Moisture from the remains of Tropical Storm Cindy will continue to result in showers and thunderstorms across northern Alabama as we close out the work week and begin the weekend. Some of the rain today will be heavy at times and late day and early evening thunderstorms can reach severe limits with damaging wind gusts, downpours, hail and even isolated tornadoes. The remnants of the tropical system will push to the northeast of here by later tomorrow and a frontal system will slide through the Tennessee Valley from the north-to-the-south. Following the frontal passage, the weather will turn quite nice for late June on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.
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The remains of Tropical Storm Cindy will curve to the northeast shortly after landfall early today in the TX/LA border region and then it’ll head right towards the Tennessee Valley. This track is likely to result in numerous showers and thunderstorms from Thursday into Friday across the local region. There may even be enough moisture left behind the departing remains on Friday night for some lingering showers and thunderstorms in the northern part of Alabama. Total rainfall amounts by Friday night as a result of the remains of Cindy could be 2-3 inches in much of the Tennessee Valley region.
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Tropical Storm Cindy is now over the west-central Gulf of Mexico with its latest winds clocked at 60 mph. This system is likely to continue on a general northwest track today and make landfall early tomorrow near the Louisiana/Texas border region. After that, Tropical Storm Cindy is likely to recurve and head northeastward towards the Tennessee Valley by the end of the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Bret has dissipated overnight as it encountered strong wind shear over the central Caribbean Sea
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There are now two named tropical storms to monitor in the Atlantic Basin with one over the central Gulf of Mexico and the second over the eastern part of the Caribbean Sea. Tropical Storm Cindy has formed in the central Gulf of Mexico and is likely to turn northwest over the next couple of days perhaps making landfall by early Thursday near Galveston, Texas. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Bret has pushed into the eastern Caribbean Sea and it will likely encounter some strong wind shear in the near term inhibiting further strengthening. It is unusual to have two named tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin during the month of June with the last couple of occurrences in 1959 and 1968. The US hasn’t had a hurricane landfall during June for over 30 years, but the US had three June hurricanes in 1886 – which was the most active hurricane year on record for the US.
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The tropics have become quite active and we’ll continue to monitor one system now over the south-central Gulf of Mexico and another one, Tropical Storm Bret, now over the southeastern Caribbean Sea. The Gulf system is likely to intensify somewhat over the next couple of days - perhaps reaching tropical storm status - as it slides to the north and then to the west. It is likely to then recurve and turn towards the northeast - perhaps having an impact in the Tennessee Valley region later this week. Meanwhile, Bret is liable to face some strong wind shear over the next couple of days which is likely to weaken it eventually back to tropical depression status.
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A potent cold front is headed towards the I-95 corridor and it may help to generate severe thunderstorms in DC, Philly and New York City from late today into tonight. Heavy rainfall is likely at times during this event and flash flooding is a concern for the entire region. Any thunderstorm can produce damaging wind gusts, downpours, hail, intense lightning and even possible isolated tornado activity. The most likely timetable for these potential powerful storms is 3pm -9pm.
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An active weather pattern continues across the Deep South this week and a tropical system is likely to head into the central and western sections of the Gulf of Mexico over the next couple of days. A cold front will slowly push towards the east coast by tonight and its passage will bring drier weather to the region on Tuesday
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Another short-wave in the upper part of the atmosphere will approach today and combine with copious amounts of low-level moisture to keep it unsettled across northern Alabama bringing us the chance of showers and thunderstorms. More of the same is in store for the area this weekend and then another frontal system will increase chances for rain early next week.
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A short-wave in the upper part of the atmosphere will combine with copious amounts of low-level moisture to raise prospects for showers and thunderstorms today across northern Alabama and some of the storms can be on the strong-to-severe side. In fact, some signs point to the formation of a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) that would potentially bring significant rainfall to the region and possible damaging wind gusts.
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Our nearly stagnant weather pattern continues at mid-week with high pressure residing over the western Atlantic. This system is pumping very warm and humid air into the Tennessee Valley and that will continue to lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily concentrated in the afternoon and early evening.
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