight with dry conditions and then a weak “clipper” could produce a couple of rain and/or snow showers late night and early Wednesday. High pressure will then resume control for later Wednesday and Thursday and a weak front can generate a couple of showers on Friday morning.

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7:00 AM | *High pressure in control today...weak "clipper" system moves nearby late tonight/early tomorrow*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region into tonight with dry conditions and then a weak “clipper” could produce a couple of rain and/or snow showers later night into early Wednesday. High pressure will then resume control for later Wednesday and Thursday and a weak front can generate a couple of showers on Friday morning.

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*The outlook for the month of February…stormy pattern to continue for California…stratospheric warming, teleconnection indices suggest plenty of winter left for the central and eastern US*

Paul Dorian

My fellow Pennsylvania prognosticator, Punxsutawney Phil, and I have a little bit of a disagreement about the coming six weeks as he has predicted an early spring while I believe there is plenty of winter left across much of the nation and it will not be an early spring for most…hopefully, he turns out to be right. In terms of temperatures, after a very cold middle of the month of January, a “January thaw” developed that brought temperatures to above-normal levels for much of the last ten days or so. The month of February is likely to start off warmer-than-normal across much of the central and eastern US and colder-than-normal out west. However, the overall temperature pattern looks to change by the middle of the month to colder-than-normal for much of the nation and that change can take us right into the middle of March. Support for this kind of pattern change comes from an on-going stratospheric warming event and numerous teleconnection indices which can provide clues as to future weather patterns across the US based on what is trending in other parts of the world.

In terms of precipitation, an “El Nino enhanced” southern branch of the jet stream has already resulted in one powerful storm system for California that will now slide across the Rocky Mountain States to the southeastern US. A second and perhaps even more powerful Pacific Ocean storm will slam into the Golden State later this weekend and into the early part of next week. Several inches of rain will accumulate in California across low lying areas and tremendous snowfall in the higher elevation locations such as the Sierra Nevada Mountains. The Deep South and southeast US can experience severe thunderstorms later this weekend.

El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean have gotten a “jolt” in recent days due to a burst of westerly winds and this sudden surge in strength will play a big role in the intensification of the southern branch of the jet stream. The phrase “atmospheric river” or “pineapple express” will be used quite often during the next couple of weeks as a powerful and relentless jet stream over the Pacific Ocean continues to inundate the US west coast with copious amounts of moisture.

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7:00 AM | *Low pressure pulls away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline...high pressure edges in for tonight and tomorrow*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure pulls away from the coast today leaving us with plenty of clouds, windy and chilly conditions. High pressure takes control for tonight and tonight and then a weak “clipper” heads this way by Wednesday. That system can produce some rain and/or snow shower activity around here from late tomorrow night into early Wednesday morning before another high pressure system takes over for the late week.

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7:00 AM | *A mild next few days with daily highs near 60*

Paul Dorian

Much of this week will be quite mild across the region with daily highs near 60 degrees and little in the way of precipitation threats. The overall pattern is likely to change to much colder this weekend and there can be a high impact type of storm to deal with across the Rocky Mountain States.

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