After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Tropical Storm Francine was born early Monday over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, but it has shown little in the way of additional intensification since then. However, all signs point to significant intensification of Francine from later tonight into the day on Wednesday...first into category 1 hurricane status and then possibly reaching category 2 classification later tomorrow as it approaches the Louisiana coastline. Odds favor Francine making landfall late tomorrow somewhere over the central portion of Louisiana’s coastline and its impact will be high all the way into the New Orleans metro area.
After landfall, Francine will slowly weaken on Thursday as it pushes northward over the southern Mississippi River Valley. Its northward progress will then grind to a halt by the end of the week somewhere over the middle Mississippi Valley region as it begins to become heavily influenced by very strong upper-level high pressure ridging that will park itself over the eastern part of Canada. The ultimate result in this atmospheric blocking scenario could be the formation of another low pressure system somewhere along the east coast in about a week’s time.
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After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Francine was born on Monday morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to threaten the Louisiana coastline as a hurricane by later tomorrow. After landfall, Francine will slowly weaken as it pushes north over the southern Mississippi Valley and likely just to the west of here on Thursday.
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After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Francine was born this morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to threaten the Louisiana coastline on Wednesday as a hurricane. A tropical wave that has been meandering over the warm waters of the SW Gulf in recent days has now attained named tropical storm status and it is likely to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday and then head towards the Louisiana coastline for a possible landfall later in the day on Wednesday. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of flash flooding all the way from coastal sections of far northeast Mexico to southern Mississippi and an increasing likelihood of storm surge inundation.
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The week ahead will feature quite warm conditions, but nothing extreme and there can be a shower or thunderstorm from time-to-time. Temperatures will climb higher today compared to Sunday with afternoon highs well up in the 80’s to go along with plenty of sunshine.
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The climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is just around the corner and there are now as many as five systems to monitor in coming days after a very lengthy quiet period. In fact, there has not been a newly named tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin since “Ernesto” first reached that designation on August 12th, and this is the longest such quiet stretch since the late 1960’s. With five separate tropical systems currently showing some life in the Atlantic Basin and near-term changes coming to the overall weather pattern, the absence of named tropical storms is very likely to soon come to an end.
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Temperatures will remain warm today with plenty of sunshine and afternoon highs well up in the 80’s. It turns a tad cooler on Friday and with highs in the lower 80’s and the weekend is shaping up pretty nicely with sunshine expected on each day and highs not far from the 80 degree mark.
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Temperatures should be comfortably warm for the remainder of the week with highs today and Thursday likely in the middle 80’s and then closer to the 80 degree mark on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. In terms of rainfall, it looks rain-free today and tonight and then a slight chance of showers return for Thursday and Friday, but then the weekend should turn out to be rain-free.
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Temperatures should be rather comfortable for the remainder of the week with highs likely confined to the 70’s by Thursday and Friday afternoons. An upper-level shortwave could help spark some PM shower and thunderstorm activity each of the next couple of days.
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It stays quite hot for the next couple of days with high temperatures later today in the middle 90’s across northern Alabama then likely the low-to-mid 90’s on Saturday. In terms of rainfall, while there will be much rain-free time during the next few days, there will be a daily chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.
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It stays quite hot for the next few days with high temperatures later today in the middle or upper 90’s across northern Alabama then likely the low-to-mid 90’s on Friday and Saturday. In terms of rain, while there will be much rain-free time during the next few days, there will be a daily chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.
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