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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM | *Hurricane Eta slamming Central America...possible threat to Cuba, southern Florida by early next week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure well to our north will keep control of the weather around here for the next several days as it creates a persistent onshore flow of air. This type of flow of air will bring an increasing amount of moisture to the region as we go through the week and this will raise our chances of showers and thunderstorms. On the tropical scene, Hurricane Eta has come ashore in Nicaragua as a major hurricane and it will likely push back out over the Caribbean Sea by later in the weekend. After that, Eta is likely to become a threat to Cuba and perhaps even to southern Florida by the latter part of the weekend or early part of next week.

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12:30 PM (Tues.) | *Hurricane Eta inches closer to Nicaragua…to pound Central America with tremendous rainfall amounts…threat from Eta likely shifts to Cuba, southern Florida later this weekend*

Paul Dorian

Eta is a “major” hurricane and is edging its way to the northeastern coastline of Nicaragua in Central America. The extreme strength of Hurricane Eta combined with its very slow movement is bad news as it will likely result in catastrophic wind damage, tremendous rainfall amounts of up to three feet in some spots, and landslides in some of the higher terrain sections of Central America. After landfall in northeastern Nicaragua later today, Hurricane Eta will inch slowly westward over the next couple of days and push over Honduras on Thursday. Later in the week, a developing trough over the northern Gulf of Mexico should cause Eta (or its remnants) to turn northward and then to the northeast. This change in course will likely result in a re-strengthening of Eta as it pushes back out over the open waters of the western Caribbean Sea by the early part of the weekend and then the threat from this tropical system will perhaps shift to Cuba and southern Florida by the latter part of the weekend or early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Tropical threats not over yet for the Gulf region and SE US*

Paul Dorian

The calendar has flipped to November, but the unfolding weather pattern suggests tropical threats are not over just yet for the Gulf of Mexico and southeast US. Hurricane Eta has strengthened into a strong category 4 storm in the western Caribbean and it is headed for a landfall in Nicaragua early today. After landfall, Hurricane Eta will push westward and likely reach Honduras later in the week and then it may skirt Belize as it heads back out to the open waters of the still very warm western Caribbean Sea. It is at this time that the concern may begin to increase significantly for residents in Cuba, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Southeast US as whatever remains of Eta could re-strengthen and push northward by early next week.

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12:30 PM (Monday) | *Tropical threats not over yet for Gulf of Mexico, southeast US…unfolding weather pattern is favorable for potential impact next week*

Paul Dorian

The calendar has flipped to November, but the unfolding weather pattern suggests tropical threats are not over just yet for the Gulf of Mexico and southeast US. Hurricane Eta has strengthened into a strong category 2 storm in the western Caribbean and it is headed for a landfall in Central America in the near term – likely as a “major” hurricane (i.e., category 3 or higher). In fact, there is a decent chance that Hurricane Eta strengthens into category 4 “major” hurricane status before making landfall early Tuesday in the country of Nicaragua. After landfall, Hurricane Eta will push westward and likely reach Honduras later in the week and then it may skirt Belize as it heads back to the open waters of the still warm western Caribbean Sea. It is at this time that the concern may begin to increase significantly for residents in the Gulf of Mexico and Southeast US as whatever remains of Eta could re-strengthen and push northward towards the US by early next week.

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7:00 AM | **Cooler today and winds become a noticeable factor and will stay strong all week**

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front passed through the region last night and it’ll become windy and cooler today with highs confined to the 70’s across central Florida. In fact, winds will be a very noticeable factor right through the week and this will create hazardous beach conditions along the entire Florida east coast. Overnight low temperatures will be some of the coolest so far this season with around 50 degrees in normally cooler areas to the north and west and mid 60’s near the immediate Treasure coast.

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7:00 AM | *Yet another tropical wave to monitor as we near the end to October*

Paul Dorian

A cooler air mass has pushed into Florida following the passage of a cold front and it’ll remain pretty comfortable through the upcoming weekend. The remnants of “Zeta” have pushed off the coast and now there is another tropical wave to monitor in the southeastern part of the Caribbean Sea. If this new tropical wave becomes a named storm – and there is a pretty decent chance for this - then that would create a tie with 2005 for the highest number of named systems (28) in a given Atlantic Basin tropical season.

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7:00 AM | *The remains of "Zeta" accelerate to the northeast today after landfall late yesterday in SE LA*

Paul Dorian

“Zeta” made landfall late yesterday in the southeastern part of Louisiana becoming the 5th direct hit of the 2020 Atlantic Basin tropical season in that particular state. “Zeta” is accelerating today to the northeast and will combine with a strong upper-level low to generate a powerful storm system and a significant rain event across the Tennessee Valley, Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. Around here, it’ll be another unusually warm day with highs way up in the 80’s, but a strong cold front will bring relief for Friday.

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7:00 AM | *"Zeta" to make landfall later today in southeastern Louisiana*

Paul Dorian

“Zeta” is headed for a landfall later tomorrow in the southeastern part of Louisiana which will make the 6th direct hit in that state during this 2020 Atlantic Basin tropical season. After landfall, the remains of “Zeta” will turn northeast and combine with a strong upper-level low to generate a powerful storm system and a significant rain event across the Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US from tomorrow into Friday. By late tomorrow night, this powerful storm will likely be situated off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and a cold air mass will begin to get wrapped in resulting in a changeover to snow on Friday in portions of the Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | *"Zeta" headed for a mid-week landfall in the central Gulf coast*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm “Zeta” is on the verge of becoming a hurricane again as it pushes away from the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and out over the southern Gulf of Mexico. After that, “Zeta” will likely head to a landfall later tomorrow in the southeastern part of Louisiana – probably as a category 1 hurricane – and then it’ll turn to the northeast and bring significant rainfall to the Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic region and southern New England.

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7:00 AM | *Tropical Storm "Zeta" on the verge of hurricane status*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm “Zeta” is on the verge of becoming a hurricane over the northwestern part of the Caribbean Sea and will likely cross the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico during the next day or so. After that, “Zeta” will likely heads to a mid-week landfall in the central Gulf coastal region – probably as a category 1 hurricane – and then it’ll turn to the northeast and bring significant rainfall to the Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic regions.

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