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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | *Mid 80's to start the week*

Paul Dorian

A weak upper-level trough of low pressure will slide across the Tennessee Valley during the next couple of days and it could spark a few showers; primarily, focused on the afternoon hours. An upper-level low will push into the Midwest at mid-week and this can generate a few showers and thunderstorms in the region.

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7:00 AM | *High pressure to stay in control next few days across the Tennessee Valley*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the Tennessee Valley will gradually shift northeast over the next couple of days to a position over the Appalachian Mountains. This should result in rain-free weather around here along with comfortably warm temperatures. It looks like the Tennessee valley will still remain under the influence of the high pressure system even though it shifts farther to the east and temperatures will remain rather seasonal for this time of year.

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7:00 AM | *Comfortably warm around here next several days...Hurricane Lee pushes northward towards eastern New England/Atlantic Canada*

Paul Dorian

Temperatures will remain comfortably warm around here for the next several days with highs generally in the lower or middle 80’s. Hurricane Lee will push northward in the western Atlantic and has its sights set on eastern New England/Atlantic Canada. Another tropical system over the central Atlantic will likely intensify into tropical storm or hurricane status in coming days and will be closely monitored.

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12:00 PM | ***Lee remains a “major” and has begun its turn to the north…significant impact possible this weekend across eastern New England/Atlantic Canada with hurricane-force winds on the table***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Lee remains as a “major” category 3 system and has begun its turn to the north as it becomes increasingly influenced by an upper-level trough over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley. This turn to the north will come with gradually increasing forward speed and will bring Hurricane Lee to the west of Bermuda on Thursday where there will be tropical storm conditions. As an upper-level ridge intensifies over the NW Atlantic late in the week, Hurricane Lee may actually take a turn slightly to the left which will bring it close to southeastern New England. Hurricane Lee is then likely to become “post-tropical” as it potentially reaches coastal Maine/New Brunswick later in the weekend. Despite movement over colder waters before its landfall and a likely slight weakening in central pressure, the pressure gradient will remain intense between this powerful storm system and intensifying high pressure to the north. As a result, a significant impact is possible this weekend from eastern New England to Atlantic Canada (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia) with torrential rains and hurricane-force winds on the table.

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7:00 AM | *Comfortable weather in the Tennessee Valley next few days following the passage of cool front*

Paul Dorian

A cool front passed through the region late Tuesday and comfortable weather will follow for the next few days.  Temperatures will climb no higher than about 80 degrees for afternoon highs and overnight lows are likely to range from the upper 50’s to lower 60’s. The next chance for a shower or thunderstorm likely comes on Friday and the weekend can be somewhat unsettled.

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1:10 PM | ***Hurricane Lee to soon take a turn to the north…significant impact in eastern New England this weekend with heavy rains, strong winds…an active tropical scene at climatological peak***

Paul Dorian

The climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is right around this time of year and it is certainly living up to its billing. Lee remains a category 3 “major’ hurricane today and continues to move slowly on a west-northwest track over very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic Ocean. It will soon take a turn to the north as it becomes increasingly influenced by an upper-level trough that will build over the eastern states. Lee will likely have a significant impact on eastern New England this weekend with heavy rains and strong winds as it pushes towards Maine or Nova Scotia as a tropical storm or a “post-tropical” system. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Margot has reached hurricane status; however, its future looks rather harmless as it likely weakens on its northward trek to a position over the Northern Atlantic. Another tropical system is located over the eastern Atlantic and it should intensify in coming days as it pushes over some very warm waters of the tropical Atlantic.

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