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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **An Arctic air mass arrives on strong NW winds...below-freezing temperatures in the overnight hours**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front came through the region last night and it has ushered into the Mid-Atlantic region an unseasonably cold air mass for this time of year with its origins up in the Arctic region. Temperatures today will do no better than the middle 40’s for afternoon highs and there will be a strong NW wind producing much lower wind chill values. Temperatures are likely to drop to below-freezing later tonight bottoming out in the middle-to-upper 20’s across many suburban locations. With high pressure in control at mid-week, there should be plenty of sunshine on Wednesday; however, temperatures will remain below-normal throughout the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | **An unusually chilly air mass has arrived in the eastern US and temperatures here later tonight are likely to fall to near 30 degrees with widespread frost likely**

Paul Dorian

An unseasonably chilly air mass has pushed into the eastern states and temperatures today will do no better than the middle 50’s for afternoon highs and there will be a stiff N-NW wind as well. Winds will calm down tonight leading to very favorable conditions for radiational cooling and the end result is likely to be overnight lows near 30 degrees and widespread frost across northern Alabama.

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7:00 AM | **An Arctic air mass arrives on strong NW winds...below-freezing temperatures in the overnight hours**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front came through the region last night and it has ushered into the Mid-Atlantic region an unseasonably cold air mass for this time of year with its origins up in the Arctic region. Temperatures today will do no better than the upper 40’s for afternoon highs and there will be a strong NW wind producing much lower wind chill values. Temperatures are likely to drop to below-freezing later tonight bottoming out in the mid-to-upper 20’s across many suburban locations. With high pressure in control at mid-week, there should be plenty of sunshine on Wednesday; however, temperatures will remain below-normal throughout the Mid-Atlantic region.

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*2025 Tropical Season and Summertime Outlook*

Paul Dorian

The number of named tropical storms in 2025 is likely to be nearly-normal in the Atlantic Basin which would be lower than the totals of last summer’s active season. The average number of named tropical storms in an Atlantic Basin tropical season is 14.4 with 7.2 of those reaching (minimal) hurricane status, and 3.2 reaching “major” classification (baseline period 1991-2020). Based on the overall analysis of current and forecasted conditions, I expect around 15 named storms in the Atlantic Basin this tropical season with about 7 reaching hurricane status and of those perhaps 3 to achieve “major” classification level.

Three important factors in this year’s tropical outlook include an expected relatively neutral signal in the tropical Pacific Ocean with respect to sea surface temperatures (SSTs), only moderately warm water temperatures anticipated in the Main Development Region (MDR) of the Atlantic Ocean, and a stubborn pocket of colder-than-normal waters off the west coast of Africa. While the lack of any kind of significant El Nino (warmer-than-normal water) in the tropical Pacific typically favors an active tropical season in the Atlantic Basin, the water temperatures in both the breeding grounds region of the Atlantic Ocean and those just off the west coast of Africa should act as a counterbalance.

In terms of summertime weather expected across the continental US, there is an especially strong signal for hot and dry conditions across the nation’s heartland from Texas-to-North Dakota which is being primed by an unusually dry spring in much of that part of the nation. Also, there is the potential of wetter-than-normal weather in much of the eastern US to go along with nearly normal to slightly below-normal temperatures and, in the western US, nearly normal temperatures and rainfall amounts.

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7:00 AM | **An unusually cold air mass in the Mid-Atlantic region during the first half of the week...near 30 degrees late tomorrow night for low temperatures**

Paul Dorian

A cold front came through the region last night and low pressure has tracked along it into the northeastern part of the nation bringing with it occasional shower activity. A secondary cold front pushes through late tonight and it will usher in an unusually cold air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures are going to fall to the middle 30’s late tonight following this initial frontal system and then to near 30 degrees late Tuesday night following the passage of the secondary cold front.

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7:00 AM | **An unusually cold air mass in the Mid-Atlantic region during the first half of the week...near 30 degrees late tomorrow night for low temperatures**

Paul Dorian

A cold front came through the region last night and low pressure has tracked along it into the northeastern part of the nation bringing with it occasional shower activity. A secondary cold front pushes through late tonight and it will usher in an unusually cold air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures are going to fall to the low-to-mid 30’s late tonight and to the upper 20’s late Tuesday night following the passage of the secondary cold front.

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7:00 AM | **An unusually cold air mass in the Mid-Atlantic region during the first half of the week...20's likely late tomorrow night for lows**

Paul Dorian

A cold front came through the region last night and low pressure has tracked along it into the northeastern part of the nation. A secondary cold front pushes through late tonight and it will usher in an unusually cold air mass to the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures are going to fall to near freezing later tonight and likely into the mid-to-upper 20’s late tomorrow night following the passage of the secondary cold front.

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7:00 AM | **Not exactly baseball weather for the Rockies home opener...snow is in the forecast and there can be small accumulations by later this evening...warmer, drier next week**

Paul Dorian

Cold and unsettled weather will remain in the region for the next few days with accumulating snow on the table. In fact, snow is possible this afternoon (in time for the Rockies home opener) and it can continue into the evening hours with small accumulations possible on the order of a couple of inches. The corner turns on Sunday in terms of temperatures and we’ll likely have warmer and drier conditions for much of next week.

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