The Atlantic Basin tropical season became more active during the past couple of weeks after a relatively quiet stretch since mid-August and it looks like the increased action will persist into October. In fact, the evolving overall weather pattern has a chance to produce a serious tropical threat in about 7 to 10 days with the likely region of interest for initial formation and intensification extending from the Caribbean Sea to the Gulf of Mexico. The movement of a tropical disturbance that propagates eastward around the global tropics will create a change in the atmosphere that will lead to enhanced upward motion later next week over the still very warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. This pattern change will enhance the chances for tropical storm formation and intensification in this part of the Atlantic Basin. All residents across the Gulf and US east coasts should keep an eye on any tropical storm formation next week as the potential for a powerful storm system is quite high.
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Quiet weather will continue today across the Tennessee Valley and for much of the remainder of the week as well. Drier air filtered into the area on Monday and the next few days will be dominated by dry, comfortably warm conditions featuring some sunshine on a daily basis.
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Winds will continue to be an important factor today with gusts as high as 30 mph and there will be the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. Looking ahead, the pattern turns cooler at week’s end and for the weekend and the chance in temperatures could even lead to some high mountain snow.
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Low pressure that formed near the Carolina coastline has pushed inland in the overnight hours to a position over upstate South Carolina. Its rain shield is making some progress up the coast, but high pressure to the north and east is acting as a barrier to the northward advance. The threat of showers will increase here today and continue through mid-week with the heaviest total rainfall amounts likely ending up across the southern half of the DC metro region and lesser amounts across the northern Maryland suburbs.
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Low pressure that formed near the Carolina coastline has pushed inland in the overnight hours to a position over upstate South Carolina. Its rain shield is making some progress up the coast., but high pressure to the northeast is limiting its northward push. The threat of showers will increase here by late tonight and continue through mid-week; however, total rainfall amounts may be quite limited in this area due to the overall blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere.
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Low pressure that formed near the Carolina coastline has pushed inland in the overnight hours to a position over upstate South Carolina. Its rain shield is making some progress up the coast., but high pressure to the northeast is limiting its northward push. The threat of showers will increase here by Wednesday and continue into Thursday; however, total rainfall amounts may be quite limited in this area due to the overall blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere.
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A much quieter week is in store for the local region as the remnants of Francine no longer will be a factor across northern Alabama. Drier air filtered into the area in the overnight hours and the next few days will be dominated by dry, warm conditions featuring some sunshine on a daily basis.
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It remains warm during the next couple of days and winds will become a noticeable factor gusting up to 25 or 30 mph at times. There will be an isolated shower or thunderstorm later today and a better chance on Tuesday at which time some of the storms can be severe over the plains. It turns noticeably cooler late in the week with a strong upper-level low moving into the Rocky Mountain States and high mountain snows will become a possibility by the weekend.
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The week will start off on the quiet side with high pressure remaining in control leading to more rain-free and comfortable weather conditions around here although clouds will be abundant. Low pressure is intensifying along the Carolina coastline and this system will bring changes to the overall pattern with some beneficial rainfall on the way. The low makes a move inland later tonight in a northwesterly direction and rain is going to push slowly up the east coast. The threat of rain that begins here late tonight will stick around for a few days thanks to a blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere and some of the rain that falls in this unsettled stretch can be on the heavy side.
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The week will start off on the quiet side with high pressure remaining in control leading to more dry and comfortable temperatures around here. Low pressure is intensifying along the Carolina coastline and this system will bring changes to the pattern with some beneficial rainfall on the way. The low makes a move inland later tonight in a northwesterly direction and rain is going to push slowly up the coast. The threat of rain that begins here later tomorrow night will stick around for a few days thanks to a blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere and some of the rain that falls in this unsettled stretch can be on the heavy side.
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