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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Dynamic storm system impacts the Tennessee Valley this weekend**

Paul Dorian

A dynamic storm system will develop this weekend and impact the Tennessee Valley with showers and thunderstorms. Some of the rain can be heavy this weekend and some of the storms can reach strong-to-severe levels. Winds will also become a factor as low pressure intensifies along an incoming cold frontal boundary. Following the frontal passage, temperatures should drop from highs in the upper 60’s on Saturday to highs in the upper 40’s on Sunday.

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6:15 AM | ***Some wild weather late Sunday/Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

Some wild weather is coming to the DC metro region late Sunday/Sunday night with heavy rain, powerful winds, squall line with thunderstorms, tumbling temperatures, and even a changeover to snow all on the table with small accumulations possible in the northern and western suburbs.

It turns milder today and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday. A strong cold front will slowly slide eastward on Sunday and low pressure will intensify along the frontal boundary zone. Ahead of the cold front, rain will break out on Sunday and become heavy at times by Sunday night. Winds will become a big factor as well with potentially damaging wind gusts; especially, along coastal sections during this late weekend event. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures will tumble later Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow for a brief time with some small accumulations possible in the N/W suburbs. The weather settles down on Monday, but it’ll remain moderately cold through much of the first half of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***Some wild weather late Sunday/Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

Some wild weather is coming to the Philly metro region late Sunday/Sunday night with heavy rain, powerful winds, squall line with thunderstorms, tumbling temperatures, and even a changeover to snow all on the table and small accumulations are possible in some of the northern and western suburbs.

It turns milder today and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday. A strong cold front will slowly slide eastward on Sunday and low pressure will intensify along the frontal boundary zone. Ahead of the cold front, rain will break out on Sunday and become heavy at times by Sunday night. Winds will become a big factor as well with potentially damaging wind gusts; especially, along coastal sections during this late weekend event. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures will tumble later Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow for a brief time with some small accumulations possible in the N/W suburbs. The weather settles down on Monday, but it’ll remain moderately cold through much of the first half of next week.

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6:15 AM | ***Some wild weather late Sunday/Sunday night***

Paul Dorian

Some wild weather is coming to the NYC metro region late Sunday/Sunday night with heavy rain, powerful winds, squall line with thunderstorms, tumbling temperatures, and even a changeover to snow all on the table; primarily, in those areas well to the north and west of the metro area.

It turns milder today and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday. A strong cold front will slowly slide eastward on Sunday and low pressure will intensify along the frontal boundary zone. Ahead of the cold front, rain will break out on Sunday and become heavy at times by Sunday night. Winds will become a big factor as well with potentially damaging wind gusts; especially, along coastal sections during this late weekend event. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures will tumble later Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow for a brief time in areas well to the N/W of NYC. The weather settles down on Monday, but it’ll remain moderately cold through much of the first half of next week.

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7:15 AM | *The role of the weather on December 7th, 1941 - "a date which will live in infamy” - and a little known important indirect benefit from the weather*

Paul Dorian

The weather on Oahu, Hawaii in the early morning hours of Sunday, December 7th, 1941 was not at all unusual for the time of year with mild temperatures and mainly clear skies.  Unfortunately, the weather conditions on that particular day would play a role in the bombing of the U.S. naval base by Japanese fighter planes at Pearl Harbor near Honolulu, Hawaii.  As Japanese fighters crossed the Pacific Ocean, they were given hope that their mission would succeed when the announcement was made of “clouds mostly over the mounts…visibility good”.  It is believed that the decision to attack on that particular day had plenty to do with the projected favorable weather conditions.

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6:30 AM | ***Snow showers likely today...heavy rain/strong winds late Sunday into Sunday night and the precipitation could end as snow or ice***

Paul Dorian

There were snowflakes in the air in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and another system is likely to produce snow showers around here today and perhaps even a period of steadier snow. Small accumulations are certainly on the table as temperatures should hold in the 30’s during any snowfall during the day. It turns noticeably milder on Friday and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday.

The weekend will end with some wild weather conditions as a strong cold front slides slowly from west-to-east and towards the eastern seaboard. Strong low pressure will form along the frontal boundary zone and the result here will likely be heavy rain and possible strong thunderstorms. In addition to the rain, winds will become a big factor with potentially damaging gusts from later Sunday into Sunday night. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures are likely to tumble on Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow/ice for a brief time in areas to the north and west of the metro area.

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6:30 AM | ***Snow likely by mid-morning and small accumulations of a coating to an inch are possible...watch for slippery spots...heavy rain/strong winds threat late Sunday***

Paul Dorian

There were snowflakes in the air in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and another system is going to produce some snow around here today probably beginning between 8 and 9 am and ending around mid-day. Small accumulations of a coating to an inch are certainly on the table…watch out for slippery spots. It turns milder on Friday and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday.

The weekend will end with some wild weather conditions as a strong cold front slides slowly from west-to-east and towards the eastern seaboard. Strong low pressure will form along the frontal boundary zone and the result here will likely be heavy rain and possible strong thunderstorms. In addition to the rain, winds will become a big factor with potentially damaging gusts from later Sunday into Sunday night. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures are likely to tumble on Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow/ice for a brief time in areas to the north and west of the I-95 corridor.

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6:30 AM | ***Snow showers possible this morning far northeastern suburbs...heavy rain/strong winds late Sunday into Sunday night and the precipitation could end as snow or ice N/W***

Paul Dorian

There were snowflakes in the air in parts of the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and another system is going to produce snow today across southern sections of Pennsylvania and likely as far south as northern Maryland. It turns noticeably milder on Friday and the mild conditions will continue through much of the day on Sunday.

The weekend will end with some wild weather conditions as a strong cold front slides slowly from west-to-east and towards the eastern seaboard. Strong low pressure will form along the frontal boundary zone and the result here will likely be heavy rain and possible strong thunderstorms. In addition to the rain, winds will become a big factor with potentially damaging gusts from later Sunday into Sunday night. After the passage of the cold front, temperatures are likely to tumble on Sunday night and the rain can transition to snow/ice for a brief time in areas just to the north and west of the I-95 corridor.

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12:15 PM | **Heavy rain event with strong and potentially damaging winds on the table for Mid-Atlantic/NE US late Sunday…back-end changeover to snow/ice across interior sections an increasing threat**

Paul Dorian

Signs continue to point to a heavy rain event for the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US in the late Sunday/Sunday night time period with strong and potentially damaging winds. In addition, with an eventual shifting of the main surface low pressure system to the east coast, there is a threat for back-end snow and/or ice across interior, higher elevation locations. In fact, this changeover threat across interior sections may actually be increasing as we get closer to event time with the expected storm track now somewhat slightly farther to the south and east. This trend allows for a quicker intrusion of colder air on the tail end of the storm. As it stands now, several inches of snow are possible across upstate New York and interior sections of New England and perhaps some frozen precipitation can make it not too far to the northwest of the I-95 corridor. Elsewhere, this weekend storm system may threaten the Deep South with severe weather including possible tornadic activity in the region from Arkansas/Louisiana to Alabama.

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