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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | **Still unsettled today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms as stubborn upper-level low inches along...more rain chances later in the week**

Paul Dorian

A “closed-off” upper-level low pressure system will continue to produce bands of showers today in the Mid-Atlantic region and there can be some strong thunderstorm activity as well during the afternoon and evening hours. The stubborn “closed” upper low will edge to the northeast on Wednesday as it “opens up” enough to get captured by the polar jet and our weather should improve at mid-week though a shower or two cannot be ruled out.

A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region by late in the day. At the same time, another upper-level low will develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and surface low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers and thunderstorms around here from later Thursday into Friday and perhaps even a period of steadier rain. The weekend could turn out to be pretty decent with increasing amounts of sunshine on Saturday and mostly sunny skies on Sunday. However, upper-level lows are notorious for throwing some curve balls to the weather forecaster so not quite ready yet to give the “all-clear” signal about the weekend.

Read More

6:15 AM | **Still unsettled today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms as stubborn upper-level low inches along...more rain chances later in the week**

Paul Dorian

A “closed-off” upper-level low pressure system will continue to produce bands of showers today in the Mid-Atlantic region and there can be some strong thunderstorm activity as well during the afternoon and evening hours. The stubborn “closed” upper low will edge to the northeast on Wednesday as it “opens up” enough to get captured by the polar jet and our weather should improve at mid-week though a shower or two cannot be ruled out.

A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region by late in the day. At the same time, another upper-level low will develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and surface low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers and thunderstorms around here from later Thursday into Friday and perhaps even a period of steadier rain. The weekend could turn out to be pretty decent with increasing amounts of sunshine on Saturday and mostly sunny skies on Sunday. However, upper-level lows are notorious for throwing some curve balls to the weather forecaster so not quite ready yet to give the “all-clear” signal about the weekend.

Read More

6:15 AM | **Still unsettled today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms as stubborn upper-level low inches along...more rain chances later in the week**

Paul Dorian

A “closed-off” upper-level low pressure system will continue to produce bands of showers today in the Mid-Atlantic region and there can be some thunderstorm activity as well during the afternoon and evening hours. The stubborn “closed” upper low will edge to the northeast on Wednesday as it “opens up” enough to get captured by the polar jet and our weather should improve at mid-week though a shower or two cannot be ruled out.

A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region by late in the day. At the same time, another upper-level low will develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and surface low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers and thunderstorms around here from later Thursday into Friday and perhaps even a period of steadier rain. The weekend could turn out to be pretty decent with increasing amounts of sunshine on Saturday and mostly sunny skies on Sunday. However, upper-level lows are notorious for throwing some curve balls to the weather forecaster so not quite ready yet to give the “all-clear” signal about the weekend.

Read More

7:00 AM | ***Major spring storm to bring significant snow to the Front Range mountains and higher foothills...rain in Denver metro***

Paul Dorian

A major spring storm is unfolding for Colorado that is likely to bring significant rainfall to the metro region and substantial snow to the Front Range mountains and higher foothills. The storm gets underway today and reaches a peak on Tuesday with heavy rain and/or snow depending on location. Warmer weather moves into the area later in the week and continues into the weekend, and there can be few showers and thunderstorms on each of those days.

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7:00 AM | **Upper-level low spins nearby resulting in additional showers during the next couple of days...potential strong-to-severe thunderstorms...more rain chances late this week**

Paul Dorian

Some spots in the Mid-Atlantic region were hit by drenching showers and thunderstorms this past weekend while other locations (often right nearby) received much less rain than anticipated. There will be opportunities for more rain in all areas through tomorrow night…some of the rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe. A slow-moving upper-level low pressure system currently centered over the Ohio Valley will continue to produce unstable atmospheric conditions in the region leading to additional bands of showers and thunderstorms.

While the weather settles down a bit on Wednesday as the upper-low grudgingly lifts its way to the northeast of here, there can still be a few showers in the area and perhaps even a thunderstorm or two. A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region. At the same time, an upper-level low will try to re-develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and low pressure may form along the frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers around here later Thursday and potentially even some steadier rain from Thursday night into Friday. The weekend may turn out pretty well assuming the late week systems push off to the north and east of here.

Read More

7:00 AM | **Upper-level low spins nearby resulting in additional showers and thunderstorms during the next couple of days...more rain chances late this week**

Paul Dorian

Some spots in the Mid-Atlantic region were hit by drenching showers and thunderstorms this past weekend while other locations (often right nearby) received much less rain than anticipated. There will be opportunities for more rain in all areas through tomorrow night and some of the rain can be heavy at times. A slow-moving upper-level low pressure system currently centered over the Ohio Valley will continue to produce unstable atmospheric conditions in the region leading to additional bands of showers and thunderstorms.

While the weather settles down a bit on Wednesday as the upper-low grudgingly lifts its way to the northeast of here, there can still be a few showers in the area and perhaps even a thunderstorm or two. A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region. At the same time, an upper-level low will try to re-develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and low pressure may form along the frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers around here later Thursday and potentially even some steadier rain from Thursday night into Friday. The weekend may turn out pretty well assuming the late week systems push off to the north and east of here.

Read More

7:00 AM | **Upper-level low spins nearby resulting in additional showers and thunderstorms during the next couple of days...more rain chances late this week**

Paul Dorian

Some spots in the Mid-Atlantic region were hit by drenching showers and thunderstorms this past weekend while other locations (often right nearby) received much less rain than anticipated. There will be opportunities for more rain in all areas through tomorrow night and some of the rain can be heavy at times. A slow-moving upper-level low pressure system currently centered over the Ohio Valley will continue to produce unstable atmospheric conditions in the region leading to additional bands of showers and thunderstorms.

While the weather settles down a bit on Wednesday as the upper-low grudgingly lifts its way to the northeast of here, there can still be a few showers in the area and perhaps even a thunderstorm or two. A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region. At the same time, an upper-level low will try to re-develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and low pressure may form along the frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers around here later Thursday and potentially even some steadier rain from Thursday night into Friday. The weekend may turn out pretty well assuming the late week systems push off to the north and east of here.

Read More

6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be quite warm and noticeably more humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

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6:15 AM | **A very unsettled pattern unfolds during the first half of next...heavy showers and strong storms on the table**

Paul Dorian

It stays relatively dry around here through Saturday, but the late weekend and first half of next week become very unsettled with showers and thunderstorms on the table. A strong upper-level low will combine with an incoming colder-than-normal air mass to destabilize the atmosphere during the first half of next week which can result in rain, heavy at times, and the potential for some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity.

Read More

6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be very warm and humid following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

Read More