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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

7:00 AM | *A much milder week in store for the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will control the weather around here for the next few days and it’ll turn much milder compared to the unseasonal chill of the weekend. Low pressure will make a move up the coast on Thursday bringing us a chance of showers with continued mild conditions. The work week ends with temperatures likely climbing to the lower 70’s for afternoon highs on Friday, but it cools down some to start the weekend.

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8:15 AM (Saturday) | *****Rapidly deteriorating conditions to follow Arctic frontal passage with wind-whipped snow along DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor...high winds into early Sunday*****

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are coming together for a wild weather day in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. These ingredients include strong jet streaks at multiple layers of the atmosphere, strong mid-level frontogenesis, and a phasing together of vorticity maxima in the southern and northern branches of the jet stream. Low pressure is now located over southeastern Virginia and it will push along an Arctic frontal boundary zone today while strengthening rapidly. The result will be near blizzard conditions in parts of the I-95 corridor for a period of a few hours with the combination of heavy snow and strong winds. High winds will continue through early Sunday with gusts past 50 mph potentially leading to some downed tree limbs and power outages.

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1:00 PM | ****An active Arctic frontal passage to include rain transitioning to accumulating snow/sleet on Saturday...high winds and very cold conditions on Saturday night and Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are going to come together for a very active Arctic cold frontal passage this weekend that will result in rain transitioning to sleet and accumulating snow on Saturday and high winds and very cold conditions for Saturday night and Sunday. There will first be significant accumulations of snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US on Saturday and then all the way into the immediate DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. Wind gusts of 50+ mph are likely throughout the northeastern quadrant of the nation from later tomorrow through tomorrow night and into early Sunday with downed tree limbs and scattered power outages on the table. The weather will calm down some by later in the day on Sunday, but it’ll remain much colder-than-normal for this time of year and then a warm up begins on Monday.

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7:00 AM | ****An active Arctic frontal passage that will include rain transitioning to accumulating snow/sleet on Saturday...high winds and very cold conditions on Saturday night and Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are coming together for a very active Arctic frontal passage this weekend that will include rain transitioning to accumulating snow/sleet on Saturday and high winds and very cold conditions on Saturday night and Sunday. The rain will begin late tonight and continue for awhile on Saturday morning and then transition to snow in the late morning following the passage of the Arctic front. This transition to snow may include some sleet and will will progress from west-to-east across the Mid-Atlantic region with a few inches possible in the metro region. Wind gusts of 50+ mph are possible later Saturday and Saturday night and that kind of intensity raises the possibility of downed tree limbs and power outages in the Mid-Atlantic region. The weather will calm down some by later in the day on Sunday, but it’ll remain much colder-than-normal for this time of year and then a warm up begins on Monday.

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1:15 PM | ****”High wind” event from later Saturday into Saturday night with an Arctic blast…significant interior snows and accumulating snow likely to the I-95 corridor****

Paul Dorian

Many ingredients are going to come together for an extreme wind event in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US from later Saturday into Saturday night. In addition to the expected high winds, snowfall on the back side of an Arctic cold front will be significant across interior sections of the northeastern quadrant of the nation. There can even be some accumulating snow all the way down into the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and perhaps to coastal sections of the eastern US. Wind gusts of 50-60 mph are possible later Saturday and Saturday night and that kind of intensity raises the possibility of downed tree limbs and power outages in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. The weather will calm down some by later in the day on Sunday, but it’ll remain much colder-than-normal for this time of year with highs generally confined to the 30’s in the I-95 corridor.

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7:00 AM | ***"High wind" event from later Saturday into Saturday night with an Arctic blast...some snow possible as well***

Paul Dorian

After yesterday’s cold rain in the DC metro region, today and tomorrow will be relatively tranquil as high pressure builds across the Mid-Atlantic region. It will, however, turn quite active again as we begin the upcoming weekend with an Arctic cold front advancing into the eastern US. This cold frontal system will have a lots of support in the upper atmosphere which will help to contribute to the formation of surface low pressure along the frontal boundary zone and this system will intensify rapidly as it pushes northeastward. Rain is likely here ahead of the Arctic front from Friday night into early Saturday and some of it can be heavy at times and a strong thunderstorm is also possible. On the back side of the front later Saturday, temperatures will drop sharply, the rain will change over to accumulating snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic and perhaps all the way into the N/W suburbs along the I-95 corridor. The biggest story with this early weekend weather event will be the winds which can gust into the 50-60 mph range later Saturday into Saturday night. A very tight pressure gradient will form between the departing strong storm system and a high pressure in the southern states. High winds of this nature raises the possibility of downed tree limbs and power outages in the Mid-Atlantic/NE US from later Saturday into Saturday night.

