The tropics have come alive and there are multiple systems to monitor in coming days across the Atlantic Basin. This significant uptick in tropical activity follows a very quiet stretch during July and much of August, but the overall pattern is now more favorable for development and intensification as we get ready to cross into the month of September. The climatological peak of the tropical season in the Atlantic Basin is around the 10th of September at which time sea surface temperatures tend to reach their annual peaks.
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The new week will start off quite warm, but a strong cold front will pass through the region tomorrow night and its passage will usher in more comfortable air for the second half of the week. There can be a round of showers and thunderstorms late tomorrow and early tomorrow night associated with the cold front and some of the thunderstorms can be on the strong side. Temperatures today and Tuesday will climb to or slightly above the 90 degree mark for afternoon highs and then hold in the 80’s for the remainder of the week following the frontal passage and there be lower humidity levels. Elsewhere, the tropics have come alive and there will be several systems to monitor in coming days.
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High pressure was in control of the weather for the last couple of days, but it’ll push away today and a cold front will approach the region. This front will then stall nearby this weekend and weaken, but it could help to generate scattered showers and storms both later today and again this weekend.. High pressure moves back into the area early next week and we’ll experience quite warm weather conditions with highs near 90 degrees.
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High pressure has pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region and it will continue to generate quite warm and rain-free conditions here today with afternoon highs likely in the upper 80’s A couple of frontal systems will approach the region on Friday and Saturday and there can be a shower or thunderstorm from time-to-time, but no widespread or extended rain event is expected.
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High pressure builds across the region today and will provide us with quite warm and rain-free conditions for the next couple of days. Another couple of frontal systems will approach the region late this week and during the early part of the weekend and there can be a shower or thunderstorm, but no widespread rain event is expected.
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Today will start off with some patchy fog and it’ll present the chance for PM showers and thunderstorms associated with a departing upper-level feature. High pressure will then push into the area for the mid-week providing us with generally warm and rain-free conditions on both Wednesday and Thursday.
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A large trough of low pressure will push into the northeastern states and generate unsettled conditions around here with the likelihood of additional showers and thunderstorms. Some of the rain can be heavy at times, watch for localized flash flooding. The chance of rain will remain on Tuesday, but it won’t be as high as today. High pressure moves into the area at mid-week generating generally warm and rain-free weather conditions.
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Weak high pressure will push offshore today and a front will move nearby this weekend with a couple of low pressure systems likely to ride along the boundary zone. As a result, there will be somewhat unsettled conditions this weekend after another mainly sunny and warm day here on Friday. While much of Saturday and Sunday will be rain-free, a shower or thunderstorm is possible from time-to-time.
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Weak high pressure will take control of the weather today providing us with plenty of sunshine and it’ll turn a bit warmer on Friday. The weekend will feature moderately warm conditions and it will be a bit unsettled with the chance of showers each day, maybe a thunderstorm, but no total wash outs.
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We have now passed the mid-point of the month of August and, so far, tropical activity has been considerably below-normal in the Atlantic Basin. In fact, activity across the northern hemisphere as a whole has been below-normal as measured by a metric known as the “accumulated cyclone energy” or ACE. There are signs, however, that the lid is about to come off in the Atlantic Basin where a big-time increase in activity is increasingly likely over the next few weeks and beginning as early as this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico.
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