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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **Still unsettled today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the chance of showers and thunderstorms...hot weather returns by the middle of next week**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will only slowly push through the region during the next 24 hours or so leading to more unsettled weather featuring scattered showers and thunderstorms. Drier air should take over later in the weekend and the early part of next should be mainly rain-free as high pressure intensifies over the Northern Plains. By the middle of next week, hot weather conditions will return to the Mid-Atlantic region with 90+ degrees back on the table for afternoon highs.

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6:00 AM | ***Showers and thunderstorms likely today; especially, during the PM hours...there can be downpours and localized flash flooding in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A cold front will approach the area later today and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely; especially, during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the rain can be heavy today and localized flash flooding is a possibility. While a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out this weekend, it’ll tend to become drier in the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of the frontal system.

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6:00 AM | ***Showers and thunderstorms likely today; especially, during the PM hours...there can be downpours and localized flash flooding in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A cold front will approach the area later today and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely; especially, during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the rain can be heavy today and localized flash flooding is a possibility. While a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out this weekend, it’ll tend to become drier in the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of the frontal system.

Read More

6:00 AM | ***Showers and thunderstorms likely today; especially, during the PM hours...there can be downpours and localized flash flooding in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A cold front will approach the area later today and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely; especially, during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of the rain can be heavy today and localized flash flooding is a possibility. While a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out this weekend, it’ll tend to become drier in the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of the frontal system.

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6:00 AM | *Next frontal system brings us another threat for showers and storms on Thursday and Friday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region today leading to a rain-free day, but unsettled weather returns for the late week. A cold front will approach the area on Thursday and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later tomorrow and will continue on Friday. No extreme heat is in sight for the Mid-Atlantic region such as what we experienced last week and during the holiday weekend.

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6:00 AM | *Next frontal system brings us another threat for showers and storms from tomorrow into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region today leading to a rain-free day, but unsettled weather returns for the late week. A cold front will approach the area on Thursday and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later tomorrow and will continue on Friday. No extreme heat is in sight for the Mid-Atlantic region such as what we experienced last week and during the holiday weekend.

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6:00 AM | *Scattered showers today...next frontal system brings us another threat for showers and storms on Thursday and Friday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure tries to build into the region today, but the atmosphere is still loaded with low-level moisture and scattered showers will be the result. A cold front will approach the area on Thursday and push through from Friday into early Saturday. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later tomorrow and will likely continue on Friday. No extreme heat is in sight for the Mid-Atlantic region such as what we experienced last week and during the holiday weekend.

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**El Nino continues to intensify in most regions of the tropical Pacific...big implications on Pacific and Atlantic tropical seasons...likely impact on upcoming winter season**

Paul Dorian

El Nino continues to intensify across most regions of the equatorial Pacific Ocean with well above-normal water temperatures that continue to rise rather sharply in recent weeks. In fact, all indications suggest that the overall magnitude of this unfolding El Nino will rival some of the great ones in recent history including those in 1982-1983, 1997-1998, and 2015-2016. The warmer-than-normal water across the Pacific Ocean is likely to lead to a very active next couple of months in terms of overall tropical activity and even the Hawaiian Islands may be impacted by a direct hit.

At the same time, colder-than-normal water currently exists across what is known as the “Main Development Region” of the Atlantic Ocean in terms of tropical activity, and this inhibiting factor combined with El Nino in the Pacific Ocean will likely lead to a quieter-than-normal season in the Atlantic Basin. Looking ahead, it appears El Nino will not only have an important impact on the near-term tropical seasons but potentially have a significant impact on the winter season of 2026.2027. Numerous computer forecast models suggest El Nino conditions will peak during the fall season and will last right into the early spring of 2027.

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