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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:30 AM | *Comfortably warm next couple of days...trends a bit cooler for early next week*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will meander off the coast during the next couple of days and most of the moisture associated with it will as well; however, an isolated shower or two cannot be ruled out. High pressure will take control of the weather later this weekend and it’ll stick around through the early part of next week. Temperatures will remain in the comfortable zone for the next few days with highs not far from 80 degrees and then the 70’s will dominate the scene for early next week with respect to the afternoon temperatures.

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6:15 AM - *Off and on showers in the Mid-Atlantic region through tomorrow night...temperatures remain in comfortable territory with persistent onshore flow*

Paul Dorian

Showers have advanced northward into the region associated with a weakening low pressure system to our south and the shower threat will continue into the end of the week as a secondary low forms over the western Atlantic. Temperatures will generally remain on the cool side of normal given the extensive cloud cover that is expected during the new few days and the persistent onshore flow. High pressure will try to take control of the weather this weekend with the continuation of comfortable temperatures and partial sunshine on both days.  

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6:15 AM - *Off and on showers in the Mid-Atlantic region through tomorrow night...temperatures remain in comfortable territory with persistent onshore flow*

Paul Dorian

Showers have advanced northward into the region associated with a weakening low pressure system to our south and the shower threat will continue into the end of the week as a secondary low forms over the western Atlantic. Temperatures will generally remain on the cool side of normal given the extensive cloud cover that is expected during the new few days and the persistent onshore flow. High pressure will try to take control of the weather this weekend with the continuation of comfortable temperatures and partial sunshine on both days.  

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6:15 AM - *Off and on showers in the Mid-Atlantic region through tomorrow night...temperatures remain in comfortable territory with persistent onshore flow*

Paul Dorian

Showers have advanced northward into the region associated with a weakening low pressure system to our south and the shower threat will continue into the end of the week as a secondary low forms over the western Atlantic. Temperatures will generally remain on the cool side of normal given the extensive cloud cover that is expected during the new few days and the persistent onshore flow. High pressure will try to take control of the weather this weekend with the continuation of comfortable temperatures and partial sunshine on both days.  

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**Changing weather pattern suggests a big-time tropical threat is possible in a week or so**

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical season became more active during the past couple of weeks after a relatively quiet stretch since mid-August and it looks like the increased action will persist into October. In fact, the evolving overall weather pattern has a chance to produce a serious tropical threat in about 7 to 10 days with the likely region of interest for initial formation and intensification extending from the Caribbean Sea to the Gulf of Mexico. The movement of a tropical disturbance that propagates eastward around the global tropics will create a change in the atmosphere that will lead to enhanced upward motion later next week over the still very warm waters of the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico. This pattern change will enhance the chances for tropical storm formation and intensification in this part of the Atlantic Basin. All residents across the Gulf and US east coasts should keep an eye on any tropical storm formation next week as the potential for a powerful storm system is quite high.

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7:00 AM | *Dry and comfortably warm next few days*

Paul Dorian

Quiet weather will continue today across the Tennessee Valley and for much of the remainder of the week as well. Drier air filtered into the area on Monday and the next few days will be dominated by dry, comfortably warm conditions featuring some sunshine on a daily basis.

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6:15 AM | *Onshore flow to keep it cool, cloudy and damp next few days...rain shield to our south slowly pushing north*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure that formed near the Carolina coastline has pushed inland in the overnight hours to a position over upstate South Carolina. Its rain shield is making some progress up the coast, but high pressure to the north and east is acting as a barrier to the northward advance. The threat of showers will increase here today and continue through mid-week with the heaviest total rainfall amounts likely ending up across the southern half of the DC metro region and lesser amounts across the northern Maryland suburbs.

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