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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | *The return of some sunshine later today, but it'll be quite windy and chilly*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the area on Tuesday and has ushered in a reinforcing cold air mass for the Mid-Atlantic region. The frontal passage has also led to a drier atmosphere which will allow for the return of sunshine today as high pressure builds into the region. In fact, the high pressure system will control the weather around here for the next couple of days with chilly conditions, a noticeable breeze and plenty of sunshine. Low pressure heads to the Carolina coastline on Friday morning and likely stays just to our south and east as it heads to the northeast and out-to-sea.

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7:00 AM | *Cold front arrives this afternoon...late week storm could stay to our south and east, but still needs monitoring*

Paul Dorian

A cold front will pass through the area this afternoon and bring with it a good chance of rain and/or snow showers and ice pellets can mix in as well. High pressure will take control of the weather around here for Wednesday and Thursday and then we’ll have to watch the movement of a storm system expected to be over the Carolinas as we close out the work week on Friday. This system could stay to our south and east and head out-to-sea, but it is still something to monitor as a turn to the north cannot yet be ruled out. Another winter storm is likely to threaten the southern and eastern US next week and this one will need to be closely monitored right through the upcoming weekend as it has great potential.

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11:50 AM | *Stratospheric warming, teleconnection trends, high-latitude blocking – all pointing to a colder and stormy weather pattern for much of January in the eastern US*

Paul Dorian

The overall weather pattern has been quite active in recent days in the eastern US with two different storm systems impacting the area in just the last three days. Numerous signs in the atmosphere point to a continuation of the stormy weather pattern in coming weeks across the eastern US and it is likely to become increasingly colder - raising the chances for accumulating snow. An on-going stratospheric warming event raises the prospects for high-latitude blocking in coming weeks which, in turn, increases the chance for increasingly colder outbreaks into the Mid-Atlantic/NE US. Teleconnection trends in such indices as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) support the notion for a sustained period of high-latitude blocking which, in turn, would be more favorable for coastal storm development. In the near-term, one storm will likely push to the Carolina coastline on Friday and it may then stay to the south and east of the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor as it heads out-to-sea - but it still needs to be closely monitored. Another winter storm is likely to threaten the southern and eastern US during the early or middle parts of next week as the active pattern continues.

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7:00 AM | *Next cold front arrives on Tuesday...late week coastal storm a close call*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure which impacted the region with a mixture of precipitation on Sunday will push away from the New England coastline today and the next weather maker for us will be a cold front to our northwest. This cold front will pass through the area on Tuesday afternoon and bring with it a chance of rain and/or snow showers. High pressure will take control of the weather around here for Wednesday and Thursday and then we’ll have to watch the movement of a storm system expected to be over the Carolinas as we close out the work week on Friday. This system could stay to our south and head out-to-sea, but it is something to monitor next few days.

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7:00 AM | *Brief period of sleet and/or freezing rain possible early tomorrow at onset of late week system...second system to impact the region on Sunday*

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern will continue into the new year with one low pressure system bringing precipitation here on Friday and Friday night and then a second system will impact us on Sunday. The first system will result in accumulating snow for parts of the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley and mainly a rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. However, it can be cold enough at the onset of the event on Friday for a brief period of sleet and/or freezing rain in some of the far northern and western suburbs. After an unseasonably mild day on Saturday, it'll turn colder by Sunday and a second low pressure system will intensify near the Mid-Atlantic coastline bringing us more precipitation to close out the weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Late week storm system primarily a rain event in the DC metro region, but there can be a brief period of sleet and/or freezing rain at the onset...second system to impact us on Sunday*

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern will continue into the new year with one low pressure system bringing precipitation here on Friday and Friday night and then a second system will likely impact us on Sunday. The first system will result in accumulating snow for parts of the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley on Friday and mainly a rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. However, it can be cold enough at the onset early Friday for a brief period of sleet and/or freezing; especially, in some of the far northern and western suburbs. After an unseasonably mild day on Saturday, it'll turn colder on Sunday and a second low pressure system will likely intensify near the Mid-Atlantic coastline bringing us more precipitation to close out the weekend.

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11:15 AM | *Brief period of sleet/freezing rain possible in suburban locations at onset of late week storm system...second system to impact the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday...a look ahead to January*

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern will continue into the new year for the eastern half of the nation with one low pressure system bringing a potpourri of precipitation on Friday and then a second system late in the weekend that should intensify near the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The first system will result in accumulating snow for parts of the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley on New Year’s Day (Friday) and mainly a rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region. However, it can be cold enough at the onset on Friday in the Mid-Atlantic region for a brief period of sleet and/or freezing; especially, in areas north of the PA/MD border. Late in the weekend, a second low pressure system will likely intensify near the Mid-Atlantic coastline and it would have an influx of colder air – a potential setup that needs to be monitored in coming days.

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7:00 AM | *Windy and cold today in the wake of a cold frontal passage*

Paul Dorian

A cold frontal system slipped through the region in the overnight hours and today will turn out to be quite windy and cold despite mainly sunny skies. High pressure will shift off the coast on Wednesday and another cold front will slide through the region later Thursday. Moisture will arrive here by early Friday as strong low pressure pulls out of the southern states and heads towards the Ohio Valley. This system will result in mainly a rain event here on New Year’s Day, but it may be cold enough at the onset for a bit of sleet and/or freezing rain at the onset in some of the far northern and western suburbs with a cold air mass in only slow retreat. It’ll turn milder by Friday night and Saturday before another cold front pushes across the region late Saturday and then we’ll have to watch for a potential low pressure system to develop near the east coast on Sunday.

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7:00 AM | ****Heavy rain and powerful winds from tonight into early Friday...power outages on the table...much colder air mass blasts into the region on Friday****

Paul Dorian

A powerful cold front will barrel towards the eastern seaboard from later today into early Friday and it’ll bring some wild weather to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Ahead of the front, heavy rains, possible thunderstorms and potentially damaging winds will develop and raise the prospects for localized flooding and power outages. It’ll become much milder as well today with temperatures soaring to the 60 degree mark by late in the day in the DC metro region. On the back side of the front, temperatures will plunge early on Friday and hold steady during the day. Any standing water on untreated surfaces that is left behind by the heavy rain event could freeze-up in a hurry early Friday as temperatures take that plunge. The cold air mass will stick around into the weekend with temperatures on Saturday struggling to reach the freezing mark.

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11:20 AM (Wed) | ****Heavy rain, potential damaging wind gusts tomorrow night into early Friday in Mid-Atl/NE US…power outages on the table…temperatures plunge on Friday as much colder air arrives****

Paul Dorian

A powerful cold front will barrel towards the eastern seaboard from later tomorrow into early Friday and it’ll bring some wild weather to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Ahead of the front, heavy rains, possible thunderstorms and potentially damaging winds will develop and raise the prospects for localized flooding and power outages. It’ll become much milder as well on Thursday with temperatures soaring to the 60 degree mark in the DC, Philly and NYC metro regions. On the back side of the front, temperatures will plunge on Friday from their early morning highs to at or below freezing by later in the afternoon. Any standing water on untreated surfaces that is left behind by the heavy rain event could freeze-up in a hurry on Friday as temperatures take a plunge.

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