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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *A significant warmup next week in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

The work week will end with clouds this morning giving way to some sun for the afternoon and it’ll turn noticeably milder compared to recent days ahead of the next cool front. That front comes through the region later tonight and temperatures on Saturday will be a tad lower than today and northwest winds will kick up at times. Looking ahead, a significant warmup is expected for the early and middle parts of next week. Temperatures should climb well up into the 70’s on Monday for afternoon highs and then the 80’s are coming for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

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6:00 AM | *Spring storm system is on the table for Tuesday/Wednesday time period of next week*

Paul Dorian

The next couple of days will be somewhat unsettled across the region with scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm, but there will be plenty of rain-free time as well. The weather turns warmer and drier on Sunday, but next week could present a spring storm system to the region with heavy precipitation amounts on the table including possible snow in nearby higher elevation locations.

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6:00 AM | **Another chance for frost late tonight...looking quite warm next week**

Paul Dorian

The day will start off on the frosty side, but it’ll turn a bit milder this afternoon with plenty of sunshine and light winds. It turns even milder on Friday ahead of the next cold front and there can be a shower on Friday night. The weekend will start off with breezy and cooler conditions on Saturday to go along with some sun and seasonal temperatures will close out the weekend with more sunshine expected on Sunday. Looking ahead, the weather turns much warmer next week with the mid-to-upper 70’s on the table for Monday for afternoon highs and the middle 80’s by Tuesday afternoon.

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6:00 AM | **Looking much warmer next week and 90 degrees is on the table**

Paul Dorian

The day will start off on the frosty side in many areas, but it’ll turn a bit milder this afternoon with plenty of sunshine and light winds. It turns even milder on Friday ahead of the next cold front and there can be an isolated shower on Friday night. The weekend will start off a bit cooler and breezy on Saturday and then quite mild on Sunday…both days featuring plenty of sunshine. Looking ahead, the weather turns much warmer next week with the low-to-mid 80’s on the table for Monday for afternoon highs and perhaps a flirtation with the 90-degree mark by Tuesday afternoon.

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6:00 AM | **Another chance for frost late tonight...looking quite warm next week**

Paul Dorian

The day will start off on the frosty side, but it’ll turn a bit milder this afternoon with plenty of sunshine and light winds. It turns even milder on Friday ahead of the next cold front and there can be a shower on Friday night. The weekend will start off with breezy and cooler conditions on Saturday to go along with some sun and seasonal temperatures will close out the weekend with more sunshine expected on Sunday. Looking ahead, the weather turns much warmer next week with the middle 70’s on the table for Monday for afternoon highs and the low-to-mid 80’s by Tuesday afternoon.

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*2026 Tropical and Summertime Outlook*

Paul Dorian

The number of named tropical storms in 2026 is likely to be slightly below normal in the Atlantic Basin due mainly to water temperature patterns in both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The average number of named tropical storms in an Atlantic Basin tropical season is 14.4 with 7.2 of those reaching hurricane status, and 3.2 attaining “major” designation of category 3 or higher. Based on the overall analysis of current and forecasted atmospheric and oceanic conditions, I expect to see around 12 named storms in the Atlantic Basin this tropical season with about 6 of those reaching hurricane status and of those perhaps 2 to achieve “major” classification level.

Two important factors in this year’s tropical outlook include the expected development of an El Nino episode in the tropical Pacific Ocean featuring warmer-than-normal water, and colder-than-normal water in portions of the Atlantic Ocean’s Main Development Region (MDR). Both sea surface temperature patterns would tend to inhibit tropical storm formation and intensification in the Atlantic Basin.  In terms of summertime weather conditions across the continental US, I expect much of the nation to be cooler-than-normal and it is a mixed picture when it comes to precipitation with wetter-than-normal weather likely for the northeastern states and generally drier-than-normal conditions across the central states.  

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6:00 AM | **Another cold night on the way with widespread patchy frost late**

Paul Dorian

It remains colder-than-normal today on the heels of secondary cold frontal passage on Tuesday morning with temperatures some ten degrees or so below the average for this time of year. Temperatures later tonight can drop to the upper 20’s in many suburban locations and widespread patchy frost is indeed possible. It turns milder by the end of the week and we are setting up for a pretty nice weekend in the Philly metro region featuring sunny, dry and mild days. Much warmer weather is on the way for next week in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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6:00 AM | **Another cold night on the way with patchy frost late**

Paul Dorian

It remains colder-than-normal today on the heels of secondary cold frontal passage on Tuesday morning with temperatures some five-to-ten degrees below the average for this time of year. Temperatures later tonight can drop to the low-to-mid 30’s in many suburban locations and patchy frost is indeed possible. It turns milder by the end of the week and we are setting up for a pretty nice weekend in the NYC metro region with sunny, dry, and mild days. Much warmer weather is on the way for next week in the Mid-Atlantic region.

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