The Atlantic Basin is quite active as we head towards the end of September with three tropical systems currently on the playing field including a “major” Hurricane Gabrielle which is now racing off to the east-northeast and is no threat to the US. In fact, Hurricane Gabrielle could impact the Azores Islands and Portugal down the road in a weakened state after crossing over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic.
Meanwhile, the other two tropical systems pose more of a challenge in terms of forecasting their eventual paths and magnitudes. It appears quite likely that both systems will reach named tropical storm classification and potentially, both may climb to hurricane status. It also appears quite likely that these two systems will end up doing some sort of a dance around each other for awhile (“Fujiwhara effect”) and at least one may come uncomfortably close to the US east coast and we may not know the end of the story until we get ten or so days out from now.
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The weather remains quite unsettled today with the threat of PM showers and thunderstorms as an upper-level trough drops into the Great Lakes. More settled weather pattern evolves for the late week and weekend with sunshine prevailing on Friday, Saturday and Sunday and temperatures climbing well up into the 80’s each day.
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The week begins with an upper-level trough centered over the Great Lakes and it will contribute to unsettled conditions around here. With increasing moisture and the trough to our north, the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase around here later today, and the threat of rain is likely on Tuesday as well. Unsettled weather will continue at mid-week and for the late week with additional chances of showers and thunderstorms.
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The weather will be quite warm for the next few days with afternoon highs generally in the lower 90’s. It is likely to remain rain-free as well as we push through the weekend, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms will return early next week.
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The weather will be quite warm for the next few days with afternoon highs generally in the lower 90’s. It is likely to remain rain-free as well as we push through the weekend, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms will return early next week.
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The weather will be quite warm for the next few days with afternoon highs generally in the lower 90’s. It is likely to remain rain-free as well as we close out the work week, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms will return this weekend.
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The weather will be quite warm this week with afternoon highs generally in the upper 80’s to lower 90’s. There is a slight chance today for some shower/thunderstorm activity, but most of the next few days will likely be rain-free.
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The Atlantic Basin tropical season officially extends from June 1st to November 30th, and the climatological peak is right around the 10th of September. This year is quite unusual in that the climatological peak comes with no tropical activity whatsoever in the Atlantic Basin and the overall season is now below normal for this time of year. In fact, global activity across the entire northern hemisphere is below-normal and that breaks down to each of the oceans being quieter-than-normal (Atlantic, Pacific, Indian). One of the possible explanations for the relatively quiet tropical season across the globe is the dramatic cool down in sea surface temperatures from a year ago. Looking ahead, there is another half of the season to go for the Atlantic Basin - at least in terms of climatology - and signs point to a pickup in activity potentially beginning as soon as this weekend.
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The weather will turn quite warm today with afternoon highs in the upper 80’s and then 90+ degrees are likely from tomorrow through the upcoming weekend. Low pressure pushes away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline later today and high pressure will dominate the scene in the southeastern states.
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The weather will be moderately warm for another couple of days with highs generally in the low-to-mid 80’s. It turns quite warm late in the week with highs near the 90 degree mark on Thursday and Friday and then the lower 90’s this weekend.
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