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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *Cold front arrives later today and high pressure takes control for the remainder of the week...next chance of showers comes late Sunday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the area later today and it should pass through on the dry side later tonight. This frontal passage will usher in a chilly air mass as high pressure edges into the region on Thursday and temperatures will struggle to climb past the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs. Winds will be quite noticeable on both sides of the cold front from later today through much of tomorrow night. High pressure pushes away from the region on Friday and a warm front could result in more cloud cover as we begin the weekend. The threat of showers is likely to return late in the weekend with the approach of another cold frontal system.

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"2025-2026 Winter Outlook" by Arcfield Weather

Paul Dorian

Numerous factors have been considered in the preparation of the “2025-2026 Winter Outlook” including the likelihood of another winter season with La Nina conditions across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In fact, La Nina has been the dominant player in the tropical Pacific during four of the five winters this decade with colder-than-normal sea surface temperatures persisting during these seasons. While La Nina is likely as we head into the winter, it should be relatively weak and may transition into “neutral” territory during the second half of the season. As such, teleconnection indices related to other parts of the world have been closely analyzed including the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) as they may play a bigger role than normal in overall winter weather patterns. The trend in these teleconnection indices can provide us with some clues as to the temperature and pressure patterns that can be expected during the upcoming winter season and to the prospects for “high-latitude blocking” events to take place. The combination of all these factors and a look at “analog” years with similar sea surface temperature and QBO patterns to today leads me to believe that this will be a colder-than-normal winter season across much of the eastern two/thirds of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic region with nearly normal to slightly above normal snowfall amounts on the table.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm finally pulls away later today...sunshine returns to the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A coastal storm that has been impacting much of the Atlantic seaboard during the past few days will finally weaken and exit off to the east later today. Weather conditions will be slow to improve in the Mid-Atlantic region, but the mid-week should feature some sunshine in the area ahead of the next cold frontal system. That cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday night and it’ll usher in a chilly air mass with temperatures on Thursday likely to struggle to climb above the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs despite plenty of sunshine…there will be a noticeable northwest wind as well.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm finally pulls away later today...sunshine returns to the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A coastal storm that has been impacting much of the Atlantic seaboard during the past few days will finally weaken and exit off to the east later today. Weather conditions will be slow to improve in the Mid-Atlantic region, but the mid-week should feature some sunshine in the area ahead of the next cold frontal system. That cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday night and it’ll usher in a chilly air mass with temperatures on Thursday likely to struggle to climb above the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs despite plenty of sunshine…there will be a noticeable northwest wind as well.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm finally pulls away later today...sunshine returns to the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A coastal storm that has been impacting much of the Atlantic seaboard during the past few days will finally weaken and exit off to the east later today. Weather conditions will be slow to improve in the Mid-Atlantic region, but the mid-week should feature some sunshine in the area ahead of the next cold frontal system. That cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday night and it’ll usher in a chilly air mass with temperatures on Thursday likely to struggle to climb much past the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs despite plenty of sunshine…there will be a noticeable northwest wind as well.

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6:00 AM | **Coastal storm impacts the Mid-Atlantic for another day...rest of the week looks better**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure off the east coast will continue to influence our weather today with cloudy skies, breezy and cool conditions, and occasional rain or drizzle. This coastal system will weaken and move out to sea on Tuesday and improvement in the weather will begin to take place in the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure builds in by the middle of the week and generates comfortably cool and dry conditions for much of the second half of the week.

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6:00 AM | **Coastal storm impacts the Mid-Atlantic for another day...rest of the week looks better**

Paul Dorian

Low pressure off the east coast will continue to influence our weather today with cloudy skies, stiff winds, cool conditions, and occasional rain. This coastal system will weaken and move out to sea on Tuesday and improvement in the weather will begin to take place in the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure builds in by the middle of the week and generates comfortably cool and dry conditions for much of the second half of the week.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm impacts the Mid-Atlantic for another day...rest of the week looks better*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure off the east coast will continue to influence our weather today with cloudy skies, breezy and cool conditions, and occasional showers. This coastal system will weaken and move out to sea on Tuesday and improvement in the weather will begin to take place in the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure builds in by the middle of the week and generates comfortably cool and dry conditions for much of the second half of the week.

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