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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:30 AM | *An unsettled weekend in the Mid-Atlantic region with the chance for some downpours...very nice air mass for Tuesday and Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure that has been in control of our weather for much of this week has now shifted off the coast and this repositioning will open the door to more humid air and the return of shower and thunderstorm activity. The shower and thunderstorm activity can begin late tonight and should continue on an occasional basis on both weekend days and some of the rain can be heavy at times. Temperatures will climb to warm levels later this afternoon with highs generally in the mid-to-upper 80’s, but they should be confined to the lower 80’s on Saturday and Sunday largely as a result of the expected copious amounts of clouds. A cold front that will be trailing low pressure to our north this weekend will push through here later Monday and it’ll usher in a beautiful air mass for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week with comfortable temperatures and humidity levels.

Elsewhere, Hurricane Ernesto will impact Bermuda on Saturday and then likely maintain hurricane strength for awhile later in the weekend as it pushes towards the Atlantic Canada. While the center of Ernesto will be well to the east this weekend, there can be rough surf and rip tides up and down the east coast on both weekend days.

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*This week marks the 55th anniversary of Hurricane Camille…a "category 5" at landfall and one of the most devastating storms in US history*

Paul Dorian

1969 was a remarkable year and will be long remembered as the year when man first walked on the moon, the Miracle Mets shocked the sports world, and the Woodstock Festival took place in upstate New York.  It will also be remembered as the year when a major hurricane – Hurricane Camille – struck the United States as a category 5 storm and the second most intense tropical cyclone on record (only the 1935 Labor Day hurricane had a lower central pressure at landfall).  Hurricane Camille made landfall in Mississippi and wreaked havoc from the Gulf States to as far inland as the Mid-Atlantic with widespread flooding, record rainfall, and it cost the lives of several hundreds of people along its path of destruction.

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7:00 AM | *High temperatures near the 90-degree mark next few days*

Paul Dorian

High pressure slides to our east here today and this change in position will result in warmer, more humid, and unsettled conditions for the next few days with a daily chance of showers and thunderstorms. In addition to the ridge moving to the east, an upper-level trough has pushed into the center of the nation and the southerly flow between the two systems is increasing our overall humidity levels across the Tennessee Valley region.

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7:00 AM | *Showers and thunderstorms return to the region this weekend and there can be some downpours*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will shift offshore from later tonight into Friday and this repositioning will open the door to influence here this weekend by a low pressure system and its associated frontal systems. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase late tomorrow night and rain will be a threat on both weekend days…some of the weekend rain can be heavy at times. The cold front trailing from the low pressure system will push across the region from Sunday night into Monday likely resulting in additional showers and thunderstorms and, at the same time, Hurricane Ernesto will pass by well to our east producing rough surf/rip tides in the Atlantic. A very comfortable air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic region in time for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Showers and thunderstorms return to the region this weekend and there can be some downpours*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will shift offshore from later tonight into Friday and this repositioning will open the door to influence here this weekend by a low pressure system and its associated frontal systems. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase late tomorrow night and rain will be a threat on both weekend days…some of the weekend rain can be heavy at times. The cold front trailing from the low pressure system will push across the region from Sunday night into Monday likely resulting in additional showers and thunderstorms and, at the same time, Hurricane Ernesto will pass by well to our east producing rough surf/rip tides in the Atlantic. A very comfortable air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic region in time for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Showers and thunderstorms return to the region this weekend and there can be some downpours*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will shift offshore from later tonight into Friday and this repositioning will open the door to influence here this weekend by a low pressure system and its associated frontal systems. As a result, the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase late tomorrow night and rain will be a threat on both weekend days…some of the weekend rain can be heavy at times. The cold front trailing from the low pressure system will push across the region from Sunday night into Monday likely resulting in additional showers and thunderstorms and, at the same time, Hurricane Ernesto will pass by well to our east producing rough surf/rip tides in the Atlantic. A very comfortable air mass arrives in the Mid-Atlantic region in time for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

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7:00 AM | *Increasing heat, increasing moisture, and an increasing chance of PM showers and thunderstorms for the second half of the week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure ridging will slide to our east here at mid-week and this change in position will result in increasing heat, moisture, and an increase in the chance for PM showers and thunderstorms. In addition to the ridge moving to the east, an upper-level trough will push in the center of the nation and the southerly flow between the two systems will enhance moisture levels across the Tennessee Valley region.

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6:30 AM | *A couple more relatively comfortable and rain-free days and then the weather gets unsettled again by the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure is to remain in control of the weather around here for the next couple of days with relatively comfortable temperatures and humidity levels and also plenty of sunshine on a daily basis. The weather becomes much more unsettled by the end of the week as low pressure and its associated frontal systems raise the chance here for showers and thunderstorms on Friday night, Saturday, and Sunday.

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