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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:30 AM | *The “Carrington Event” of 1859…this ferocious solar storm of 165 years ago may not be as rare as once thought…what it could mean in today’s world*

Paul Dorian

On September 1st, 1859, a ferocious solar storm took place that impacted much of the planet. This ferocious solar storm is now known as the “Carrington Event”, named after the British astronomer, Richard Carrington, who witnessed the largest solar flare from his own private observatory which caused a major coronal mass ejection (CME) to travel directly toward Earth. Recent studies of solar storms have warned that these type of “Carrington Events” may not be quite as rare as once thought (e.g., Hayakawa et al). Many previous studies leaned heavily on Western Hemisphere accounts, omitting data from the Eastern Hemisphere. A super storm of the same magnitude as the “Carrington Event” in today’s world would very likely have a much more damaging impact than it did in the 19th century potentially causing widespread power outages along with disruptions to navigation, air travel, banking, and all forms of digital communication.

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6:15 AM | **Chance of showers and storms later tomorrow/tomorrow night...cool, dry air mass arrives on Labor Day Monday**

Paul Dorian

The work week will end with plenty of clouds, early day showers, and comfortable temperatures that should peak this afternoon in the lower 70’s...there can be a PM shower or thunderstorm, but mainly rain-free time. A cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic from the northwest later tomorrow and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area from late tomorrow into tomorrow night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in an additional shower or thunderstorm, but nothing too organized and mainly a rain-free finish to the weekend. A cool, dry and fall-like blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, and it’ll feature below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels right into at least the middle of next week.

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6:15 AM | **Chance of showers and storms later tomorrow/tomorrow night...cool, dry air mass arrives on Labor Day Monday**

Paul Dorian

The work week will end with plenty of clouds and comfortable temperatures that should peak this afternoon in the mid-to-upper 70’s...there can be a shower or thunderstorm along the way, but lots of rain-free time. A cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic from the northwest later tomorrow and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area from late tomorrow into tomorrow night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in an additional shower or thunderstorm, but nothing too organized and mainly a rain-free finish to the weekend. A cool, dry and fall-like blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, and it’ll feature below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels right into at least the middle of next week.

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6:15 AM | **Chance of showers and storms later tomorrow/tomorrow night...cool, dry, fall-like air mass arrives on Labor Day Monday**

Paul Dorian

The work week will end with plenty of clouds and comfortable temperatures that should peak this afternoon in the low-to-mid 70’s...there can be a shower or thunderstorm along the way, but lots of rain-free time. A cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic from the northwest later tomorrow and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area from late tomorrow into tomorrow night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in an additional shower or thunderstorm, but nothing too organized and mainly a rain-free finish to the weekend. A cool, dry and fall-like blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, and it’ll feature below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels right into at least the middle of next week.

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7:00 AM | *The heat sticks around for another few days, but it does turn cooler for the early part of next week*

Paul Dorian

It stays quite hot for the next few days with high temperatures later today in the middle or upper 90’s across northern Alabama then likely the low-to-mid 90’s on Friday and Saturday. In terms of rain, while there will be much rain-free time during the next few days, there will be a daily chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.

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7:00 AM | *Relatively quiet next few days across the Denver metro area with moderately warm conditions*

Paul Dorian

The remainder of this week looks relatively quiet and temperatures should be moderately warm across the Denver metro region. there should be no sustained high heat for the region. While an isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out during the next few days, most of the time should be rain-free. The chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase on Sunday and the higher threat of rain will continue during much of the first half of next week.

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6:15 AM | **Not as warm today...showers and thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and at night...some of the storms can be strong and some of the rain can be very heavy**

Paul Dorian

It won’t be quite as warm today in the DC metro region compared to Wednesday with the arrival of a stalling-out cold frontal system. Temperatures are likely to top out near the 90-degree mark for afternoon highs as compared with the upper 90’s on Wednesday afternoon. With the frontal system stalling out in rather close proximity, the weather here will remain unsettled today with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms; primarily, focused on the PM hours and any storm can be strong-to-severe and any rain from later today into tomorrow will be heavy at times.

Another cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic during the day Saturday and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the region from later Saturday into Saturday night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Sunday night and it can result in additional shower activity to close out the weekend though likely not nearly as widespread or as heavy as with the “primary” cold front earlier in the weekend. A cool, dry blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, featuring below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels.

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6:15 AM | *Not as warm today with mainly cloudy skies...possible shower or thunderstorm later tonight and again on Friday*

Paul Dorian

It turns cooler today in the NYC metro region following the overnight passage of a cold frontal system and temperatures are likely to be confined to the upper 70’s for afternoon highs and then the middle 70’s for highs on Friday. With the frontal system stalling out in rather close proximity, the weather here will remain somewhat unsettled with the chance of showers and thunderstorms from later tonight into Friday.

Another cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic during the day Saturday and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the region from later Saturday into Saturday night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in additional shower activity here to close out the weekend though likely not as widespread or as heavy as with the “primary” cold front earlier in the weekend. A cool, dry blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, featuring below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels.

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8:00 AM | **Cooler today with nothing more than an isolated afternoon shower/storm...showers/thunderstorms possible from tonight into Friday and some of the rain can be heavy at times**

Paul Dorian

It turns cooler today in the Philly metro region following the overnight passage of a cold frontal system and temperatures are likely to top out near the 80-degree mark for afternoon highs as compared with the middle 90’s on Wednesday. With the frontal system stalling out in rather close proximity, the weather here will remain somewhat unsettled into Friday with an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm and then likely another round of showers and thunderstorms from later tonight into tomorrow...some of the rain can be heavy at times.

Another cold front will bear down on the Mid-Atlantic during the day Saturday and this “primary” frontal system will likely bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area from later Saturday into Saturday night. A “secondary” cold front will then drop south and east into the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Monday and it can result in some additional shower activity; however, I am not expecting any late weekend rainfall to be heavy or organized like that of earlier in the weekend. A cool, dry blast of air arrives on Monday, Labor Day, featuring below-normal temperatures and very comfortable humidity levels for the first half of next week.

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