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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

****Showers and possible severe thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and Friday night…holiday weekend starts off unsettled, but should end well though it’ll get very warm****

Paul Dorian

The combination of an increasingly humid air mass, strong surface frontal system and a vigorous mid-level low will help generate numerous showers on Friday and Friday night in the Mid-Atlantic region and possible severe thunderstorms. In fact, there may be two bands of thunderstorms to closely monitor during this event- one during the mid-day/early afternoon hours and a second during the late evening associated with the frontal passage. The main severe weather parameter threats will be damaging wind gusts, “flash-flooding” downpours, and isolated tornadoes are even possible. The upper-level low will be rather slow-moving from west-to-east and this is likely to result in an unsettled weather day on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region with scattered showers and strong thunderstorms. The upper-level will exit off the coast on Sunday resulting in improvement to end the weekend and the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine, very warm conditions and highs well up in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | **Showers and possible strong storms from tomorrow into tomorrow night...holiday weekend weather to start off shaky, but ends well**

Paul Dorian

A strong frontal system will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region from Friday into Friday night and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy downpours. The upper-level support for this system will be slow-moving and could result in some residual shower activity on Saturday as it drifts overhead and a thunderstorm is possible as well, but the day will not be a washout. This upper-level low will exit off the coast by Sunday resulting in improvement and then the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine and highs well up in the 80’s.

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11:45 AM | *Showers and possible strong-to-severe storms on Friday/Friday night in the Mid-Atlantic region…holiday weekend starts off shaky, but should end well*

Paul Dorian

A strong frontal system will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side. The upper-level support for this system will be slow-moving and could result in some residual shower activity on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region as it drifts overhead. This upper-level low will exit off the coast on Sunday resulting in improvement and then the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine and highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *A bit on the cool side again today...turns warmer, more humid on Friday ahead of next front with showers and possible strong storms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to produce a low-level flow of air today out of the east and this will keep a cap on temperatures despite the return of some sunshine. It’ll turn warmer and more humid by late in the work week ahead of the next cold front and that system is likely to bring us another round of showers and thunderstorms…some of those storms later Friday can be on the strong side. The upper-level system associated with the cold front will linger for awhile this weekend and showers will remain a threat on Sunday. Conditions should improve on Sunday and then Monday, Memorial Day, is likely to turn out mainly sunny and quite warm with highs in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Cool conditions remain next few days and the clouds will remain with the chance for additional shower activity*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will pull away from the region this morning, but the day will still feature plenty of clouds, cool conditions and an isolated shower or two. In fact, it stays on the cool side of normal for the next few days with an easterly flow of air putting a cap on temperatures in the Mid-Atlantic region. It does turn warmer on Friday ahead of the next cold front which could bring with it another round of showers and strong thunderstorms at the end of the work week. There is a chance that the late week frontal passage paves the way for the bulk of the Memorial Day weekend to feature decent weather, but still a few questions have to be ironed out.

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7:00 AM | *What a difference a front makes...cooler, less humid air mass has pushed into the area...more rain tonight*

Paul Dorian

A much different air mass has pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region following the passage of a strong cold front late yesterday that included some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity. Today will be cooler and noticeably less humid than yesterday and the overall cool pattern will last through the week. Low pressure to our south will approach the area tonight and rain is likely and some of it can be heavy…watch for localized flooding. Showers may start the day on Tuesday and there can be a shower or two at mid-week as well. Another strong cold front will impact the region by the end of the work week leading into the Memorial Day weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Warmest weather of the season so far on the way...90 degrees likely on Friday for highs with PM showers and thunderstorms possible and then 95 degrees on Saturday*

Paul Dorian

The weather will turn warmer and more humid later today following the passage of a warm front and the warm-up will intensify on Friday and Saturday. In fact, temperatures on Friday are likely to climb towards the 90 degree mark with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms and then surge into the middle 90’s on Saturday afternoon. A cold front will push towards the eastern seaboard by late Sunday and this is likely to result in late day/nighttime showers and thunderstorms that can hang around into the early part of next week.

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12:20 PM | *Downpours later tonight in the transition to the warmest weather so far this season in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

The hottest weather of the spring so far is on the way for the Mid-Atlantic region with Friday, Saturday and Sunday promising to be noticeably different than what we’ve experienced in recent days. The transition to this uncomfortable weather pattern will actually begin later tonight with the arrival of low pressure and its associated warm front and there can be downpours in the Mid-Atlantic region along with embedded thunderstorms. Following the passage of the warm front, it’ll turn noticeably warmer and more humid later Thursday and the warm up will intensify on Friday and likely peak on Saturday afternoon with temperatures well up in the 90’s in many locations. A cool front closes in on the eastern seaboard late in the weekend bringing with it a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | **Another comfortable day, but big changes are coming in the temperature department...hottest weather so far coming on Friday and especially on Saturday**

Paul Dorian

A very comfortable air mass will stick around for another day in the Mid-Atlantic region with pleasant temperatures and low humidity levels; however, there are big changes on the way. A warm front will work its way through the region during the next 24 hours or so bringing with it some shower and thunderstorms and some of the rain can be heavy at times later tonight into early tomorrow. Following the passage of the warm front, the hottest weather so far this season will push into the area for Friday and Saturday with middle 90’s possible by Saturday afternoon. Another cold front will arrive later Sunday - likely with afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms – and its passage will usher in cooler air once again for the eastern states by the early part of next week.

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9:00 AM | *An early hurricane threat for the Gulf of Mexico region...this threat comes despite more cold air outbreaks for the US and even significant accumulating snow in the Rockies*

Paul Dorian

There are still cold air outbreaks destined to push into the US from Canada as we progress through the second half of May and even accumulating snow for the Rockies, but that doesn’t mean we can’t have a threat of a hurricane. In fact, there are signs that the atmosphere will become supportive of a tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico region later this month or early in June in what is likely to be an active season for the Atlantic Basin.

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