The upcoming Easter weekend will be somewhat unsettled and it may be preceded by a deluge from later Friday into Friday night. High pressure builds into the area today and winds will remain noticeable, but less of a factor than yesterday. A frontal system will approach the region in the overnight hours with the chance of showers and it’ll stall nearby keeping the threat for showers alive from Wednesday into Thursday. This front will advance to the north of here as a warm front by Friday and we'll turn warmer and winds will intensify noticeably to close out the work week. In addition, as a strong cold front slowly works its way towards the east coast, rain will break out later Friday and it is likely to turn into a heavy rain event. Thunderstorms are also possible during this late week heavy rain event which can reach strong-to-severe levels. Instability showers are possible this weekend, but it doesn't look like a total washout.
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Low pressure will pull away to the northeast today and drag a cold front through the region which will produce lingering showers early this morning. Winds will pick up in intensity later today out of the NW as drier, colder air moves in following the frontal passage and gusts to 50 mph are possible. It’ll stay dry on Tuesday, but a warm front could bring a few showers to the region on Tuesday night and Wednesday. A strong low pressure system and its attendant frontal systems will likely bring another round of rain and thunderstorms here at week’s end and this is likely to be a significant rain event.
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A powerful storm system will push towards the Great Lakes on Sunday with accumulating snow on its northwest side in places likely Chicago, Illinois and severe weather and downpours will be a threat in its warm sector to the southeast of the storm track. The threat for downpours and severe weather will be “enhanced” across the Ohio Valley on Sunday and indeed there can be some heavy rain and severe thunderstorm activity that works its way into the I-95 corridor from later tomorrow afternoon into early Monday - including the possibility of isolated tornadoes..
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The grass will certainly get off to a good start in the Mid-Atlantic region over the next few weeks as water will be quite plentiful – much as it was for all of the last growing season. The Mid-Atlantic region will get hit by back-to-back rain events in coming days and each one can result in some heavy downpours and perhaps even some strong thunderstorm activity. Looking ahead, there is even a good chance at a third significant rain event at the end of the next week for much of the eastern US including the Mid-Atlantic as the overall wet pattern shows no sign of slowing down.
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Low pressure will head over the Great Lakes region today and it’ll push a couple of frontal systems our way as we close out the work week. A couple of showers are likely later today, but the main rain threat is coming tonight and there can be a thunderstorm mixed in as well - some of the rain can be heavy at times. Clouds and sun on Saturday ahead of the next low pressure system and a couple of lingering showers are possible to go along with quite warm afternoon temperatures. More rain is likely here from later Sunday into Monday and this next event can result in some heavy rainfall in the Sunday overnight hours and during the early part of Monday.
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High pressure will push off the east coast later today, but it should remain close enough for another rain-free day in the Mid-Atlantic region. Low pressure will move through the Great Lakes region on Friday and generate a round of showers here on Friday night along with the chance for scattered thunderstorms. The weekend is not looking too good as clouds will dominate on Saturday and perhaps there will be some lingering shower activity. Another system will bring more rain here later Sunday into Monday and some of it can be heavy at times late Sunday night/early Monday.
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A cold front crossed the region late yesterday and ushered in cooler air for the mid-week with high temperatures likely to be in the lower 60's later this afternoon compared to the 70’s on Tuesday. After a decent day on Thursday, another frontal system will head our way on Friday and there will likely be another round of showers and possible thunderstorms on Friday night which should be followed by high pressure for Saturday and then more rain is likely from later Sunday into early Monday.
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A cold front will cross the region later today and there is the chance for a round of showers and thunderstorms during the mid-to-late afternoon - some of the storms can be on the strong side. The frontal passage will usher in colder air for late tonight and Wednesday with high temperatures likely to drop from the 70’s today to the 50’s tomorrow. Another frontal system will arrive late Friday and there will likely be another round of showers and thunderstorms to end the work week which should be followed by high pressure for Saturday, but then more rain is likely on Sunday.
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It is perhaps not too surprising that today’s warm up is leading to some instability in the atmosphere and the result could be an evening thunderstorm anywhere along the DC-to-Philly corridor. Some of the storms can even reach strong levels with the greatest likelihood for that just to the southeast of DC and across the Delmarva Peninsula. At 2PM temperatures ranged from 80 degrees at Dulles to 77 degrees in Philly and the wind is pretty gusty at times out of the southwest. A mesoscale analysis of the surface lifted index in Mid-Atlantic indeed shows some instability in the DC-to-Philly corridor and latest radar echoes are increasing in intensity and coverage across West Virginia and southern Pennsylvania.
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After a decent and mild weekend, it'll turn even warmer as we begin the new work week with some sunshine and afternoon highs well up in the 70's. There can be a few showers and thunderstorms later today, tonight and on Tuesday, but much of the time will be rain-free. A cold front will usher in cooler air for the mid-week and then another system could bring us more rain by late Friday or Friday night.
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