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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

6:30 AM | ***Powerful storm system to impact us with heavy rain and strong winds from later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by tomorrow and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from later Sunday into Monday. Some of the rain around here will become heavy at times with flash flooding a concern and winds will be strong. Along coastal sections, winds can become potentially damaging and beach erosion/coastal flooding will be on the table. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic region when the storm hits, but colder air will likely pour in from the northwest by later Monday night and Tuesday.

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*****Powerful storm system to impact the Gulf/eastern states Sunday into Monday…torrential rain, strong and potentially damaging wind gusts…cold air on back end*****

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide into the central Gulf of Mexico region by the early part of the weekend and an intensification process will begin there that will soon result in a powerhouse storm system. The intensifying storm system will impact the Florida Peninsula and other parts of the Southeast US on Saturday night and Sunday and then it pushes northward producing rain and wind throughout the eastern states from Sunday into Monday. The rain will be heavy all along the path of the storm and winds are very likely to reach damaging levels; especially, along coastal sections where 60+ mph gusts are possible...power outages are on the table up and down the coast. There will be no cold air around initially in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US when the storm hits; however, cold air will pour in from the northwest on Monday night and Tuesday raising the chance for a transition to some accumulating snow on the back end; especially, in “lake-effect” locations just downstream of Lakes Erie and Huron.

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7:00 AM | ***Dry weather into the weekend...significant storm impacts us here with rain and wind later Sunday into Monday***

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain moderately cold again today after the passage of a weak cold front on Wednesday, but it does turn milder on Friday and the milder conditions should last through the upcoming weekend. Powerful low pressure is going to turn northward this weekend after pounding the Florida Peninsula and other sections of the SE US and push right on through the eastern states from south-to-north. This storm will produce lots of rain and wind around here from later Sunday into Monday. Some of the rain can be heavy and some of the winds can get very strong; especially, along coastal sections where beach erosion and flooding are on the table. Colder air pushes in on the back side of the storm by Tuesday, and there may be some lingering precipitation from what likely turns out to be a slow-moving storm system.

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11:50 AM | ***Signs continue to point to a powerhouse storm system that will have wide-ranging impacts this weekend and early next week from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide across the southwestern states over the next couple of days and produce some significant snowfall in the higher elevations of southern Colorado and northern New Mexico. By the early part Saturday, this system will have moved to the central Gulf of Mexico where intensification will begin to take place. By Saturday night and early Sunday, tropical storm-like conditions will develop across Florida including heavy rainfall and strong winds and other sections of the southeast US as well.

On Sunday, this powerful low pressure system will push northward up along the Atlantic seaboard and heavy rain and strong winds will likely develop in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later Sunday and continue into the day on Monday. Cold air will be lacking in the northeastern states - at least initially – when the storm is likely to get underway so rain will be the dominate precipitation type at the start. However, a powerful storm system like this sitting near the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US coastline can certainly draw in enough cold air for a changeover to snow from later Monday into Tuesday; primarily, across higher elevation, inland locations from upstate New York to northern New England.

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7:00 AM | *Reinforcing cold shot arrives today...turns milder for Friday and Saturday...storm threat late weekend/early next week*

Paul Dorian

It’ll remain moderately cold today and the passage of a weak cold front will usher in a reinforcing chilly air mass for tonight and Thursday. It does turn milder on Friday and the milder conditions should last through the upcoming weekend. Strong low pressure is likely to turn up along the eastern seaboard this weekend and it could result in rain and wind around here from later Sunday into Monday.

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12:45 PM | ***Monitoring prospects for a powerhouse storm system that can impact the Gulf of Mexico region this weekend and the east coast early next week***

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will slide across the southwestern states over the next couple of days and likely produce some significant snowfall in the higher elevations of southern Colorado and northern New Mexico. By the weekend, this system will move south and east into the Gulf of Mexico region and begin to intensify. Signs are increasing that at this point the storm will take a turn to the north and east, produce tropical storm-like conditions across Florida including heavy rainfall and strong winds and then likely ride right up near the eastern seaboard with heavy rain and strong winds on the table. Cold air will be lacking in the northeastern states - at least initially – when the storm is likely to hit so rain will be the dominate precipitation type at the start. However, a powerful storm system like this sitting near the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US coastline can certainly draw in enough cold air in this kind of setup for a changeover to snow in higher elevation, inland locations from upstate New York to northern New England.

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7:00 AM | *Moderately cold with dry conditions next few days*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will remain in control of the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next few days with the continuation of dry conditions. It’ll remain moderately cold today and the passage of a weak cold front early tomorrow will usher in a reinforcing chilly air mass for Wednesday and Thursday. It does turn milder on Friday and the milder conditions should last through the upcoming weekend. Strong low pressure may turn up along the eastern seaboard by the end of the weekend and it could result in rain and wind around here for Sunday night and Monday.

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6:30 AM | **Precipitation wind down and winds remain strong today on back side of departing low pressure**

Paul Dorian

After the passage of a strong cold front and associated low pressure system, snow and rain showers will wind down this morning and winds will remain strong today as high pressure edges into the Mid-Atlantic region. Cold air has poured into the eastern states on W-NW winds and those winds can gust to 35 mph throughout the day before slowly diminishing this evening. The chilly air mass will stick around in the Mid-Atlantic region for much of the week with high temperatures generally confined to the 40’s through Thursday.

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8:00 AM (Sunday) | ***Heavy rain, strong winds, thunderstorms on the way to the I-95 corridor…temperatures tumble in the overnight hours with back end accumulating snow likely***

Paul Dorian

A heavy rain event in the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor gets underway this morning and continues into Sunday night with increasingly strong winds that develop ahead of an incoming strong cold front. Flash flooding will become an increasing concern during this event with as much as 2-3 inches of rainfall possible in many areas by early Monday. In addition, with an eventual shifting of the main surface low pressure system to the northern Mid-Atlantic coastline, there is a threat for back-end accumulating snow in the late overnight/early Monday morning hours all the way into and especially to the N/W of the I-95 corridor. Significant snow is likely to fall during this storm across interior, higher elevation locations of the northeastern states from northeastern PA to northern New England.

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6:15 AM | ***Some wild weather late Sunday/Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

Some wild weather is coming to the DC metro region late Sunday/Sunday night with heavy rain, powerful winds, squall line with thunderstorms, tumbling temperatures, and even a changeover to snow all on the table with small accumulations possible in the northern and western suburbs.

It turns milder today and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday. A strong cold front will slowly slide eastward on Sunday and low pressure will intensify along the frontal boundary zone. Ahead of the cold front, rain will break out on Sunday and become heavy at times by Sunday night. Winds will become a big factor as well with potentially damaging wind gusts; especially, along coastal sections during this late weekend event. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures will tumble later Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow for a brief time with some small accumulations possible in the N/W suburbs. The weather settles down on Monday, but it’ll remain moderately cold through much of the first half of next week.

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