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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *Hot weather continues with a good chance of showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

The Tennessee Valley is in store for unsettled, hot and humid for the remainder of the week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms. In fact, the rain chances will be quite high today as a short wave pushes into the region and given the high available moisture content, any rain that falls can be heavy at times. A repeat performance is likely tomorrow with scattered-to-numerous showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures remain quite hot through the week with highs generally in the low-to-mid 90’s.

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7:00 AM | *An unsettled, hot and humid week for the Tennessee Valley with a daily shot at showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

The Tennessee Valley is in store for unsettled, hot and humid for the remainder of the week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms. In fact, the rain chances may increase on Wednesday as a short wave pushes into the region and given the high available moisture content, any rain that falls at mid-week can be heavy at times. A repeat performance is likely on Thursday with scattered-to-numerous showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures remain quite hot through the week with highs generally in the low-to-mid 90’s.

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7:00 AM | *A hot weekend coming with highs on both days in the middle 90's*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will take control of the weather around here and the result will be an increase in the heat over the next few days. In fact, temperatures are likely to reach the lower 90’s for highs this afternoon and then the middle 90’s on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. This ridge of high pressure will also reduce the chance for showers and thunderstorms as we head through the weekend, but that threat will climb once again early next week. Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin tropical scene looks rather quiet and should stay so for the next several days. One final note, the annual Perseid meteor shower will peak next week…best to look for meteors in the pre-dawn hours of Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

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7:00 AM | *Hot weather returns tomorrow and lasts through early next week with highs in the low-to-mid 90's*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will generally take control of the weather around here for the next few days and result in hotter conditions as we end the work week and progress through the upcoming weekend. In fact, temperatures are likely to reach the low-to-mid 90’s for highs on Friday, Saturday and Sunday and likely Monday and Tuesday as well. This ridge of high pressure, however will not eliminate the chance of showers and thunderstorms as a weak upper-level disturbance can set off some scattered activity each of the next few afternoons and evenings. On the tropical scene, it appears that there will be a lull in the action in the Atlantic Basin for the next several days.

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7:00 AM | *Hot weather returns by the end of the week*

Paul Dorian

A frontal system will stall nearby today and raise the chances for scattered PM showers and thunderstorms and the threat could linger into Thursday as well. Heading into the end of the week, high pressure ridging will build eastward into the Tennessee Valley resulting in hotter and drier weather for northern Alabama. On the tropical scene, it appears that there will be a lull in the action in the Atlantic Basin after the departure late yesterday of “Isaias” from the continental US. The 2020 tropical season in the Atlantic has gotten off to a very active start.

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6:00 AM | *It turns hot again by the end of the week and for the weekend*

Paul Dorian

After producing lots of rain and wind in the Carolinas on Monday night, “Isaias” will continue to pick up forward speed today and push along a stalled out frontal boundary zone to a position over the Delmarva Peninsula/southern New Jersey by late in the day. Torrential rainfall will spread northeastward along the I-95 corridor today and continue into this evening with as much as several inches possible by the time Wednesday morning rolls around. In this area and in the wake of the tropical system, temperatures will be quite manageable for the next few days. However, it’ll turn hot again by week’s end with highs likely back up in the middle 90’s on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

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6:00 AM | *Unsettled around here as "Isaias" rides up along the east coast*

Paul Dorian

“Isaias” will push to the north today to a position just off the coastline of Georgia and then likely make landfall tonight somewhere in the Carolinas – perhaps as a hurricane. After that, “Isaias” will move along the rest of the eastern seaboard bringing torrential rain in its path resulting in a significant rain event from Florida to Maine when all is said and done. Around here, a series of disturbances will swing through an upper-level trough of low pressure over the next few days bringing a daily shot of showers and thunderstorms to the region; primarily, in the afternoon and early evening hours.

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8:25 AM (Sunday) | ****”Isaias” edging towards the east coast of Florida with tropical storm conditions…excessive rainfall and high winds coming to the Carolinas, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US****

Paul Dorian

“Isaias” weakened slightly yesterday into “tropical storm” status and it remains so early Sunday morning despite a burst of deep convection in the overnight hours. That burst of thunderstorm activity has not resulted in any significant improvement in the overall structure of “Isaias” which is currently about 40 miles southeast of West Palm Beach, FL and it is not outside the realm of possibility that it regains enough strength later today to reach weak hurricane status. Nonetheless, “Isaias” will ride up to fairly close to the east-central coastline of Florida with some heavy rainfall and strong winds to last about 12 hours or so once they begin later this morning. On Monday, “Isaias” will begin to take a turn to the north and then northeast and likely make landfall somewhere in the Carolinas - perhaps as a hurricane. After that, “Isaias” will continue to ride up along the east coast and generate a major rain and wind event for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US - ultimately resulting in impact extending all the from Florida to Maine.

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2:15 PM (Friday) | ***Hurricane “Isaias” to significantly impact the Bahamas, southern/eastern Florida and likely have quite an impact up along the rest of the east coast***

Paul Dorian

“Isaias” became the second hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic Basin tropical season in the overnight hours as it pulled away from the island of Hispaniola and out over the very warm waters of the southwest Atlantic Ocean. The 2020 Atlantic Basin tropical season has gotten off to a very active start - now with nine named systems – and it will very likely remain quite dynamic as we begin the month of August. In fact, a couple other tropical waves are now churning over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic - virtually guaranteeing the energetic season will continue in coming days. Hurricane “Isaias” is likely to continue on a NW track over the next 24-36 hours that will bring to a position just off the east coast of Florida this weekend with significant impacts to the Bahama Islands and southern/eastern Florida. “Isaias” is now classified as a category 1 hurricane and there is a chance it intensifies to a category 2 storm before it makes its closest approach to Florida’s east coast. After that, “Isaias” may very well ride up along the east coast ultimately resulting in a significant rain event all the way from Florida to eastern New England.

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6:00 AM | **Keeping a close eye on Hurricane "Isaias"**

Paul Dorian

Hurricane “Isaias” is now past the island of Hispaniola and on its way to the Bahama Islands and quite likely to a position to just off the east coast of Florida later this weekend. Significant rainfall and strong winds are on the table for the Bahamas and southern/eastern Florida and the storm’s moisture field could then ride up along the eastern seaboard later this weekend and early next week.

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