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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | ***Hurricane Francine to strike central Louisiana late today as a "cat 2" or strong "cat 1" system***

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Francine intensified into category 1 hurricane status during the overnight hours and it is headed for a landfall late today in the central coastline section of Louisiana. There is an outside chance that Francine strengthen to category 2 status before making landfall late in the afternoon or early part of tonight. After landfall, Francine will slowly weaken on Thursday as it pushes northward over the southern Mississippi River Valley and just to the west of here. The impact here on Thursday and Thursday night will include occasional showers, possible thunderstorms, wind gusts to 40 mph or so, and even isolated tornadoes are on the table. Its northward progress will grind to a halt by the end of the week somewhere over the middle Mississippi Valley region as it begins to become heavily influenced by very strong upper-level high pressure ridging that will park itself over the eastern part of Canada.

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7:00 AM | *The beat goes on here with more dry, sunny and comfortably warm days...Hurricane Francine to strike central Louisiana*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure will control the weather around here for the remainder of the week with each day featuring plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. Temperatures should peak this afternoon in the low-to-mid 80’s and then likely in the similar range for the latter part of the week and weekend. Elsewhere, on the tropical scene, Francine will approach the central coast of Louisiana later today as a strong “cat 1” hurricane or possibly even a “cat 2” and it will push northward after landfall on Thursday over the southern Mississippi Valley. A strong blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere will likely result in a halt later in the week to the northward advance of Francine’s remnants and then there is a chance that low pressure forms near the east coast early next week.

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**Hurricane threat for Louisiana with landfall later tomorrow...possibly as a "cat 2" storm...blocking scenario could result in low pressure near east coast early next week**

Paul Dorian

After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Tropical Storm Francine was born early Monday over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, but it has shown little in the way of additional intensification since then. However, all signs point to significant intensification of Francine from later tonight into the day on Wednesday...first into category 1 hurricane status and then possibly reaching category 2 classification later tomorrow as it approaches the Louisiana coastline. Odds favor Francine making landfall late tomorrow somewhere over the central portion of Louisiana’s coastline and its impact will be high all the way into the New Orleans metro area.

After landfall, Francine will slowly weaken on Thursday as it pushes northward over the southern Mississippi River Valley. Its northward progress will then grind to a halt by the end of the week somewhere over the middle Mississippi Valley region as it begins to become heavily influenced by very strong upper-level high pressure ridging that will park itself over the eastern part of Canada. The ultimate result in this atmospheric blocking scenario could be the formation of another low pressure system somewhere along the east coast in about a week’s time.

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7:00 AM | *Plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions for the next several days and continued dry*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure will control the weather around here for the remainder of the week with each day featuring plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. Temperatures should peak this afternoon near 80 degrees and then likely in the low-to-mid 80’s for the latter part of the week and upcoming weekend.

In terms of rainfall, the overall pattern will remain very dry in the Mid-Atlantic region with this high pressure system dominating the scene. In fact, tropical moisture associated with TS Francine will advance northward  later in the week after a mid-week landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane. However, with the strong high in place to our northeast, the advance of the tropical moisture field will quite likely grind to a halt somewhere over the Tennessee Valley/Midwest and it’ll not be able to make it into the northeastern part of the nation.

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7:00 AM | **A hurricane threat for Louisiana on Wednesday...remnants of "Francine" likely to slide just to our west on Thursday**

Paul Dorian

After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Francine was born on Monday morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to threaten the Louisiana coastline as a hurricane by later tomorrow. After landfall, Francine will slowly weaken as it pushes north over the southern Mississippi Valley and likely just to the west of  here on Thursday.

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7:00 AM | *Plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions for the next several days and continued dry*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure will control the weather around here for the remainder of the week with each day featuring plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. Temperatures should peak this afternoon and tomorrow near 80 degrees and then likely in the low-to-mid 80’s for the latter part of the week and upcoming weekend.

In terms of rainfall, the overall pattern will remain very dry in the Mid-Atlantic region with this high pressure system dominating the scene. In fact, tropical moisture associated with TS Francine will advance northward  later in the week after a mid-week landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane. However, with the strong high in place to our northeast, the advance of the tropical moisture field will quite likely grind to a halt somewhere over the Tennessee Valley/Midwest and it’ll not be able to make it into the northeastern part of the nation.

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7:00 AM | *Plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions for the next several days and continued dry*

Paul Dorian

Strong high pressure will control the weather around here for the remainder of the week with each day featuring plenty of sunshine and comfortably warm conditions. Temperatures should peak this afternoon in the upper 70’s, near 80 degrees at mid-week, and then likely in the low-to-mid 80’s for the latter part of the week and upcoming weekend.

In terms of rainfall, the overall pattern will remain very dry in the Mid-Atlantic region with this high pressure system dominating the scene. In fact, tropical moisture associated with TS Francine will advance northward  later in the week after a mid-week landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane. However, with the strong high in place to our northeast, the advance of the tropical moisture field will quite likely grind to a halt somewhere over the Tennessee Valley/Midwest and it’ll not be able to make it into the northeastern part of the nation.

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12:00 PM | **Hurricane threat for Louisiana at mid-week...a couple other systems to monitor out in the Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

After a lengthy quiet period in the Atlantic Basin with no named tropical storms, Francine was born this morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and it is likely to threaten the Louisiana coastline on Wednesday as a hurricane. A tropical wave that has been meandering over the warm waters of the SW Gulf in recent days has now attained named tropical storm status and it is likely to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday and then head towards the Louisiana coastline for a possible landfall later in the day on Wednesday. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of flash flooding all the way from coastal sections of far northeast Mexico to southern Mississippi and an increasing likelihood of storm surge inundation.

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7:00 AM | *A chilly start to what looks to be yet another dry week in the Mid-Atlantic region*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will control the weather around here for much of the week and each day should feature plenty of sunshine with rain-free conditions. Temperatures are starting off the week quite cool this morning and should peak this afternoon in the pleasant middle-to-upper 70’s to go along with the sunshine. There will be a gradual warming trend during the next few days with highs likely back in the low-to-mid 80’s for the second half of the week.

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