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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Quite comfortable weather for the Independence Day holiday*

Paul Dorian

The Independence Day holiday will feature very nice overall weather conditions with plenty of sunshine and a comfortable combination of warm temperatures and low humidity values. The cooler and drier air mass will stick around on Friday and then it turns warmer to begin the upcoming weekend. The best chance of rain during the next few days likely comes on Sunday and only isolated showers are possible before the latter part of the weekend.

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7:00 AM | **Independence Day to feature hotter and more humid conditions along with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms...any storm later today or tonight can be strong**

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes offshore today and this re-positioning will allow hotter and more humid air to flow northeastward into the Mid-Atlantic region for the Independence Day holiday. The atmosphere becomes more unstable as well with the arrival of a surface trough of low pressure raising the chance for afternoon or evening showers and thunderstorms. Any thunderstorm that forms later today or tonight can be strong and produce locally heavy rainfall. Hot and sticky weather will continue on Friday and Saturday as will the threat of showers and thunderstorms; however, much of the time will be rain-free.

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7:00 AM | **Independence Day to feature hotter and more humid conditions along with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms...any storm later today or tonight can be strong**

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes offshore today and this re-positioning will allow hotter and more humid air to flow northeastward into the Mid-Atlantic region for the Independence Day holiday. The atmosphere becomes more unstable as well with the arrival of a surface trough of low pressure raising the chance for afternoon or evening showers and thunderstorms. Any thunderstorm that forms later today or tonight can be strong and produce locally heavy rainfall. Hot and sticky weather will continue on Friday and Saturday as will the threat of showers and thunderstorms; however, much of the time will be rain-free.

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12:30 PM (Wed) | ***Hurricane Beryl pounds Jamaica...reaches Yucatan Peninsula on Friday...weekend turn to the NW puts Texas landfall in play***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Beryl is now classified as a category 4 storm and will impact Jamaica shortly with hurricane conditions as it continues to push across the Caribbean Sea in a west-northwest direction. On this path, Hurricane Beryl will slide across the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico on Friday and then push to a position out over the open warm waters of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The weakening of Beryl which began late yesterday will likely continue for the next couple of days as it bypasses Jamaica and then crosses land mass of the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday. After that, Beryl may very well re-intensify this weekend and it likely shifts to a northwesterly direction which would put southeastern Texas on the table for a possible landfall by Sunday night/early Monday.

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7:00 AM | *Nice weather setting up for the Independence Day holiday albeit on the windy side*

Paul Dorian

The weather will be unstable today with the chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms and some of the storms can be strong. It turns cooler for the 4th of July Independence DAY holiday with highs on Thursday in the lower 80’s to go along with very breezy conditions with gusts to 25 mph or so. The weather remains quite comfortable on Friday to close out the work week and then turns warmer and more unsettled again this weekend.

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6:30 AM | *Turns hotter and more humid for the Independence Day holiday with the chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure stays in control of the weather around here for another day, but the overall pattern becomes more unsettled on Thursday as the high shifts offshore and an upper-level trough starts to have an influence in this area. Today will feature plenty of sunshine, an increase in humidity and afternoon highs not far from 90 degrees. It turns hotter and more humid for the 4th of July Independence Day holiday and stays hot and sticky through the upcoming weekend. In addition, the atmosphere will become more unstable on Thursday...enough so to increase the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and any thunderstorm that forms can be strong and produce locally heavy rainfall. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Friday and Saturday as well to go along with the very warm and humid conditions as a cool front slowly advances in this direction from our northwest. 

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6:30 AM | *Turns hotter and more humid for the Independence Day holiday with the chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure stays in control of the weather around here for another day, but the overall pattern becomes more unsettled on Thursday as the high shifts offshore and an upper-level trough starts to have an influence in this area. Today will feature plenty of sunshine, still moderate humidity levels and warm conditions with afternoon highs in the middle 80’s. It turns hotter and more humid for the 4th of July Independence Day holiday and stays hot and sticky through the upcoming weekend. In addition, the atmosphere will become more unstable on Thursday...enough so to increase the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and any thunderstorm that forms can be strong and produce locally heavy rainfall. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Friday and Saturday as well to go along with the very warm and humid conditions as a cool front slowly advances in this direction from our northwest. 

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6:30 AM | *Turns hotter and more humid for the Independence Day holiday with the chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure stays in control of the weather around here for another day, but the overall pattern becomes more unsettled on Thursday as the high shifts offshore and an upper-level trough starts to have an influence in this area. Today will feature plenty of sunshine, still moderate humidity levels and warm conditions with afternoon highs in the middle 80’s. It turns hotter and more humid for the 4th of July Independence Day holiday and stays hot and sticky through the upcoming weekend. In addition, the atmosphere will become more unstable on Thursday...enough so to increase the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and any thunderstorm that forms can be strong and produce locally heavy rainfall. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Friday and Saturday as well to go along with the very warm and humid conditions as a cool front slowly advances in this direction from our northwest. 

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1:30 PM (Tues) | ***Beryl remains a category 5 hurricane at mid-day...reaches Jamaica on Wednesday...Yucatan Peninsula on Friday...late weekend turn to the northwest likely...possibly to SE Texas***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Beryl remains classified as a category 5 storm and is moving at a pretty good clip (22 mph) across the Caribbean Sea. Hurricane Beryl will move very close to or right over the island of Jamaica on Wednesday and then likely reach the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico by the end of the week. After that, the likely scenario has a weakened Beryl moving over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it very well can take a turn to the northwest late in the weekend meaning a landfall in southeastern Texas is on the table.

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