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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM | *An active tropical scene with one system over the Gulf of Mexico and another in the central Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has become quite active with an impressive system over the Gulf of Mexico and also a tropical storm (Gonzalo) over the central tropical Atlantic. The Gulf system has a chance to intensify into a named tropical storm over the next day or so as it heads towards the northwestern part of the Gulf. Heavy rain is likely by the weekend from this Gulf system across much of Texas and Louisiana and it could make landfall somewhere along the east coast of Texas. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Gonzalo could very well climb to hurricane status as it pushes towards the Caribbean Sea reaching that body of water this weekend.

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11:15 AM (Wed.) | ***An active tropical scene with a Gulf of Mexico system and a newly named tropical storm in the central Atlantic…strong-to-severe storms later today/tonight in the I-95 corridor***

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has become quite active with an impressive system over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and also a newly named tropical storm over the central tropical Atlantic. The Gulf system has a chance to intensify into a named tropical storm over the next couple of days as it heads towards the northwestern part of the Gulf and Tropical Storm Gonzalo could very well climb to hurricane status over the next couple of days in the central Atlantic.

Elsewhere, a wave of energy in the upper part of the atmosphere is combining with a stalled out frontal boundary zone and plenty of moisture to spark some strong thunderstorm activity at mid-day in the western part of the Mid-Atlantic region and across the Ohio Valley. Some of these thunderstorm cells will make it into the I-95 corridor at day’s end and likely reach strong-to-severe levels with the potential of damaging wind gusts of up to 60 mph, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall.

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7:00 AM | *Monitoring multiple waves in the tropics*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the western Atlantic continues to pump very warm and humid air into the central part of Florida. The daily highs near 90 degrees will continue through the upcoming weekend as will the uncomfortable humidity and threat of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, there are multiple tropical waves to monitor in the Atlantic Basin and a couple more pushing westward over Africa. One such wave is pushing to the west from the Florida Straits and it is about to enter the Gulf of Mexico. A second wave to watch is pushing westward across the tropical Atlantic and it has room to grow over the next couple of days.

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1:50 PM (Tuesday) | *Strong storms possible later today in the I-95 corridor…severe storms possible later tomorrow…an active tropical scene in the Atlantic Basin*

Paul Dorian

A wave of energy in the upper part of the atmosphere is combining with a stalled out frontal boundary zone and plenty of moisture to spark some strong thunderstorm activity in the western part of the Mid-Atlantic region and some of these cells will make it into the I-95 corridor at day’s end. An even stronger wave of energy aloft will likely generate thunderstorms later tomorrow for the Mid-Atlantic region and some of these can reach severe levels with heavy rainfall, hail and potential damaging wind gusts. Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin tropical scene has become more active with two systems to monitor over the next few days and additional waves are drifting westward over Africa assuring an active last stretch of the month of July.

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7:00 AM | *Same old, same old...breezy, humid, highs near 90 degrees and a chance of showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the western Atlantic continues to pump very warm and humid air into the Florida Peninsula. In fact, the warmth and humidity will hold on all week and there will be a daily threat of showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, there are multiple tropical waves to monitor in the Atlantic Basin; however, there are no serious threats for the US mainland during the next several days.

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7:00 AM | *Keeping an eye on the tropics*

Paul Dorian

High pressure centered over the western Atlantic Ocean continues to dominate the scene around here and is leading to an extended stretch of very warm, humid conditions across the central part of Florida. There will be a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms and an onshore breeze will be quite prevalent on the back side of the high pressure system. Elsewhere, a tropical wave of low pressure looks like it’ll travel from the northern Caribbean Islands towards the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days with a small chance of some intensification.

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7:00 AM | *Pretty typical summer weather around here to close out the week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure continues to dominate the scene around here and is leading to an extended stretch of very warm and humid weather across the central part of Florida. One high pressure center has pushed off the northeastern US coastline and another sits over the southeastern part of the nation. Both of these will consolidate this weekend over the western Atlantic Ocean into the familiar “Bermuda-high” type of pattern and this will produce extended very warm and humid conditions in much of the eastern US. Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin tropical scene continues to be quiet partly as a result of some dry, desert air that has pushed to the west from northern Africa; however, there are signs that the “African-wave train” may get quite active later this month.

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7:00 AM | *"Bermuda-high" pattern setting up over the western Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

High pressure continues to dominate the scene around here and is leading to an extended stretch of very warm and humid weather across the central part of Florida. One high pressure center is now positioned over the northeastern US and another sits over the southeastern part of the nation. Both of these will consolidate over the western Atlantic Ocean this weekend into the familiar “Bermuda-high” type of pattern and this will produce extended very warm and humid conditions in much of the eastern US. Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin tropical scene continues to be quiet partly as a result of some dry, desert air that has pushed to the west from northern Africa; however, there are signs that the “African-wave train” may get quite active later this month.

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7:00 AM | *Atlantic Basin tropical scene remains quiet*

Paul Dorian

High pressure dominates the scene and it will result in a couple more days of very warm and humid conditions and only isolated-to-scattered showers and thunderstorms. The pattern transitions by late in the week to one that is wetter as an upper-level trough sets up shop over the Bahamas. The likelihood for showers and thunderstorms will increase on Friday and that enhanced threat will continue through the weekend. Elsewhere, the Atlantic Basin tropical scene continues to be quiet partly as a result of some dry, desert air that has pushed to the west from northern Africa.

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7:00 AM | *Highs again near 90 degrees with scattered showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

A summer-like week continues for central Florida with highs at 90+ degrees each day and with scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly in the PM hours. High pressure at all levels of the atmosphere is controlling the weather across much of the southern US and it’ll produce a summer-like week across Florida. One final note, Comet NEOWISE is now visible in the evening sky – look straight down and a little bit to the right from the Big Dipper to near the horizon in the northwest sky about an hour or so after sunset (i.e., around 9:30 PM)…may need binoculars..

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