An on-going active weather pattern across the nation will bring yet another strong upper-level trough into the Tennessee Valley as we begin the new work week. Widespread showers and strong-to-severe thunderstorms impacted Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi on Sunday and Sunday night and the remains of this activity have now reached our region. There is the good chance for some of the rain to be heavy at times this morning and some of the storms to be on the strong-to-severe side across northern Alabama, but the overall timing of this event puts areas to our south and east of having a better chance at severe weather later in the day. Another threat for showers and thunderstorms will occur here on Wednesday and this can result in some severe thunderstorm activity.
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After yesterday’s active weather, today will be a more tranquil day across northern Alabama as high pressure builds in following a frontal passage. As a result, the end of the work week and both days of the weekend will turn out to be pretty decent days and quite warm for the beginning of April. By Sunday, however, a deep trough will be exiting the southwest US and it will approach this area by late Sunday night and Monday. This upper-level feature combined with warm, humid air entrenched air at the surface level will likely spark the formation of showers and thunderstorms and the threat for severe weather will likely be a component in this on-going active weather pattern.
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The next week to ten days will feature numerous strong upper-level waves of energy traveling from the eastern Pacific Ocean all way across to the northeastern US on a fairly regular basis averaging every few days or so. Today's tranquil weather in the Mid-Atlantic region will soon give way to a major rain event for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor that could result in more than two inches of rain by early Saturday in some spots. This active weather pattern will not only bring soaking rain to the Mid-Atlantic as we close out this current work week, but there will be another chance for significant rain early next week and then yet another chance late next week. In addition to the heavy rain in the Mid-Atlantic, this active pattern will bring substantial springtime snowfall to interior upstate New York and New England as well as across the Colorado Rockies in the western US. Severe weather will also be a major consequence of this energetic weather pattern with numerous threats coming to the Midwest, south-central, and southeastern US.
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An active weather pattern will bring another wave of upper-level energy into the region today and the likelihood for more showers and thunderstorms from mid-affternoon on through the evening. In fact, the unfolding pattern featuring a strong upper-level jet streak across the Gulf states and a surge of warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico into the region, could result in severe weather later today/early tonight across much of northern Alabama. Yet another wave is likely to arrive Sunday night/Monday and bring us another round of showers and thunderstorms as well as a threat for more severe weather.
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High pressure will edge into the region today, but this unfolding very active weather pattern will bring another wave of upper-level energy into the region on Thursday and the chance for more showers and thunderstorms. In fact, the potential atmospheric setup on Thursday with a strong upper-level trough in the Southern Plains and a warm surge of humid air from the Gulf of Mexico into the region, could result in severe weather across northern Alabama. Yet another wave is likely to arrive early next week and bring us another threat for showers and thunderstorms.
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Today's soaking rain and thunderstorm activity in the Mid-Atlantic region appears to be just the opening round in what is looking like a very active weather pattern for much of the nation in the foreseeable future. The next ten days or so will feature wave-after-wave traveling across the country in a general west-to-east fashion and each one can produce snow over the Rockies and in New England, severe weather in the central and southern states, and significant rain in the Mid-Atlantic region. In fact, its been somewhat dry in recent weeks in much of the south-central and eastern US and those are the regions that are most likely to get pounded with significant rainfall in this unfolding active weather pattern.
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It’ll still be a bit unsettled today with patchy fog this monring and the chance of another shower or two. High pressure will then edge into the region on Wednesday and it'll turn out to be a pretty nice day. However, another disturbance will head our way on Thursday and it will bring back the threat for showers and thunderstorms. In fact, the likely atmospheric setup on Thursday - a strong upper-level trough in the Southern Plains and a warm surge of humid air from the Gulf of Mexico into the region - could result in severe weather across northern Alabama. This active weather pattern will likely bring us another round of showers and possible strong thunderstorms early next week.
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Quite unsettled this week as a series of upper-level waves associated with a deep trough head east from the Southern Plains and into our area. As a result, showers and thunderstorms will impact the region later today, tonight and into the day on Tuesday and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side as a frontal system slides to the east from the middle of the country. On Wednesday, high pressure will edge into the region, but the stalled out front can still bring us some more shower and thunderstorm activity on Thursday and Friday and again, there will be a chance for severe weather.
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High pressure will push eastward today into the western Atlantic and this will lead to a southwesterly flow of air which in our area will turn us warmer and more humid. In addition, a vigorous upper-level low will spawn the formation of a strong storm over the Central Plains and this will increase the chances around here for shower and thunderstorm activity during the PM hours on Saturday. In fact, the overall atmospheric setup that appears to be unfolding with a strong surge of warm air and developing low pressure may lead to the formation of strong-to-severe thunderstorms across northern Alabama later tomorrow and the threat for showers and storms may last right into the early part of next week - including the threat for more severe weather.
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High pressure that is now in control of our weather will push eastward by later tomorrow and this will lead to a southwesterly flow of air which will turn us warmer and more humid. In addition, a vigorous upper-level low will spawn the formation of a strong storm over the Central Plains by the weekend and this will increase the chances around here for some shower and thunderstorm activity. In fact, the overall atmospheric setup that appears to be unfolding for Saturday featuring a significant warm surge from the Gulf of Mexico with approaching low pressure may lead to the formation of strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity across northern Alabama. Looking ahead, there very well could be another strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat around here during the early-to-middle part of next week.
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