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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

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3:30 PM | ***Significant pattern change for the central/eastern US begins next week and it should have some staying power…strong storm system early next week...an eye on President's Day weekend***

Paul Dorian

All systems are go for a significant pattern change in the central and eastern US beginning next week and this change to colder-than-normal looks like it will have some staying power. In fact, an on-going stratospheric warming event suggests the upcoming pattern change to colder-than-normal can last all the way into the middle of March in the eastern half of the country. The front-end of this transition in the overall pattern is likely to come with a strong storm system in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US during the first half of next week. There will be a lack of cold air at the onset of this storm system which is likely to limit the chances of accumulating snow in the immediate I-95 corridor; however, significant snow will be on the table for interior, higher elevation locations of the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast US. If this early week system fails to produce snow in the I-95 corridor, snow lovers should be happy to hear that other threats are quite likely down the road given the upcoming significant pattern change. Indeed, one such threat could take place during the President’s Day weekend.

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12:00 PM | *Pattern change to colder-than-normal begins next week across the central and eastern US and it will have some staying power…storm threat at front-end of the transition*

Paul Dorian

Temperatures will be well above-normal in the central US during the next couple of days and this warm-up will extend to the eastern US this Friday and Saturday. However, a pattern change to colder-than-normal weather begins next week in the central and eastern US and this change looks like it will have some staying power. Numerous teleconnection indices point to a significant change in the overall pattern that indeed could last into March and recurring stratospheric warming supports the idea. As far as storm threats are concerned, signs are increasing for low pressure to push into the Mid-Atlantic region early next week on the front-end of this pattern transition. While there will be no cold air established on the front-end, it is possible that cold air can get wrapped into the system depending on its track so accumulating snow cannot be ruled out. 

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11:00 AM | *Pattern change to colder-than-normal begins next week across the central and eastern US...this upcoming pattern change has some staying power*

Paul Dorian

Temperatures will climb to well above-normal levels in the central US during the next couple of days and then in the eastern US this Friday and Saturday. However, a pattern change to colder-than-normal begins next week in the central and eastern US and this change looks like it will have some staying power. Numerous teleconnection indices point to an upcoming change in the temperature pattern and an on-going stratospheric warming event supports the idea.

Read More