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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

7:00 AM | *First week of June will be warm and unsettled with a few opportunities of showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

A weak disturbance can set off some shower and thunderstorm activity later today as temperatures climb into the low-to-mid 80’s for afternoon highs. High pressure will be in general control of the weather on Tuesday providing us with plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. An upper-level low then swings towards the Great Lakes and it’ll keep the weather pattern quite unsettled around here for the mid and late week time periods. Showers and thunderstorms are likely to return to the area later Wednesday and Wednesday night and some of that rain can be heavy at times.

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6:30 AM | *A great finish to the shortened work week and for the start to the weekend...PM shower threat on Sunday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday, and it’ll stay in control of the weather through Saturday as it edges slowly eastward towards the east coast. The air mass associated with this system is very comfortable for the end of May featuring pleasant temperatures and low humidity values. The pattern becomes more unsettled for the second half of the weekend as an upper-level trough will slide in this direction from the west. As a result, clouds should be on the increase on Sunday and there is a chance for some shower activity from Sunday afternoon into Sunday night.

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1:00 PM (Thursday) | *Severe weather/tornado threat next few days to be focused on the Plains*

Paul Dorian

A spurt of tornadoes since late April has put levels well above normal as we reach the end of May and the overall active weather pattern of recent weeks looks like it’ll continue into the month of June. One of the key ingredients to this on-going active weather pattern has been the steady influx of colder-than-normal air masses from Canada into the US at the same time increasingly warm and humid air has been flowing northward from the Gulf of Mexico. The main area of concern for severe weather and tornadoes over the next few days will be across the Plains states all the way from Texas (today/tonight/tomorrow) to the Dakotas/Minnesota (on Sunday).

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7:00 AM | *Very comfortable air mass with low humidity pushes into the Mid-Atlantic region for the next couple of days...weekend starts off well*

Paul Dorian

High pressure has edged into the Mid-Atlantic region and it arrives with a spectacular air mass for late May featuring very comfortable temperatures and humidity levels. There will be plenty of sunshine today to go along with the pleasant temperatures and low humidity and it stays nice on Friday as well. The weekend looks like it will start off well with plenty of sunshine expected on Saturday to go along with comfortably warm temperatures. The second half of the weekend is likely to feature increasing clouds as a disturbance heads this way from the Midwest and there is the chance of showers late in the day or on Sunday night.

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7:00 AM | **The threat of showers and thunderstorms returns later today and continues tonight...some of the storms can be strong**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will push towards the region later today and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase this afternoon and that threat will continue through much of tonight…any thunderstorm can be on the strong side. High pressure arrives on Thursday with plenty of sunshine and lowering humidity, but an isolated shower cannot be ruled out. Temperatures will be quite comfortable for the next few days with the middle 70’s for highs this afternoon and the lower 70’s on Thursday and Friday. A warming trend takes place this weekend and high temperatures by Sunday and Monday will be back to near the 80 degree mark.

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7:00 AM | *Quieter weather today with plenty of sunshine and lower humidity...shower/storm threat returns on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

After a volatile end to the holiday weekend, the weather today will be quieter with plenty of sunshine, lower humidity, and comfortably warm conditions as high pressure takes control. The next low pressure system to impact the region comes at mid-week raising the chance of showers and thunderstorms from Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday. High pressure returns for the late week and it’ll be associated with a cooler-than-normal air mass for the end of May on Thursday and Friday.  

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6:30 AM | **Somewhat unsettled today through Sunday, but there should be plenty of rain-free time...looking wet and stormy for Memorial Day**

Paul Dorian

A cold front grudgingly slid through the region yesterday and will stall just to our south by the early part of the weekend. Additional disturbances will ride along this stalled-out frontal boundary zone through the weekend bringing us the chance of showers and thunderstorms from time-to-time; however, there should be plenty of rain-free time as well so not at all a total washout. An unsettled weather pattern early next week with a deepening upper-level trough of low pressure will bring us a good chance of showers and thunderstorms on Monday, Memorial Day…some of the rain can be heavy, some of the storms can be strong-to-severe.

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7:00 AM | **A shower or thunderstorm at just about anytime today and tonight...some of the storms can be strong**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will grudgingly slide through the region today and then stall just to our south at the end of the week. There can be a shower or thunderstorm at just about any time today and tonight and some of the storms that form can be on the strong side. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will diminish some on Friday and then increase again this weekend as disturbances ride along the stalled-out frontal boundary zone. The weekend will not be a total washout, however, as there should be plenty of rain-free time. An unsettled weather pattern early next week will bring us a good chance of showers and thunderstorms on Monday, Memorial Day, and likely Tuesday as well.

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1:45 PM | **Showers and storms in the Mid-Atlantic region tonight, tomorrow, and tomorrow night...some of the storms can be strong-to-severe...a look ahead to Memorial Day and it looks wet**

Paul Dorian

Yesterday and today featured plenty of sunshine in the Mid-Atlantic region with very warm and rain-free conditions – not too common in recent weeks – and the dry weather is about to change. The approach of a cold front will bring about an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening across the Mid-Atlantic region and the threat of rain will continue on Thursday and Thursday night. Any thunderstorm in this stretch between this evening and tomorrow night can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy rain, gusty winds and perhaps even some hail. The period between Friday and Sunday will likely feature some shower activity, but the weekend will not be a total washout. Looking ahead to Monday, Memorial Day, an unusually strong upper-level low for late May will be pushing in this direction and the holiday may turn out to be quite wet in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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7:00 AM | **Plenty of sun today and very warm...chance of showers and storms tonight, Thursday, and Thursday night...any thunderstorm between late today and late tomorrow can be on the strong side**

Paul Dorian

Today will be another day featuring abundant sunshine and very warm conditions with temperatures climbing well up into the 80’s for afternoon highs throughout the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure will be the main player through today, but an approaching cold frontal system later tonight will turn out to be a dominant player for the remainder of the week and weekend. This front will grudgingly slide across the region on Thursday and then stall just to our south at the end of the week ultimately allowing disturbances to track along its boundary zone.

As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase here by this evening and the threat will continue on Thursday and Thursday night…any thunderstorm that forms in this stretch can be on the strong side. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will diminish some on Friday and then increase again on Saturday and Sunday; however, the weekend does not look like a washout. Additional disturbances will ride along the stalled-out frontal boundary zone into early next week and there is a good chance of showers on Monday, Memorial Day, and perhaps thunderstorms as well.

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