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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *A chilly day with occasional rain*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure near the Carolina coastline will intensify today as it moves northward to a position over the Delmarva Peninsula by early tonight. This system has pushed colder air into the Tennessee Valley and we’ll have temperatures confined to the 40’s today with occasional rain. Sunshine will return to the region on Thursday, but it’ll remain colder-than-normal with highs in the middle 40’s.

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12:50 PM | *****Two storm threats for next week with the greatest potential impact coming at mid-week*****

Paul Dorian

The interesting and active weather pattern of recent weeks will continue into at least the middle of the month with two storm threats on the table for next week in the central and eastern US. The first storm threat for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US will come during the early part of next week and an even bigger threat comes at mid-week with the greatest potential impact. In fact, the mid-week storm could turn out to be a major snowstorm for a large part of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. In the short term, the weather turns milder in much of the eastern half of the nation, but a colder air mass is going to filter into the northeastern quadrant during the early part of next week following the late weekend (uneventful) passage of a cold front.

Teleconnection indices such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are supporting the idea of “high-latitude blocking” to get well-established by the middle of next week which, in turn, supports the idea for strong high pressure to build across southeastern Canada – always a key factor to the prospects of getting accumulating snowfall in the I-95 corridor. In this time period, two separate waves of energy will cross the southern states and then move northeastward towards the Mid-Atlantic coastline. With a cold air source building to the north across the southeastern part of Canada by the middle of next week, this type of setup could result in significant accumulating snow for at least parts of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | *A nice weekend coming to the Southeast US*

Paul Dorian

High pressure now situated off the east coast has resulted in a warm up across the Tennessee Valley and it’ll stay mild into the weekend. A cold front will cross the region over the weekend and its passage will set off a cooling trend on Sunday that will likely result in high temperatures being confined to the 40’s by the time we get to the early part of next week.

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12:30 PM | **Storm threats loom for next week with the biggest potential impact at mid-week**

Paul Dorian

The interesting and active weather pattern of recent weeks will continue into at least the middle of the month with multiple storm threats on the table for next week in the central and eastern US. The first storm threat for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US will come during the early part of next week and perhaps the bigger threat comes at mid-week. The weather turns milder over the next few days in much of the eastern half of the nation, but a colder air mass is likely to arrive in the northeastern quadrant during the early part of next week following the late weekend passage of a cold front. Teleconnection indices such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are supporting the idea of “high-latitude blocking” to get established by the middle of next week which, in turn, supports the idea for high pressure to build across southeastern Canada. At this same time, two separate waves of energy are likely to cross the southern states and move northeastward towards the eastern seaboard. With a cold air source building to the north across southeastern part of Canada, this type of pattern could result in accumulating snow in at least part of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US.

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7:00 AM | *An unsettled weekend shaping up for northern Alabama*

Paul Dorian

High pressure has shifted to the east of here and this will result in warmer weather across the Tennessee Valley as we head towards the weekend. Low-level winds should veer to the south today which will push even milder air into the region and it stays relatively mild on Friday and Saturday as well. A strong cold front will cross the region over the weekend and its passage will set off a cooling trend that will likely result in high temperatures being confined to the 40’s once again by the time we get to the early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Another cool day, but a milder trend begins shortly*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will shift to the east of here today and this will result in a noticeable warming trend across the Tennessee Valley. Low-level winds should veer to the southwest which will push milder air into the region and it stays relatively mild on Thursday and Friday as well. A strong cold front will cross the region by the early part of the weekend and its passage will set off a cooling trend that will likely result in high temperatures being confined to the 40’s once again by the time we get to the early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Modification in temperatures begins at mid-week*

Paul Dorian

A low pressure system pushed off the Carolina coastline on Monday and it strengthened out over the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean. In its wake, a cold air mass pushed southward into the Tennessee Valley and it’ll stay quite cold for one more day. The chilly air mass will modify at mid-week and we should reach the 60’s for afternoon highs on Thursday and Friday.

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7:00 AM | *A cold start to the week on the backside of low pressure over the Carolina coastline*

Paul Dorian

A low pressure system is pushing off the Carolina coastline today and it will strengthen rapidly out over the open waters of the western Atlantic. In its wake, a cold air mass has pushed southward into the Tennessee Valley and it’ll stay quite cold for the next couple of days. The chilly air mass should modify by later in the week and we could be back to the 60’s again for afternoon highs by week’s end.

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7:00 AM | *Cool, dry weekend coming to the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure will pull out of the southern states today and intensify as it heads to a position just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by early tomorrow. Showers are likely around here as this system pushes to the north and east, but it’ll turn drier behind it for the upcoming weekend. In fact, it looks like cool, dry weather will dominate from the weekend into the middle part of next week with temperatures likely not reaching seasonal levels until Wednesday.

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12:00 PM | *Significant storm to form just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline…heavy rain for I-95, coast…inland snows with interior New England the likely bulls eye region for heaviest snow*

Paul Dorian

The major storm system that began the week in the Northeast US was the opening salvo in a colder and stormy weather pattern for much of the eastern half of the nation and another significant storm is in the offing for the early part of the weekend. Low pressure will pull out of the southern states on Friday and intensify as pushes to a position just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline by early Saturday. Rain is in the cards from this storm in the cities along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and in areas to the coast; however, it will become cold enough for accumulating snow in higher elevation, interior locations of the Northeast US with the heaviest snowfall amounts likely coming to interior New England. There is an outside chance that it gets cold enough on Saturday in the I-95 corridor and coastal sections for the rain to briefly mix with or change to sleet and/or snow during the back end of the storm.

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