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1:00 PM | ***An active early weekend Arctic frontal passage in the Mid-Atlantic region with “pre-frontal” rain/possible strong storms…”post-frontal” high winds, interior snows***

Paul Dorian

After today’s mix of snow and rain in areas to the north of the PA/MD border and cold rain to its south, the Mid-Atlantic will enjoy relatively tranquil conditions on Thursday and Friday as high pressure builds across the region. It will, however, turn quite active again as we begin the upcoming weekend with an Arctic cold front advancing into the eastern states. This cold frontal system will have a lots of support in the upper atmosphere which will help to contribute to the formation of surface low pressure along the frontal boundary zone and this system will intensify rapidly as it pushes northeastward.

Rain is likely ahead of the Arctic front in the Mid-Atlantic region from Friday night into early Saturday and some of it can be heavy at times and a strong thunderstorm is also possible. On the back side of the front, temperatures will drop sharply, the rain will change over to accumulating snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic and perhaps all the way into the I-95 corridor. In addition, high winds are likely to develop from later Saturday into Saturday night as a strong pressure gradient forms between the departing storm system and a strong high pressure in the southern states.

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7:00 AM | **A cold rain today in the DC metro region as low pressure pushes to the western Atlantic...a very active frontal passage on Saturday with post-frontal high winds, snow a threat**

Paul Dorian

There will be a cold rain today in the DC metro region as low pressure pushes from the Tennessee Valley to the southeastern part of Virginia and then to a position out over the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean by later in the afternoon. The precipitation should wind down by late afternoon or early evening and then there will be a couple of rather tranquil days on Thursday and Friday.

Looking ahead, it looks like there will be a very active cold frontal passage early this weekend. That next strong cold front will come with pre-frontal rains and possible strong thunderstorms and post-frontal extreme winds are likely as is a changeover to accumulating snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US. In fact, there is the possibility for some post-frontal accumulating snow all the way down into the I-95 corridor and even as far east as coastal sections of the northeastern quadrant of the nation. Very cold air for this time of year will envelope the entire region for the Saturday night/Sunday time period.

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2:15 PM | ***Dynamic weather pattern continues…snow tomorrow in parts of the Mid-Atlantic…active early weekend frontal passage with pre-frontal rain/strong storms…post-frontal extreme winds, snow***

Paul Dorian

The wild weather pattern continues in the Mid-Atlantic region…

First, we’ll have to deal with some snow on Wednesday in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region which can even result in small accumulations; primarily, on grassy surfaces to the north of the PA/MD border. Low pressure will push from the Tennessee Valley early tomorrow to southeastern Virginia and then to a position out over the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean by later in the afternoon.

Looking ahead, a bigger concern than tomorrow’s system will be a very active Arctic cold frontal passage early this weekend that will be accompanied by some vigorous support in the upper part of the atmosphere and a rapidly intensifying surface low pressure system. That next strong cold front will come with pre-frontal rains and possible strong thunderstorms and post-frontal extreme winds are likely as is a changeover to accumulating snow across interior sections of the Mid-Atlantic/NE US. In fact, there is the possibility for some post-frontal accumulating snow all the way down into coastal sections of the northeastern quadrant of the nation. Very cold air for this time of year will envelope the entire region for the Saturday night/Sunday time period and then a big time warm up will take place in the first half of next week as the wild temperature swings continue.

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7:00 AM | ***Much cooler today following passage of strong cold front...snow/rain mix on Wednesday***

Paul Dorian

An active weather pattern continues…

Following the passage of last night’s strong cold front, winds will remain quite noticeable today from a northwesterly direction and it’ll be much colder than yesterday which featured some record-breaking warmth in the Mid-Atlantic region. High pressure will move overhead later today as it pushes eastward from the Upper Midwest. Clouds will thicken up early tonight as low pressure begins a push from the Tennessee Valley towards the southern Mid-Atlantic coastline. Towards morning, precipitation will break out and it can be cold enough for some snow to be mixed in; especially, to the north and west. As is often the case with daytime snow this time of year, the greatest chances for any snow accumulations will be on grassy surfaces and in the far northern and western suburbs; especially, in any higher elevation location. Looking ahead, another very active frontal passage will take place in the Friday night-Saturday night time period…more on that later.

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