7:00 AM | *Unsettled weather pattern (and threat of heavy rain) to continue into early next week*

July 06, 2023Paul Dorian

High moisture content in the lower part of the atmosphere and a weak frontal system stationed nearby can help to generate scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms in the NYC metro area. The unsettled weather pattern will continue on Friday as a cool front approaches the region from the west enhancing instability in the lower part of the atmosphere.  Any shower or thunderstorm that forms over the next couple of days can produce significant rainfall amounts given the high moisture content and the expected slow movement of rain cells in the area. This active weather pattern will continue this weekend and a potent system headed this way for Sunday can result in a more widespread, heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region.

7:00 AM | *Quite warm and humid weather pattern continues here at mid-week*

July 05, 2023Paul Dorian

A nearby frontal system tends to weaken today and this will reduce the chances for rainfall somewhat; however, isolated-to-scattered PM showers and thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. The unsettled weather pattern returns later in the week and continues in full force through at least the first half of next week with a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms.

7:00 AM | *The holiday brings with it a continuing chance of PM showers and thunderstorms*

July 04, 2023Paul Dorian

A front pushed into the region on Monday and has stalled-out nearby resulting in a continuation of unstable atmospheric conditions. As such, the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue today with the highest chance during the afternoon and early evening hours. The front tends to dissipate by tomorrow and this may reduce chances for rain slightly on both Wednesday and Thursday. The unsettled weather pattern will return in full force, however, by the end of the week and for the weekend as well.

One final note, if you thought June was on the cool side of normal in the Mid-Atlantic region, you were correct. The month of June ended up 2.9 degrees below-normal in Philadelphia, 2.2 degrees below-normal in D.C., and 2.0 degrees cooler-than-normal in Central Park (NY). Temperatures reached the 90 degree mark for highs only once during the entire month in both Philadelphia and New York City and only four times in Washington, D.C. The month of May was also cooler-than-normal in all three Mid-Atlantic locations.

7:00 AM | *Strong storm threat later today/early tonight and again for the 4th of July*

July 03, 2023Paul Dorian

A front will approach the region later today and likely bring with it afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.  Any thunderstorm later today and early tonight can be on the strong side with heavy rain and gusty winds. Unfortunately, the frontal system will hang nearby on Tuesday - the 4th of July - and the weather will be pretty much a repeat performance of today with the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. The front will dissipate some by mid-week and the chance of showers and thunderstorms may become somewhat diminished on Wednesday and Thursday; however, the overall unsettled weather pattern lasts right into the upcoming weekend.

6:45 AM | *The threat of showers and thunderstorms returns this weekend*

June 30, 2023Paul Dorian

Weak high pressure will remain in control of the weather as we head into the weekend, but then a couple of frontal systems will bring an unsettled weather pattern back to the Mid-Atlantic region. The threat of showers and thunderstorms will increase later tomorrow and there is a chance for some heavy rainfall late Sunday and Sunday night.

7:00 AM | *A break in the action today with rain-free conditions expected*

June 29, 2023Paul Dorian

Weak high pressure will stay in control of the weather today in the Mid-Atlantic region providing us with rain-free conditions and seasonably warm conditions.  A couple of frontal systems will head this way by the weekend making for unsettled weather conditions from later tomorrow into early next week with a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.

7:00 AM | *Still the chance today for a shower or thunderstorm...a break in the action on Thursday*

June 28, 2023Paul Dorian

While there is still the threat today for scattered PM showers and thunderstorms, a break in the action is likely on Thursday as weak high pressure moves into the region with rain-free conditions expected. The unsettled pattern returns to the NYC metro area by late Friday and likely sticks around into early next week as a stalling-out frontal system renews the chance here for showers and thunderstorms. 

7:00 AM | ***Still a good chance of showers and thunderstorms...some of the storms can be strong-to-severe...some of the rain can be heavy***

June 27, 2023Paul Dorian

A very unsettled weather pattern will continue today in the Mid-Atlantic region as low pressure from the Great Lakes edges to the south and east along with a slow-moving cool frontal system. As a result, more showers and thunderstorms are likely from later today into tonight. Some of the storms can reach strong-to-severe levels and some of the rain can be heavy.  Weak high pressure will attempt to improve conditions later Wednesday and Thursday limiting the chance of rain; however, the overall unsettled weather pattern will stay intact through the upcoming weekend with a renewed chance of showers and storms on Friday, Saturday and Sunday as a frontal system stalls in the area.