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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions for the next several days and continued dry*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure will control the weather around here for the remainder of the week with each day featuring plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. Temperatures should peak this afternoon and tomorrow near 80 degrees and then likely in the low-to-mid 80’s for the latter part of the week and upcoming weekend.

In terms of rainfall, the overall pattern will remain very dry in the Mid-Atlantic region with this high pressure system dominating the scene. In fact, tropical moisture associated with TS Francine will advance northward  later in the week after a mid-week landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane. However, with the strong high in place to our northeast, the advance of the tropical moisture field will quite likely grind to a halt somewhere over the Tennessee Valley/Midwest and it’ll not be able to make it into the northeastern part of the nation.

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12:00 PM | **Hurricane threat for Louisiana at mid-week...a couple other systems to monitor out in the Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Francine was born this morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to threaten the Louisiana coastline on Wednesday as a hurricane. A tropical wave that has been meandering over the warm waters of the SW Gulf in recent days has now attained named tropical storm status and it is likely to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday and then head towards the Louisiana coastline for a possible landfall later in the day on Wednesday. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of flash flooding all the way from coastal sections of far northeast Mexico to southern Mississippi and an increasing likelihood of storm surge inundation.

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7:00 AM | *A chilly start to what looks to be yet another dry week in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will control the weather around here for much of the week and each day should feature plenty of sunshine with rain-free conditions. Temperatures are starting off the week quite cool this morning and should peak this afternoon in the pleasant upper 70’s to go along with the sunshine. There will be a gradual warming trend during the next couple days with highs likely back in the low-to-mid 80’s for much of the second half of the week.

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6:15 AM | *Showers on Saturday...cool, crisp, fall-like air mass pushes in for Sunday and Monday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the northeastern states will control the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region for another day with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels though clouds will be abundant. The high shifts off the coast by early tomorrow and there will be a cold frontal system pushing this way from our northwest. As a result, showers are likely on Saturday and temperatures should peak in the middle 70’s for highs. This will not be an all-day heavy rain type event anywhere in the Mid-Atlantic region and that includes in State College, PA where Penn State plays its home opener at noon…showers only. The front sweeps through on Saturday night and its passage will usher in another cool, crisp, fall-like air mass for Sunday and Monday of early next week.

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12:00 PM | *Climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is just around the corner and there are now several systems to monitor after a very quiet stretch*

Paul Dorian

The climatological peak of the Atlantic Basin tropical season is just around the corner and there are now as many as five systems to monitor in coming days after a very lengthy quiet period. In fact, there has not been a newly named tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin since “Ernesto” first reached that designation on August 12th, and this is the longest such quiet stretch since the late 1960’s. With five separate tropical systems currently showing some life in the Atlantic Basin and near-term changes coming to the overall weather pattern, the absence of named tropical storms is very likely to soon come to an end.

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7:00 AM | *Showers on Saturday...another cool, dry and fall-like air mass arrives on Sunday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the northeastern states will control the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region for another couple of days. Temperatures and humidity levels will remain quite comfortable for this time of year with afternoon highs within a few degrees of the 80 degree mark. The high shifts off the coast by Saturday and there will be a cold frontal system pushing this way from the northwest. As a result, showers are likely on Saturday; especially, during the afternoon and evening hours and temperatures should hold in the mid-to-upper 70’s for highs. The front sweeps through on Saturday night and its passage will usher in another cool, crisp, fall-like air mass for Sunday and Monday of early next week.

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7:00 AM | *Still nice for next few days...showers on Saturday...another cool, dry, fall-like air mass coming for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the northeastern states will control the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region for the next couple of days. Temperatures and humidity levels will remain quite comfortable for this time of year with highs generally within a few degrees of the 80 degree mark. The high shifts off the coast by Saturday and there will be a cold frontal system pushing this way from the northwest. As a result, showers are likely on Saturday; especially, during the afternoon hours and temperatures should hold in the mid-to-upper 70’s for highs. The front sweeps through on Saturday night and its passage will usher in another cool, crisp, fall-like air mass for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday of early next week.

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11:30 AM | *Atlantic Basin showing some life after quietest stretch with no newly named storms since 1968...cool, crisp air mass from Great Lakes to Northeast US with a few early day record breakers*

Paul Dorian

The month of September is now underway and there are three tropical waves to monitor in the Atlantic Basin in coming days, but none of these has yet to attain named tropical storm status. In fact, there has not been a newly named tropical storm system in the Atlantic Basin since “Ernesto” formed back on August 12th. The time period from the 13th of August until today, September 3rd, is the first such quiet stretch since 1968 without a newly named tropical system.

At the same time the tropics are showing some life after a quiet stretch here in early September, cool, crisp and dry air is dominating the scene from the Great Lakes/Upper Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US. Numerous locations early this morning were quite close to their record low temperatures for the date and indeed, there were a few spots that actually set daily low temperature records.

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7:00 AM | *An excellent few days in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the Great Lakes will control the weather in the Mid-Atlantic region for much of the week. Temperatures and humidity levels will be quite comfortable for the early part of September with highs generally in the 70’s and overnight lows in the 50’s. The high shifts off the coast by the early part of the weekend and low pressure may combine with a cold frontal system to produce some rain in the region. Cool, dry air should follow the frontal passage for Sunday and Monday.

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6:15 AM | **Chance of showers and storms later tomorrow/tomorrow night...cool, dry air mass arrives on Labor Day Monday**

Paul Dorian

The work week will end with plenty of clouds, early day showers, and comfortable temperatures that should peak this afternoon in the lower 70’s...there can be a PM shower or thunderstorm, but mainly rain-free time. A cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic from the northwest later tomorrow and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area from late tomorrow into tomorrow night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in an additional shower or thunderstorm, but nothing too organized and mainly a rain-free finish to the weekend. A cool, dry and fall-like blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, and it’ll feature below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels right into at least the middle of next week.

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