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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *Showers and thunderstorms on the way as storm heads across the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level trough will intensify today over the Tennessee Valley as the combination of northern and southern stream energy pushes east from the middle of the country. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely in this region later today and tonight and high moisture content in the lower levels of the atmosphere can help to generate some heavier rain bands - perhaps even a strong thunderstorm or two. The upper-level trough will shift to the east of here on Friday and the weather should improve nicely going into what looks like a pretty promising weekend.

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7:00 AM | *Nice weather for a couple more days...unsettled on Thursday and Friday with a daily shot at showers/thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will take control of the weather around here for the next couple of days and we should experience plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. The best chance for rain this week looks like it’ll come from Thursday into Friday as a southern stream system moves across the nation and reaches the Tennessee Valley during the latter part of the week.

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7:00 AM | *Nice looking few days in the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

The deep upper-level low pressure system that trekked slowly across the southern states last week is finally exiting today off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and our weather here in the Tennessee Valley will turn out to be quite nice to start the new week. The best chance for rain this week looks like it’ll come from Thursday into Friday as a southern stream system moves across the nation and reaches the eastern third later in the week.

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7:00 AM | *Much cooler today and improvement for the weekend*

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will slowly grinds its way towards the east coast today and we’ll experience much cooler conditions on its backside with lingering showers still possible. In fact, high temperatures should be confined to the low-to-mid 50’s this afternoon compared to the 80 degree mark on Thursday. The heavy rainfall and severe weather threat that was in our area last night will shift to the east coast later today and we’ll end up with a pretty decent weekend in the Tennessee Valley.

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11:15 AM (Thursday) | ***Heavy rain and severe weather threat later today and tonight greatest in the Deep South…threat shifts to the east coast late tomorrow and tomorrow night***

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will intensify over the next 24 hours as it slowly grinds its way across the southern states.  The combination of this strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere and an influx of very moist tropical air will result in a severe weather threat later today and tonight in the Deep South.  In addition to the severe weather threat which includes the potential for hail and isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall is likely later today in the southern states and localized flooding is a concern as grounds are well saturated.  The threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather will shift to the eastern seaboard late tomorrow and tomorrow night with the possibility of strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity extending from the Mid-Atlantic region to Florida.

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6:00 AM | ***Heavy rain and severe weather threat later today into tonight***

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will intensify today as it slowly grinds its way across the southern US. The combination of this strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere and an influx of very moist low-level air will result in a severe weather threat today in Mississippi, Alabama and perhaps Tennessee. In addition to the severe weather threat which includes the potential for hail and tornadoes, heavy rainfall is likely here and flash flooding could be the result as grounds are well saturated. The heavy rainfall and severe weather threat will reach the eastern seaboard on Friday with the possibility of strong-to-severe thunderstorms from the Mid-Atlantic region to Florida.

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12:45 PM | ***Significant weather event next few days to include heavy rain and severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

Deep upper-level low pressure will intensify over the next couple of days as it slowly grinds its way across the southern states.  The combination of this strong wave of energy in the upper atmosphere and an influx of very moist low-level air will result in a severe weather threat today in the region from Texas-to-Kansas and later tomorrow across Mississippi, Alabama and perhaps as far north as Tennessee.  In addition to the severe weather threat which includes the potential for large hail and tornadoes, heavy rainfall is likely later today in the south-central states and then on Thursday across the southeastern US.  Any heavy rainfall can result in localized flooding as much of the eastern half of the nation is experiencing well-saturated ground conditions. The heavy rainfall and severe weather threat will reach the eastern seaboard on Friday afternoon and evening with the possibility of strong-to-severe thunderstorms from the Mid-Atlantic region to Florida.

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7:00 AM | ***Heavy rain and severe weather threat on Thursday***

Paul Dorian

An upper-level ridge of high pressure will continue to result in dry, warm conditions, but important changes are coming. A deep upper-level low will push eastward by Thursday dragging a cold front into the Mississippi Valley. This front will slow down as it reaches this area and that stalling pattern will allow for the possibility of a significant rain event here as well as a threat for severe weather including possible tornadoes. The most likely timing on Thursday for the greatest severe weather threat will be during the afternoon and evening hours. The good news is that this strong system will push out of here for the upcoming holiday weekend.

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7:00 AM | *A couple of nice days before a potential significant rain event*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level ridge of high pressure will build into the region today and dry, warm conditions will continue for the next couple of days. A deep upper-level low will push later in the week dragging a cold front into the Mississippi Valley. This front will slow down as it reaches this area and that stalling pattern will allow for the possibility of a significant rain event.

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