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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | **A surge in temperatures on Saturday all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor**

Paul Dorian

It turns milder today with increasing clouds as a warm front approaches the area from our southwest and there can be a couple of mid-to-late afternoon showers. Showers are likely tonight as the warm front pushes through the region and temperatures will surge on Saturday to the lower 80’s for afternoon highs. There should be some sunshine to go along with the warmth on Saturday and a stiff breeze as well from a west-to-southwest direction. This surge in temperatures will become somewhat muted on Sunday as clouds will dominate the skies and help to knock temperatures down some from tomorrow’s high levels and there will be an increasing chance of showers later in the weekend.  Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity and perhaps a strong thunderstorm. This frontal passage will end the warm spell leading to much colder conditions by Tuesday and its stays on the chilly side next Wednesday as well.

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6:15 AM | **A surge in temperatures on Saturday all along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...temperatures flip back on Sunday following passage of back door cool front**

Paul Dorian

It turns milder today with increasing clouds as a warm front approaches the area from our southwest and there can be a shower by the end of the afternoon. Showers are likely tonight as the warm front pushes through the region and temperatures will surge on Saturday to near 80 degrees for afternoon highs. There should be some sunshine to go along with the warmth on Saturday and a stiff breeze as well from a west-to-southwest direction. Temperatures on Sunday are likely to be much cooler across NYC and much of New Jersey as well with the passage of a back door cool frontal system from northeast-to-southwest. Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity and perhaps a thunderstorm. This frontal passage will end the warm spell leading to much colder conditions by Tuesday and its stays on the chilly side next Wednesday as well.

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*The dreaded “back door” cool front...can mean the difference of 30-40 degrees over a short distance, and the difference between summer and winter over a short period of time*

Paul Dorian

Any long-time weather forecaster in the northeastern part of the nation knows quite well to be fearful of the “back door” cool front this time of year as it can make a forecast of summer-like temperatures look rather foolish with winter-like reality instead. Indeed, the “back door” cool front is rather common in the northeastern part of the US during the months of March and April, and it can mean the difference of 30-40 degrees over a short distance, and the difference between summer and winter weather conditions over a short period of time.

In fact, there can be winter-like temperatures this Saturday in Boston, Massachusetts while a summer-like feel is as close by as Harford, Connecticut, and summer-like temperatures in New York City and New Jersey on Saturday can drop significantly by Sunday after the passage of a “back door” cool front from northeast-to-southwest. The key factor in the potential dramatic impact of the passage of a “back door” cool front this time of year is that the western Atlantic Ocean is still quite cold so a switch of low-level flow of air from a warmer continental direction to an ocean flow can result in substantial temperature swings.

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6:15 AM | *Great day for the Nationals home opener...a surge in temperatures on Saturday with 80 degrees on the table (and peak cherry blossoms)*

Paul Dorian

It becomes breezy today and sunshine will boost afternoon temperatures to near 60 degrees for highs…great weather for the Nationals home opener against the Phillies at 4pm. It turns slightly milder on Friday with increasing clouds and then a warm front pushes through on Friday night likely accompanied by some shower activity. Following the passage of the warm front, temperatures should surge on Saturday to near 80 degrees and there should be partial sunshine with a stiff breeze. This surge in temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region will be muted somewhat on Sunday as clouds will become dominate and help to knock temperatures down some from Saturday’s warmth and there will be an increasing chance of showers later in the weekend.  Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity. This frontal passage will end the warm spell in a hurry leading to much colder-than-normal conditions by Tuesday, April 1st, and it stays on the cool side for next Wednesday as well.

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6:15 AM | *Cool today despite plenty of sunshine...big-time warmup on Saturday*

Paul Dorian

It becomes breezy today and stays on the cool side despite plenty of sunshine with afternoon high temperatures in the low-to-mid 50’s. It turns slightly milder on Friday with increasing clouds and then a warm front pushes through on Friday night likely accompanied by some shower activity. Following the passage of the warm front, temperatures should surge on Saturday to well up in the 70’s and there should be some sunshine and a stiff breeze. This surge in temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region will be muted somewhat on Sunday as clouds will become dominate and help to knock temperatures down some from Saturday’s warmth and there will be an increasing chance of showers later in the weekend.  Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity. This frontal passage will end the warm spell in a hurry leading to much colder-than-normal conditions by Tuesday, April 1st, and it stays on the cool side for next Wednesday as well.

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6:15 AM | *Sunny, breezy, cool today for the Yankees home opener...big-time warmup on Saturday*

Paul Dorian

It becomes breezy today and stays on the cool side despite plenty of sunshine with afternoon high temperatures in the low-to-mid 50’s…dry weather for the Yankees home opener (3pm). It turns slightly milder on Friday with increasing clouds and then a warm front pushes through on Friday night likely accompanied by some shower activity. Following the passage of the warm front, temperatures should surge on Saturday to well up in the 70’s and there should be some sunshine and a stiff breeze. This surge in temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region will be muted somewhat on Sunday as clouds will become dominate and help to knock temperatures down some from Saturday’s warmth and there will be an increasing chance of showers later in the weekend.  Looking ahead, a strong storm will pass by to the northwest of the Mid-Atlantic’s I-95 corridor region on Monday and it’ll drag a strong cold front through the area with additional shower activity. This frontal passage will end the warm spell in a hurry leading to much colder-than-normal conditions by Tuesday, April 1st, and it stays on the cool side for next Wednesday as well.

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6:15 Am | *Nice and warm next couple of days...unsettled this weekend and early next week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

Today will be another rather pleasant day across the region with plenty of sunshine and comfortable temperatures that should peak this afternoon in the lower 70’s. It turns warmer on Friday afternoon with highs in the upper 70’s and it stays warm this weekend though more unsettled with a chance of showers and thunderstorms on both Saturday and Sunday.

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