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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | **Cold front brings occasional showers to the region later today and possibly a strong thunderstorm or two...stretch of nice weather to follow**

Paul Dorian

A cold frontal system will bring scattered showers to the region this morning and then more numerous showers and possible strong thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Some of the rain can be heavy at times later today and early tonight...watch out for localized flash flooding. The cold front should push off the east coast early tomorrow paving the way for a nice stretch of weather here from Saturday through at least next Tuesday featuring plenty of sunshine, low humidity and comfortable temperatures.

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12:15 PM (Wednesday) | ***Significant rain event now getting underway in the Mid-Atlantic region with localized flash flooding an increasing concern…severe thunderstorm threat on the table as well***

Paul Dorian

A significant rain event is now getting underway in the Mid-Atlantic region and it will continue into early Friday as a cold front inches its way across the area. This cold front has support aloft from a strong disturbance that will center itself over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley and there will be plenty of low-level moisture within a persistent and broad south-to-southeast flow of air that is forming on its front side. Showers have already pushed into interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic region and there can be an afternoon thunderstorm or two. The showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous on Thursday and Thursday night and some of the storms can reach severe levels with damaging wind gusts and even isolated tornadoes on the table. Flash flooding is an increasing concern in the Mid-Atlantic region given the already well-saturated grounds from recent significant rain events.

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7:00 AM | ***Significant rainfall next 48 hours in the Mid-Atlantic region with flash flooding a concern...strong-to-severe thunderstorm threat as well**

Paul Dorian

There is a good chance for significant rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region during the next 48 hours as a cold front inches its way across the area and flash flooding is a concern. This cold front will have support aloft from a strong disturbance that will center itself over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley and there will be plenty of low-level moisture within the broad south-to-southeast flow of air that forms today on its front side. An occasional shower is likely today and tonight with a thunderstorm possible and they will become more numerous on Thursday and Thursday night. Some of the thunderstorms on Thursday and Thursday night can reach strong-to-severe levels. Following the frontal passage, the weekend is looking quite nice with comfortable temperatures for late September.

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10:45 AM (Tuesday) | **Significant rainfall on the way for the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front will grind its way through the region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table as well**

Paul Dorian

There is a good chance for significant rainfall later this week in the Mid-Atlantic region as a cold front inches its way across the area. This cold front will have support aloft from a strong disturbance that will center itself over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley and there will be plenty of low-level moisture within the broad south-to-southeast flow of air that forms on its front side. Showers are likely to first develop on Wednesday across western sections of the Mid-Atlantic region and then gradually spread eastward on Wednesday night and Thursday. There is also likely to be a threat for strong-to-severe thunderstorms on Thursday and Thursday night to go along with the heavy rain threat.

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7:00 AM | **Some significant rainfall possible later this week as cold front slowly moves through the region**

Paul Dorian

There is a chance for some significant rainfall later this week in the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front inches its way across the region in the late Wednesday to late Thursday time period. The slow moving surface cold frontal system will have support aloft with a strong disturbance and will have lots of low-level moisture to work with as a broad southerly flow of air develops just ahead of it. The front will be followed by cooler-than-normal air in the eastern states for the late week and upcoming weekend.

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1:15 PM (Monday) | *Significant rainfall possible later this week in the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front grinds its way through the region*

Paul Dorian

There is a chance for some significant rainfall later this week in the Mid-Atlantic region as a cold front inches its way across the area in the late Wednesday to late Thursday time period. The slow moving surface cold frontal system will have support aloft with a strong disturbance and will have lots of moisture to work with as a broad southerly flow of air develops just ahead of it. The front will be followed by cooler-than-normal air for the eastern states for the late week and the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Late week frontal passage could produce significant rainfall*

Paul Dorian

The big weather story of the week will be the passage of a slow-moving frontal system which can be accompanied by some heavy rain and possible thunderstorm activity from late Wednesday into early Friday. Ahead of the front, high pressure will be in control for the next couple of days with comfortable conditions and cooler-than-normal air will follow for the late week and weekend.

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7:00 AM (Thursday) | *Cold front tends to linger near the coast today...nice weather follows for Friday and Saturday*

Paul Dorian

The cold front that generated yesterday’s showers and thunderstorms will tend to linger near the coast today as an upper-level trough slides slowly across the region. As a result, there can be a lingering shower or thunderstorm in the region and clouds are likely to persist for much of the day. Clearing skies tonight will result in noticeably cooler conditions and the next couple of days will be quite comfortable for this time of year and there should be plenty of sunshine as well. The overall pattern remains pretty nice as we get to early next week with temperatures climbing a bit compared to the early weekend levels.

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11:15 AM (Wednesday) | ***Another day and another severe thunderstorm threat for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US…includes possible downpours, hail and even isolated tornadoes are on the table***

Paul Dorian

The weather has certainly been active in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US in recent weeks and there is yet another threat for severe thunderstorm activity later today and tonight. A strong cold front will drop southeastward later today from the Great Lakes and into the region and it will be supported by an impressive wave of energy in the upper atmosphere. As a result, there is the chance for downpours later today into tonight and any severe storm can produce hail and perhaps even isolated tornadoes. Give the already well-saturated grounds, any heavy rainfall can result in localized flash flooding conditions. The passage of the strong cold front will usher in a very comfortable air mass for the region to close out the work week and begin the upcoming weekend.

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7:00 AM | ***Chance for strong-to-severe thunderstorms and brief heavy downpours later today/early tonight as cold front arrives...even the threat for isolated tornadoes...nice weather to follow***

Paul Dorian

A cold front will arrive later today and present us with the best chance of showers and thunderstorms this week. In fact, some of the late day and evening storms in the Mid-Atlantic region can be severe with brief heavy downpours possible and even isolated tornadoes. Given the well-saturated grounds, any heavy rainfall later today can result in localized flash flooding. Following the passage of the front, the latter part of the week will feature comfortable weather conditions to go along with plenty of sunshine. The nice weather pattern will continue into the upcoming weekend and temperatures will warm a bit, but remain pretty comfortable for this time of year.

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