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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

9:30 AM (Wed.) | ***Sudden burst of summer to be accompanied by strong-to-severe storms…potential of heavy rain bands on Thursday…Tropical Storm Cristobal could impact the central Gulf coast***

Paul Dorian

There are two important weather stories here at mid-week with a sudden surge of summer-like conditions into the Mid-Atlantic region and the development of a tropical storm in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The surge of summer-like heat and humidity into the Mid-Atlantic region will be accompanied by some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity in some spots later today and tonight as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The highest probability of the severe storm activity will be to the north of the PA/MD border with one shot around mid-day and then another shot from later this afternoon into tonight. This front stalls nearby on Thursday and this could result in some heavy rain bands tomorrow and tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Cristobal has intensified in the overnight hours, but it may very well weaken over the next couple of days as it moves inland over Mexico. However, by the end of the week, TS Cristobal is likely to move back out over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico and take a turn to the north this weekend. There is a chance that Cristobal – the third tropical storm of this young tropical season – will close in on the central Gulf coastal region by the end of the weekend and all eyes should remained focused on this threat from the Panhandle of Florida to Texas.

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7:00 AM | **All eyes on the Gulf of Mexico**

Paul Dorian

A summer-like weather pattern is in store around here for the rest of the work week and also for the upcoming weekend as well with temperatures not far from the 90 degree mark for highs each day. There will also be the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms on a daily basis this week, but much of the time will be rain-free. The next chance for these showers and storms will likely come on Thursday and Thursday night as a frontal system moves into the vicinity. Elsewhere, all eyes on the Gulf of Mexico as Tropical Storm Cristobal should head northward over the next few days towards the central/western Gulf coast.

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7:00 AM | *Summer-like weather remainder of the week in the Tennessee Valley and it'll continue this weekend as well*

Paul Dorian

A summer-like pattern is in store for the rest of the week and weekend with temperatures not far from the 90 degree mark for highs each day. There will also be the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms on a daily basis this week, but much of the time will be rain-free. Elsewhere, all eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico this week as conditions are favorable for potential tropical activity.

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7:00 AM | *Setting up for a nice weekend in the Tennessee Valley following passage of cold frontal system*

Paul Dorian

An unsettled weather pattern will continue across the Tennessee Valley today as a cold front approaches from the northwest and it will result in additional showers and thunderstorms. Some of the morning rain can be heavy at times and any storm that forms later today can produce heavy rainfall, gusty winds and even small hail is a possibility. The cold front will pave the way for a comfortable weekend across the region with highs on both days near or slightly above the 80 degree mark. On the tropical scene, there continue to be signs that a tropical storm or hurricane could form over the Gulf of Mexico late next week or during the second week of the month of June (which begins on Monday) and we’ll continue to monitor those prospects.

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12:00 PM (Thursday) | *Tropical threat on the table for the Gulf of Mexico region from late next week into the following (second) week of June*

Paul Dorian

The “official” Atlantic Basin tropical season begins on Monday, June 1st, but nature itself has, of course, gotten off to an early start. This actually continues a trend for a pre-June 1st start to the tropical season as there has been a named tropical (or sub-tropical) system in each of the last five years. Tropical Storm Arthur brushed the North Carolina coastline about ten days ago and Tropical Storm Bertha became the second storm of this young season and came ashore on Wednesday in South Carolina. There are signs that the active and early start to the 2020 tropical season will continue as we transition into the month of June which begins on Monday. In fact, there are reasons to believe that the Gulf of Mexico region could feature a tropical storm or even a hurricane by late next week or during the following (second) week of June.

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7:00 AM | *Showers/storms still a threat for today, tonight and Friday...weekend should turn out to be rain-free and comfortably warm*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Bertha came ashore yesterday in South Carolina and indications are that the early start to the 2020 Atlantic Basin tropical season will continue as we transition into the first half of June. There are signs that a tropical storm or hurricane may form in the Gulf of Mexico region late next week or during the second week of June and we’ll continue to monitor those prospects. In the short term, copious amounts of moisture in the eastern third of the nation continues to flow northward from the tropics on the backside of a strong western Atlantic high pressure system. The threat of scattered showers and thunderstorms continues today. today and tomorrow in the Tennessee Valley and any storm can contain heavy rainfall and gusty winds. The weekend, however, should turn out to be rain-free and comfortably warm with highs on both days near the 80 degree mark.

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7:00 AM | **Stretch of weather unfolding with summer-like temperatures and a daily threat of strong thunderstorm activity**

Paul Dorian

An unsettled stretch of weather is headed to the Tennessee Valley with multiple clusters of thunderstorms possible today as upper-level disturbances move eastward across the region. Any storm that forms later today can produce some brief heavy rainfall and also gusty winds. The threat for thunderstorms will continue this weekend and perhaps even into the middle part of next week as upper-level disturbances continue to impact the region. In fact, the storms are liable to become more numerous in nature on Sunday and Monday (Memorial Day) with any storm likely to produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Temperatures all through this unsettled period will be summer-like with highs each day well up in the 80’s.

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7:00 AM | *Summer-like weather pattern lasts through the holiday weekend*

Paul Dorian

An upper-level low that has been hanging around the Tennessee Valley in recent days will finally kick out to the east by tomorrow and our overall weather pattern will become more summer-like with temperatures climbing into the 80’s for highs on Friday afternoon and all weekend long. In addition to the summer-like warmth, there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms each day through the upcoming holiday weekend, but much of the time will be rain-free.

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