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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

"2024-2025 Winter Outlook" by Arcfield Weather

Paul Dorian

Last winter was generally warmer-than-normal in the Mid-Atlantic region with below-normal snowfall and 2024 began with a rather strong El Nino event in the tropical Pacific Ocean. However, those warmer-than-normal water temperatures have since flipped to below-normal and this upcoming winter season is quite likely to feature weak La Nina (colder-than-normal) conditions. Typically, La Nina winters feature a more active polar jet stream that helps to transport cold air masses from northwestern Canada into the Northern Plains while, at the same time, much of the southern US often experiences warmer and drier conditions. La Nina winters are somewhat random in the Mid-Atlantic region with respect to temperatures and precipitation with some years featuring more snow than normal and others less.

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7:00 AM | *High temperatures generally in the low-to-mid 80's next few days*

Paul Dorian

The remainder of the week and upcoming weekend will feature dry and quite warm conditions across the Tennessee Valley with afternoon highs generally in the low-to-mid 80’s. In terms of the prospects for rain, they look to be quite small with the overall dry pattern likely continuing right through the upcoming weekend thanks to strong high pressure centered over the eastern states.

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7:00 AM | *The remainder of the week and upcoming weekend will feature dry and warm conditions across the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

The remainder of the week and upcoming weekend will feature dry and warm conditions across the Tennessee Valley with afternoon highs generally close to the 80-degree mark. In terms of the prospects for rain, they look to be quite small with the overall dry pattern likely continuing right through the upcoming weekend thanks to strong high pressure centered over the eastern states.

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1:00 PM | *Atlantic Basin tropical activity may experience another surge during the first half of November*

Paul Dorian

Since the middle of last week, two separate tropical systems attained tropical storm status adding to the year’s total number of named storms to 15 in the Atlantic Basin. Neither one of these most recent tropical storms, Nadine and Oscar, are a threat to the US mainland as the first one has already dissipated and the second is destined to push out over the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean. There are signs, however, that tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin may be very well get boosted again as we push into the first half of November.

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7:00 AM | *Warming trend begins today...temperatures get back to the upper 70's/lower 80's for highs early next week*

Paul Dorian

After a stretch of chilly weather, temperatures will begin to climb as we end the work week with today’s highs back up in the low-to-mid 70’s. By the latter part of the weekend and the early part of next week, we’ll see afternoon high temperatures near or even slightly above the 80 degree mark and there should be plenty of sunshine on a daily basis.

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8:30 AM (Thursday) | *“Rain, rain, go away”...scratch that...”rain, rain, come this way...pour down for even just a day”*

Paul Dorian

October can be a dry month in the Northeast US with the usual overall cooling down of the atmosphere, but this one has been pretty ridiculous. While tropical moisture has inundated the Tennessee Valley/Appalachians and Southeast US during the past couple of weeks, nary a drop has fallen in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and there is not much reason for hope in the next week or so. Perhaps...just perhaps...there may be some decent rainfall here around the end of the month as a strong cold frontal system heads this way from central Canada.

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7:00 AM | *The weekend is shaping up quite nicely with warmer conditions and plenty of sunshine on each day*

Paul Dorian

The chilly air mass of the past few days will modify by week’s end and temperatures are likely to climb back to near 70 degrees on Friday and into the 70’s this weekend. The next several days will feature plenty of sunshine as the recent dry weather pattern continues well into next week. One other note, the comet will remain visible in the western sky during each of the next few evenings assuming favorable sky conditions and a “dark enough” environment...look to the west about 45 minutes after sunset.

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7:00 AM | *Remains cool for the next couple of days...warmer for the late week and weekend...comet remains visible in the western sky about 45 minutes after sunset*

Paul Dorian

Today will be the coolest day of the week across northern Alabama with afternoon highs limited to about 60 degrees along with a noticeable breezy out of the north. This chilly air mass will modify by week’s end and temperatures are likely to climb into the 70’s again on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. One other note, a comet will remain be visible in the low western sky during each of the next few evenings assuming favorable sky conditions and a “dark enough” environment...look to the west about 45 minutes after sunset.

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