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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM | *An active tropical scene which includes an upcoming threat for the central Gulf coastal region*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean will continue to produce an onshore flow of air around here for the next few days and this will prevent it from getting too hot with temperatures generally confined to the mid-to-upper 80’s for afternoon highs. The stiff breeze from the east-to-southeast will also keep it rather moist around here in the lower levels of the atmosphere and this will help to continue our daily threat of showers and thunderstorms. On the tropical scene, there is an increasing threat for a hurricane - perhaps even a "major" - by the early part of next week in the Louisiana coastal region.

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11:30 AM | *An increasing hurricane threat for Texas/Louisiana coastal region by early next week*

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin remains quite active as we push towards the end of August with three systems on the tropical scene, but the one over the Caribbean Sea is of most concern at this time. There are strong signs that this system now officially known as “Invest 99L” can reach hurricane status in coming days and perhaps threaten the Texas and/or Louisiana coastline by the early part of next week.

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7:00 AM | *A light onshore flow prevents it from getting too hot...breeze picks up tomorrow*

Paul Dorian

High pressure building over the western Atlantic Ocean will continue to produce a light onshore flow of air around here for the next few days and this will prevent it from getting too hot with high temperatures generally confined to the mid or upper 80’s. The ocean flow of air will also keep it rather moist in the lower levels of the atmosphere and this will help to cause a daily chance of showers and thunderstorms across east-central Florida. On the tropical scene, there are signs for a possible hurricane in the Texas/Louisiana coastal region by Monday or so...something to closely monitor next few days.

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7:00 AM | *An onshore flow keeps a lid on the heat*

Paul Dorian

High pressure building over the western Atlantic Ocean will promote an onshore flow of air around here for the next few days and it will prevent it from getting oppressively hot with high temperatures generally confined to the mid or upper 80's. The ocean flow of air will keep it rather moist around here in lower levels of the atmosphere and this will help to continue the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms across east-central Florida.

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7:00 AM **Threat for some strong storms and heavy rainfall as we begin the week**

Paul Dorian

Deep moisture exists this morning across much of the Florida Peninsula and this will lead to scattered-to-numerous showers and thunderstorms in the region. The combination of the high moisture levels and overall weak wind field will likely to lead slow-moving showers and storms that will enhance the chances for localized significant rainfall amounts. In addition, some of the storms that do form later today are likely to contain some strong wind gusts, frequent lightning and possible small hail.

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7:00 AM | *Keeping an eye on "Henri" off the coast...it turns to the north this weekend*

Paul Dorian

A trough of low pressure will build aloft over the eastern states during the next couple of days and it’ll stay quite warm across east-central Florida with highs near 90 degrees. There are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms as we head into the weekend and these may become more numerous during the first half of next week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm “Henri” will take a turn to the north this weekend and could end up near Long Island or New England by the time Sunday night or Monday rolls around.

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7:00 AM | *Main weather theme next couple days is very warm conditions with only a slight chance of showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Tropical Storm “Fred” have moved into upstate New York and attention will shift to Tropical Storm "Henri" which continues to churn slowly out over the western Atlantic Ocean. "Henri" is on the doorstep of attaining hurricane status with current maximum sustained winds at 70 mph. The unfolding upper air pattern may allow for movement of Henri towards New England later this weekend and all residents along the Northeast US coastline should monitor this system in coming days. Around here, the chances for showers and storms will remain limited over the next couple of days as high pressure builds across the eastern states, but they'll increase over the weekend.

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7:00 AM | *A quieter pattern setting up for the region*

Paul Dorian

A quieter weather pattern is in store for the region with high pressure building over the western Atlantic. As a result, the threat of rain will be reduced for the last half of the week and likely the weekend as well when compared to recent days. The remnants of Fred are pushing northeastward today through the western part of the Mid-Atlantic and TS Henri continues to meander out over the western Atlantic.

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1:45 PM | *Fred, Grace and Henri, oh my…remnants of Fred pushing northward with significant rain…Grace headed west towards Yucatan Peninsula…Henri needs to be very closely monitored*

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm Fred came ashore late yesterday in western Florida and the remains are now pushing north-northeastward across the northwestern part of Georgia. Despite its recent weakening, this system continues to produce some significant rainfall and strong thunderstorm activity in the Southeast US and Tennessee Valley and it will likely do so tomorrow and tomorrow night in the Mid-Atlantic region. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Grace is moving westward through the Caribbean Sea and is likely to reach the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico by Thursday – probably as a hurricane. Finally, Tropical Storm Henri has formed over the Atlantic and is currently meandering not too far from the island of Bermuda. This system is quite worrisome in that it may come awfully close to the US east coast before hopefully turning away…needs to be very closely monitored.

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7:00 AM | **TS "Fred" comes ashore last evening in western Florida...two other Atlantic systems now tropical storm status**

Paul Dorian

Tropical Storm “Fred” came ashore last evening in the western part of Florida and has since weakened into a tropical depression now situated right near the Georgia/Alabama border. The biggest impact from the remnants of "Fred" in the next 24 hours will be up along the spine of the Appalachians as it pushes northeastward. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm "Grace" is likely headed west towards the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and Tropical Storm "Henri" will meander over the Atlantic Ocean in coming days not too far from the island of Bermuda.

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