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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DEN

6:15 AM | *A warming trend gets underway here at mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A warming trend gets underway today with afternoon temperatures likely reaching the lower 70’s following the 50’s on Tuesday and there can be some PM shower and thunderstorm activity. The unsettled pattern will remain intact for the late week and weekend with a daily shot at scattered showers and thunderstorms.

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6:15 AM | *Turns quite a bit cooler after today with an increasing chance of showers/thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

An unsettled weather pattern develops for the next few days and one that will turn much cooler in the area. After high temperatures today at 80+ degrees, cooler air moves in on Monday night and Tuesday along with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures on Tuesday should be limited to near 60 degrees for highs and then the low-to-mid 60’s are likely on Wednesday.

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10:00 AM Thursday, May 29th - **The initial threat of the 2025 Atlantic Basin tropical season likely comes in about ten days**

Paul Dorian

The 2025 Atlantic Basin tropical season officially gets underway on Sunday, June 1st, and there are signs that the initial threat could come as early as ten days or so from now (i.e., June 8, 9, 10th time frame). A teleconnection index known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO appears to be foreshadowing the potential of tropical troubles in this time frame as it transitions into a “phase” that is generally quite favorable for activity in the Atlantic Basin. In addition, a second favorable sign may be the evolution of the upper-level pattern of highs and lows across North America which may feature strong ridging over southeastern Canada in about ten days or so. A strong ridge in this part of North America is often favorable this time of year for an “undercutting” tropical system in the southwestern Atlantic, Gulf of America, or Caribbean Sea where sea surface temperatures are generally warmer-than-normal.

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**Chipping away at the dry conditions in the eastern US...a couple bouts of rain this week...additional threats ahead**

Paul Dorian

It has been unusually dry across much of the eastern US during the past several months with a focus on the Florida Peninsula, but we have been chipping away at these conditions in recent weeks and there are likely to be additional beneficial rainfall events during the new couple of weeks. Rain is falling today throughout much of the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US – the second bout of rain this week – and rain is currently falling across portions of the northern Gulf region. This area of Gulf moisture will push east during the next few days and then take a turn to the north early next week and ride up slowly along the Atlantic seaboard. As a result, it appears there will be more beneficial rainfall in the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US from later Tuesday into Thursday further alleviating the dry conditions and additional rain threats exist later this month in an on-going active pattern.

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